To summarize: Proof of CB 'simulation' yet most refuse to see it
For ten+ years I've shown the proof
- the LQ signals ( I posted again start of this one)
- to watch for endless gaps up ..er, how many LOL ..must over over TEN now on Q's with NO CLOSURES .
- to watch for 'insane' price moves defying all TA and prediction ? forget it!
..I've shown this literally EVERY TIME as per that chart of LQ signals ...yet, the Matrix manages to run the narrative that its a free market LOL ... it's amazing how few people can see the clear and obvious truth no matter how much evidence you show if its counter to the Matrix narrative.. sound familiar ? :-)
- CB historic upward simulation or LQ Shockwave /EMP whatever u want to call it
- Matrix utopia news narrative (I talked about it yesterday)
- emotional market jumping on Matrix every fake word
Against this - reality going over a cliff ..and market technically falling apart and close to major resistance ( summer highs)
As I said, I have no idea when these CB events occur ... I watch and try to see if things can be modeled ...no idea yet ... grab the popcorn though it will be interesting! ..bonds/dollar is still place to look for me.
HEADS UP - my main computer is totally hosed ( thx to Microsoft was usual..'updates' LOL..yeah ..or 'incremental corruption' ) . .. SO .I will TRY to use my laptop to make some sort of update. ..otherwise is going to be next weekend ..new computer on order arriving mid -week and have to add and setup for video making ...etc .
( computer has unrepairable Windows 10 OS files ... and also SSD drive failing = bad combo ..time for new computer easier than trying to keep this one running ... the BIOS also has issues ..so whilst hardware is fine ( mother board might be suspect also tbh ) .. its cost almost as much to replace SSD with new windows licence ..than just buy new computer twice as good as one I have! crazy throw away items these days oh well :-) ..I hate that as computer engineer who's always fixed what I have ..time to give up on that I guess .. as working on this gave me terrible migraine as well .Ugh ..so it will be tomorrow if at all )
BARN BURNER FRIDAY to put 'cherry on top' of the CB LQ Shock&AWE EMP
- I will POSt NEW VIDEO this weekend IF I can get my main computer UP after it won't boot this AM ...had same problem 2 month ago and was devil to fix ..so wish me luck :-)
WE have ALOT to talk about people! - I feel I really want to post a LONG VIDEO RECAP of my ENTIRe SUPERCYCLE and ECONOMIC VIEWPOINT ..prompted by many things .. and some people/conversations recently as well. ...we will see how energy/time allows but
- I just feel its important here NOT to get focussed on the Short term b.s. .. 2023 I am certain is an INFLECTION YEAR on Secular and like Supercycle ..and GOd forbid one higher degree ..tbd
AND ON THAT - just look historically .. Often the most powerful moves ..actually in either direction ..lead to major turns and power moves in other direction ... I believe this will be the case here .. at BEST
- the Retail have until end of 2023 to enjoy us not finally reaching the POR ( was right there at 4100 ..lo behold the save came ..righht off with massive LQ injection ..if u think that's a coincidence LOL ..well...l won't waste my breath on showing the sky is blue and water is wet!
And whilst I expect the Ministry of 'truth' to keep faking reality like never before - the markets will NOT in my view be able to fooled ..maybe the worst can be kept off the tape until Nov ... but that wd be bad AFTER in that case
- but I doubt it ..I actually think ( and tbd) that 2024 potentially is going to be the POLITICAL INFLECTION point ...and full truth mode ..I'm not sure there will an election, or if there is , that either Biden or Trump will be 'allowed' to run ... if u get my drift ...because frankly, they cannot be allowed to ...
- Biden cannot be allowed to run due to a. distaterious polling number b. he's on his last legs and would need VP to take over, who? the dems don't have anyone ? ..... c. because more of this and Debt bubble WILL burst...u at least need someone pretending to reduce parabolic debt rise of we will see 15% by 2028
- Trump can't be allowed to run/win because he would go after everyone who went after him...and risk revealing truth to Americans ..and PTB can't have that ..what if they found out 99% of politicians are corrupt and involved in Ukraine crime syndicate etc ..no no, it can't be a allowed.
So who the hell will run ? ... I can't fathom it ..so I sort of think somehow there will NOT be an election ..if there is I'd hope De Santis would run and win ...not that I agree with much of his poltics ...it doesn't matter as its not REAL FFS! WAKE UP..it's a SHOW ..but because he at least shows during the PTB COVID show he believe in free speech, that's all I care about now ..most others are totalitarians playing for Globalists.
THEN we've got to discuss WWIII - hardly a surprise is it? see 1930's ..that's our last equivalent to current cycle position .... but it will be different ..we can't have super power wars due to nukes+rest ...so WWIII = long wars of attrition proxy wars = pressure on scale resources and 'inflation' = Global REFLAITON as I predicted 2 years ago ...K Spring in rest of world will be 'imported' in to USA finishing K-winter ... this is 'stagflation' on steroids!
Too much to discuss ..too many rabbit holes to go down ..but I do my best :-)
I also realize from recent conversation with couple very smart people - that very few people know about TWO KEY things - Austrian/Mises and K-long waves ...I might have to make some 'primers' on that and drag one of these folks in to talk with me ..as it will make sure I cover what people who don't spend their lives obsessively study obscure stuff like me need to know
HEADS UP - I think this is, or part of the answer to the 4-5 Sigma LQ Systemic Shockwave EMP ..attempt to prevent ceasing jump of liquidity ..makes sense ..so stocks effect was just side effect not the goal.
*Also seeing the wacky banking issues are accelerating ..we are heading for a total failure of the banks in 2024/5 ..with most banks being taken over by a few big CB proxies like BofA ... next step toward Global CB of course ...its coming, don't be fooled ..they can hide reality and fake it like currently for weeks/month hell even a year ...but just like every other time not forever ...though with election 2024 they will try of course.
IT appears more and more likely a Liquidity crises is emerging, hence last weeks Intervention ...it remains to be seen if that helps, or accelerates the problem - it can go either way, tbd
FWIW My BEST GUESS here ... posted once already but disappeared! so lets try again
- disclaimer ..I can change my mind since this is not based on Model but just my view of 'everything'
- We grind sideways ish Up at current levels on Spx/Dow/Comp now for few sessions to a week or so
- Then we Drop ..a 'retracement' or something alot more if we get LQ RTE. see charts posted..no way to know on this yet...and it will be a 'guess' anyway
- Then we get ONE MORE UP SWING we can call xmas rally .. COMp provably makes new high look as I said door4 4=ABC done, now 5 up there ...but SPX likely doesn't ..more 1.2 .... though VERY SIMILAR on everything to 2007 to. me here...that got a 100% retracement back to highs....we shall see.
- Then WE get next let down to below 4100 toward 3900 ..and so forth likely into early 2024.
But one step at time. ..also need to track TNX ..shd make TOP in this period as ive gone over....this is tricky period right now on synching all this...especially the. CB deciding to get involved. AGAIN. .SIGH.
I didn't have time to update this weekend alas - I will try tonight or any day this week ! ...weather is unually warm so spent the weekend outside doing biking/hiking etc ..and escaping the endless 'prescribed burns' in my area ..ugh ....
Really - as per chart I posted on CB Action - we need to see where there INJECTION ENDS ..tHEN See how market reacts .... THEN we need to see if LQ does the 'Reversion to Extreme' as is as shown highest probability and how price reacts then ..... TA is worthless during these events as I've shown for a decade.... it will resume normal service after all of this ! :-)
HEADS UP - this latest MASSIVE CB LQ injection appears to have PEAKED right here ....though, as said, often a big LAG to stocks .. USD and BONDS less so ...they are all strongly connected here because this is a SYSTEMIC INJECTION.
RE: CB LQ 'button presses' and predictable result...seen it about100 times over last 10 years..100/100 on the result.
Once it ends. I can get a new road map ...u could try to ride it up ..but minute they stop..market could collapse...so now your trying to predict that...my LQ model attempt to ..but nothin can DURING the LQ injection..though I'd say were at typical 'max extreme' of these here right now as I type.
5 down to 4100 exactly and now bounce - major low>? As said not on my model ...at best its 1 down ...now 2 ..I could see 4350 here near term in a 'mirror move' ....but its VERY unusual to bounce here without so many signals ....likey as said in intraday monday due to EOM and FED etc ...and oversold ...
its too early to judge much with all that going on! ... real tell will be thur and fri weekly close.to get better read on where we are at ....
-----OH - FYI - Massive LQ pump here ..just noticed ..so todays gap up and run is CB sponsored for some reason ..haven't seen that for a long while ...probably 2 years I can remember ( summer one was by some other 'new creative method'( this is back to old faithful) ... your guess is as good as mine as to why but VERY CLEAR button press signal.
Psst - here is a typical LQ signal ..normal range then 'giant button press' LOL ar far right..so big it goes off my screen !!! ..comical and usually effects last a while ..this one though just triggered credit signal warnings as I mentioned last night it might ..so its 'costing' ..I wonder why they did it? no idea as usual.
WEEKEND VIDEO IF TIME - NEW MINIMUM DOWNSIDE TARGETS
- we reached my 4100-4130 target
Model does NOT HAVE BUY - it has Very high odds SELL, with NEW MIN' TARGEt
- 3900
Actually, and I'll say now - and if I can go over it ..this means a NEW IT Projection - bit shocking
- 3600 !
Now the key point on that 3600, is there a 50/50 chance we get ONE BIG SWING UP before reaching it, from the 3800-3900 area.
I will go over these with price model charts when I have time - as I said way back, 4100 better hold ..now we are there, model says it won't with 'all that implies' - add to this, the other facts of sentiment, and Matrix output - this screams to me 'planned retail trap of all time' ..we shall see, model is right so far which add confidence since August September major top call.
AS I went over in last video - IF we drop under 4130 ..and definitelyt 4100 .. then its '3' not '5' with ALL that implies ...if so, whilst as i said 3900 is very high odds FAST in waterfall '3rd wave' ... it won't be a major low ....unlikely ...one step at time .. this as I went over is most bearish setup ive seen in years
HEADS UP - I don't know how to be any clearer here... this is one of highest odds 'collapse' setups I've seen in a really long time ... whilst 4130 'could be a low' ...and 4100 is the 'last chance' ... I don't see literally anything on the model to get that low ...infact, we are in worse position now .... the odds of a waterfall to 3900 area is increasing ...it's say >60% at time point....we will see if/when we get down to key area.
I will update at weekend I hope but as said,So 5 down to exact hit on key support must hold 4100 ...now strong impulsive ...without model support .. smells like another massive retail trap to me ..and usually that are very impressive like the summer ... so as said, might last quite a while...too early to say... too many gaps, too much FED effect etc .. no form to the move ..the comp one is a joke .
- ..so totally unreadable right here on short term but I have clear 5 down ..now reaction up move ..tbd beyond that.
EOM - FED week see my intraday comments - this is a 'strong period' short term ..but will get the 'real read' thur -fri and next week ... we were always to bounce off 4100 as very important level as I indicated... I still don't see IT low here ..but bounces are normal ..we've seen quite a few already.
To summarize: Proof of CB 'simulation' yet most refuse to see it
For ten+ years I've shown the proof
- the LQ signals ( I posted again start of this one)
- to watch for endless gaps up ..er, how many LOL ..must over over TEN now on Q's with NO CLOSURES .
- to watch for 'insane' price moves defying all TA and prediction ? forget it!
..I've shown this literally EVERY TIME as per that chart of LQ signals ...yet, the Matrix manages to run the narrative that its a free market LOL ... it's amazing how few people can see the clear and obvious truth no matter how much evidence you show if its counter to the Matrix narrative.. sound familiar ? :-)
UTOPIA is reached
- xmas period positive seasonality
- CB historic upward simulation or LQ Shockwave /EMP whatever u want to call it
- Matrix utopia news narrative (I talked about it yesterday)
- emotional market jumping on Matrix every fake word
Against this - reality going over a cliff ..and market technically falling apart and close to major resistance ( summer highs)
As I said, I have no idea when these CB events occur ... I watch and try to see if things can be modeled ...no idea yet ... grab the popcorn though it will be interesting! ..bonds/dollar is still place to look for me.
HEADS UP - my main computer is totally hosed ( thx to Microsoft was usual..'updates' LOL..yeah ..or 'incremental corruption' ) . .. SO .I will TRY to use my laptop to make some sort of update. ..otherwise is going to be next weekend ..new computer on order arriving mid -week and have to add and setup for video making ...etc .
( computer has unrepairable Windows 10 OS files ... and also SSD drive failing = bad combo ..time for new computer easier than trying to keep this one running ... the BIOS also has issues ..so whilst hardware is fine ( mother board might be suspect also tbh ) .. its cost almost as much to replace SSD with new windows licence ..than just buy new computer twice as good as one I have! crazy throw away items these days oh well :-) ..I hate that as computer engineer who's always fixed what I have ..time to give up on that I guess .. as working on this gave me terrible migraine as well .Ugh ..so it will be tomorrow if at all )
BARN BURNER FRIDAY to put 'cherry on top' of the CB LQ Shock&AWE EMP
- I will POSt NEW VIDEO this weekend IF I can get my main computer UP after it won't boot this AM ...had same problem 2 month ago and was devil to fix ..so wish me luck :-)
WE have ALOT to talk about people! - I feel I really want to post a LONG VIDEO RECAP of my ENTIRe SUPERCYCLE and ECONOMIC VIEWPOINT ..prompted by many things .. and some people/conversations recently as well. ...we will see how energy/time allows but
- I just feel its important here NOT to get focussed on the Short term b.s. .. 2023 I am certain is an INFLECTION YEAR on Secular and like Supercycle ..and GOd forbid one higher degree ..tbd
AND ON THAT - just look historically .. Often the most powerful moves ..actually in either direction ..lead to major turns and power moves in other direction ... I believe this will be the case here .. at BEST
- the Retail have until end of 2023 to enjoy us not finally reaching the POR ( was right there at 4100 ..lo behold the save came ..righht off with massive LQ injection ..if u think that's a coincidence LOL ..well...l won't waste my breath on showing the sky is blue and water is wet!
And whilst I expect the Ministry of 'truth' to keep faking reality like never before - the markets will NOT in my view be able to fooled ..maybe the worst can be kept off the tape until Nov ... but that wd be bad AFTER in that case
- but I doubt it ..I actually think ( and tbd) that 2024 potentially is going to be the POLITICAL INFLECTION point ...and full truth mode ..I'm not sure there will an election, or if there is , that either Biden or Trump will be 'allowed' to run ... if u get my drift ...because frankly, they cannot be allowed to ...
- Biden cannot be allowed to run due to a. distaterious polling number b. he's on his last legs and would need VP to take over, who? the dems don't have anyone ? ..... c. because more of this and Debt bubble WILL burst...u at least need someone pretending to reduce parabolic debt rise of we will see 15% by 2028
- Trump can't be allowed to run/win because he would go after everyone who went after him...and risk revealing truth to Americans ..and PTB can't have that ..what if they found out 99% of politicians are corrupt and involved in Ukraine crime syndicate etc ..no no, it can't be a allowed.
So who the hell will run ? ... I can't fathom it ..so I sort of think somehow there will NOT be an election ..if there is I'd hope De Santis would run and win ...not that I agree with much of his poltics ...it doesn't matter as its not REAL FFS! WAKE UP..it's a SHOW ..but because he at least shows during the PTB COVID show he believe in free speech, that's all I care about now ..most others are totalitarians playing for Globalists.
THEN we've got to discuss WWIII - hardly a surprise is it? see 1930's ..that's our last equivalent to current cycle position .... but it will be different ..we can't have super power wars due to nukes+rest ...so WWIII = long wars of attrition proxy wars = pressure on scale resources and 'inflation' = Global REFLAITON as I predicted 2 years ago ...K Spring in rest of world will be 'imported' in to USA finishing K-winter ... this is 'stagflation' on steroids!
Too much to discuss ..too many rabbit holes to go down ..but I do my best :-)
I also realize from recent conversation with couple very smart people - that very few people know about TWO KEY things - Austrian/Mises and K-long waves ...I might have to make some 'primers' on that and drag one of these folks in to talk with me ..as it will make sure I cover what people who don't spend their lives obsessively study obscure stuff like me need to know
Its' a good job I'm a born optimist, otherwise my outlook would be really bad LOL
Count UPdated - Nailed the down ..and bounce at 5th..but it was CB enahced SPEED wise - remains to be seen PRICE WISE.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/ODkxNjQ4N18yMjM4MDAxNQ
HEADS UP - I think this is, or part of the answer to the 4-5 Sigma LQ Systemic Shockwave EMP ..attempt to prevent ceasing jump of liquidity ..makes sense ..so stocks effect was just side effect not the goal.
-
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-tumble-yield-surge-after-catastrophic-30y-auction-stops-biggest-tail-record-foreign
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hawkish-powell-piss-poor-auction-spark-chaos-credit-markets-crypto-soars
*Also seeing the wacky banking issues are accelerating ..we are heading for a total failure of the banks in 2024/5 ..with most banks being taken over by a few big CB proxies like BofA ... next step toward Global CB of course ...its coming, don't be fooled ..they can hide reality and fake it like currently for weeks/month hell even a year ...but just like every other time not forever ...though with election 2024 they will try of course.
IT appears more and more likely a Liquidity crises is emerging, hence last weeks Intervention ...it remains to be seen if that helps, or accelerates the problem - it can go either way, tbd
FWIW My BEST GUESS here ... posted once already but disappeared! so lets try again
- disclaimer ..I can change my mind since this is not based on Model but just my view of 'everything'
- We grind sideways ish Up at current levels on Spx/Dow/Comp now for few sessions to a week or so
- Then we Drop ..a 'retracement' or something alot more if we get LQ RTE. see charts posted..no way to know on this yet...and it will be a 'guess' anyway
- Then we get ONE MORE UP SWING we can call xmas rally .. COMp provably makes new high look as I said door4 4=ABC done, now 5 up there ...but SPX likely doesn't ..more 1.2 .... though VERY SIMILAR on everything to 2007 to. me here...that got a 100% retracement back to highs....we shall see.
- Then WE get next let down to below 4100 toward 3900 ..and so forth likely into early 2024.
But one step at time. ..also need to track TNX ..shd make TOP in this period as ive gone over....this is tricky period right now on synching all this...especially the. CB deciding to get involved. AGAIN. .SIGH.
I didn't have time to update this weekend alas - I will try tonight or any day this week ! ...weather is unually warm so spent the weekend outside doing biking/hiking etc ..and escaping the endless 'prescribed burns' in my area ..ugh ....
Really - as per chart I posted on CB Action - we need to see where there INJECTION ENDS ..tHEN See how market reacts .... THEN we need to see if LQ does the 'Reversion to Extreme' as is as shown highest probability and how price reacts then ..... TA is worthless during these events as I've shown for a decade.... it will resume normal service after all of this ! :-)
HEADS UP - this latest MASSIVE CB LQ injection appears to have PEAKED right here ....though, as said, often a big LAG to stocks .. USD and BONDS less so ...they are all strongly connected here because this is a SYSTEMIC INJECTION.
So 'Do you believe me now Neo'? :-)
RE: CB LQ 'button presses' and predictable result...seen it about100 times over last 10 years..100/100 on the result.
Once it ends. I can get a new road map ...u could try to ride it up ..but minute they stop..market could collapse...so now your trying to predict that...my LQ model attempt to ..but nothin can DURING the LQ injection..though I'd say were at typical 'max extreme' of these here right now as I type.
HERE is a way i've come up with to show u the CB ALGO 'button presses' - of 4 sigma + ..some are FIVE SIGMA+
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/ODg5MTE0OV8yMjM0NjEwMQ
TNX tracking ...corrective now, then one more up move ideally.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/ODg4NjE0Ml8yMjMzOTYwOA
5 down to 4100 exactly and now bounce - major low>? As said not on my model ...at best its 1 down ...now 2 ..I could see 4350 here near term in a 'mirror move' ....but its VERY unusual to bounce here without so many signals ....likey as said in intraday monday due to EOM and FED etc ...and oversold ...
its too early to judge much with all that going on! ... real tell will be thur and fri weekly close.to get better read on where we are at ....
This todays 4th gap up In row on comp -it looks correct ..panic buying again ...shows the true sentiment of this market now.
Never Ever Trust a market around the FED ! LOL ( as I made clear in my intraday comments)
Oh is it THIS? I dont' watch that fake reality show 'The Uniparty blacklist no. 1' ...but just saw the headline for it today
"Biden impeachment decision coming ‘very soon’: House Speaker Johnson
AND On that theme - never trust CB's
-----OH - FYI - Massive LQ pump here ..just noticed ..so todays gap up and run is CB sponsored for some reason ..haven't seen that for a long while ...probably 2 years I can remember ( summer one was by some other 'new creative method'( this is back to old faithful) ... your guess is as good as mine as to why but VERY CLEAR button press signal.
Psst - here is a typical LQ signal ..normal range then 'giant button press' LOL ar far right..so big it goes off my screen !!! ..comical and usually effects last a while ..this one though just triggered credit signal warnings as I mentioned last night it might ..so its 'costing' ..I wonder why they did it? no idea as usual.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/ODg4NTM3OF8yMjMzODQyOA
WEEKEND VIDEO IF TIME - NEW MINIMUM DOWNSIDE TARGETS
- we reached my 4100-4130 target
Model does NOT HAVE BUY - it has Very high odds SELL, with NEW MIN' TARGEt
- 3900
Actually, and I'll say now - and if I can go over it ..this means a NEW IT Projection - bit shocking
- 3600 !
Now the key point on that 3600, is there a 50/50 chance we get ONE BIG SWING UP before reaching it, from the 3800-3900 area.
I will go over these with price model charts when I have time - as I said way back, 4100 better hold ..now we are there, model says it won't with 'all that implies' - add to this, the other facts of sentiment, and Matrix output - this screams to me 'planned retail trap of all time' ..we shall see, model is right so far which add confidence since August September major top call.
AS I went over in last video - IF we drop under 4130 ..and definitelyt 4100 .. then its '3' not '5' with ALL that implies ...if so, whilst as i said 3900 is very high odds FAST in waterfall '3rd wave' ... it won't be a major low ....unlikely ...one step at time .. this as I went over is most bearish setup ive seen in years
HEADS UP - I don't know how to be any clearer here... this is one of highest odds 'collapse' setups I've seen in a really long time ... whilst 4130 'could be a low' ...and 4100 is the 'last chance' ... I don't see literally anything on the model to get that low ...infact, we are in worse position now .... the odds of a waterfall to 3900 area is increasing ...it's say >60% at time point....we will see if/when we get down to key area.
Unless the down move on futures flips by morning .. its look like this is ON as expected.
I will update at weekend I hope but as said,So 5 down to exact hit on key support must hold 4100 ...now strong impulsive ...without model support .. smells like another massive retail trap to me ..and usually that are very impressive like the summer ... so as said, might last quite a while...too early to say... too many gaps, too much FED effect etc .. no form to the move ..the comp one is a joke .
- ..so totally unreadable right here on short term but I have clear 5 down ..now reaction up move ..tbd beyond that.
EOM - FED week see my intraday comments - this is a 'strong period' short term ..but will get the 'real read' thur -fri and next week ... we were always to bounce off 4100 as very important level as I indicated... I still don't see IT low here ..but bounces are normal ..we've seen quite a few already.