Stocks - the infinite support ALGO ...gap up Friday...gap up Monday...LOL ..suuureeee ... but as said, it can't get upside traction because 'all in' ...and it isn't get downside traction because need high volume to overcome this infinite support algo ....so ....'dis is what we get.
As I went over Friday...where the Algo is going to hold ..on the button ..and again at open ..and now all day.....I will know when something changes because it won't hold on of this pivots ..tedium for now.
I actually watch pretty much the whole Rogan/Trump podcast ...I have thoughts :-)
My daughter actually was so shocked ...'Are you watching TRUMP' ( in horrified voice) ..'why?' ... well I said ..I'm trying to read body language and tells to some questions ..
- but as pointed out here....certain PTB sensitive topics were obviously agreed to not touch ...why is a BIG TELL for those with functional logic ...
But here is my take FWIW - and anyone who know me ..will tell you ...I have a great record of 'reading people' ..call it 6th sense or maybe just study of NLP and other ..but here' my 2cents
- Trump 'the person' is an OK guy ..typical of his class/tribe of savy business/sales people
- He is a born salesman ...that's his main talent ..and that hooks alot of people
- His is 'smart' within the normal smart range ...but as I've said previous he is 'dumb' outside of that..he is not one of life's great thinkers/deep knowledge..but
- He knows more than he lets on ..and is a GOOD ACTOR at PLAYing the ROLe of 'Trump'..most people have tow or more persona's ...he has developed his ..and is REALLY SKILLED at SWITCHING PERSONA .....the 'real Trump' appears to me 'an OK guy' and nothing like the character he plays ...alot of that is training in language use ...and his natural skills at it.
But here is couple of more important things I picked up on -
- He is VERY CAREFUL about certain topics - his answers on JFK and Ufo's were extremely telling ..he knows ALOT more than he felt he could say ...not because of following 'rules' but because he clearly know very powerful people (PTB or agents of) would 'take action' ...he was written all over him on his initial sentence on both ..but then he 'introspected' and put out the Matrix standard answer ...i.e. he knows damn well on both, and especially on Aliens he knows way more than his 'yes clearly there are ufo's'.. as I've mentioned before, the evidence from aviation is as close to 100% as u will ever get...but I read, its WAY more than that ...but PTB are waiting to use that knowledge to own advantage as usual ....he was AFRAID to accidentally say more ..100%.
- He knows that is all a game ..he is playing a role ...and he is upset at formed friends playing the game also and attacking him as Nazi ...as. I've pointed out before, he was a Democrat and they loved him most o his life ...but he gets it ...and he answer about 'Go on CNN and be negative' sums that up ....yep ...its all BS of course.
In Summary -
- He knows the GAME ..he knows the rules ..and he's great at playing the Persona ..he does believe in some of what he says...a good salesman has to believe int he 'product'..but in real life would be way more moderate and balanced about it ...but that doesn't 'sell'
- Do they RISK/Can the PTB override the margin >0.5% in key states...we are about to find out ...Trump appears to be ahead >5% in enough key states...so this will be MASSIVe TELL on that
- IF they can't ..what does PTB do about RFK and Musk? ...how controlled are they? we will see... my guess ...they won' be able to get much of anything done i.e. PTB will just tie them up in knot ..before going to 'other options' ...
- What will be the PTB agenda? ...I FEAR the period Nov 5-Jan ...could as said see 'almost anything' in attempt to form narratives/framing.
I posted this months ago - I still see this as highest odds ...completing 3 of 5 ..possibly in (3 or 5) of 5 of 3 right now ....hard to be sure with such massive upward simulation - Nov-Jan 25' I hope will 'shed light'.
Bonds - not tipping their hand yet....so I won't make a call here on retracement or not ...need to see bit more of setup and signals ...but ..its leaning ..that any retrace would be SHALLOW ..I cd be wrong ..typically need one more session to add confidence.
Stocks - LOL ..suuuureee ...gap up ....I've covered this to death ..hit my key pivot then as expect 'the save' numero gazillion come in ...we will see if it holds...its weaker than previous ..mostly through tech land.
I saw this - quite good snapshot of what I've predicted.... the phrase 'u can fool some of the people some of the time but not all the people all the time' ..
spx/comp - Algo held the gap into close .kel surprise......probably try again Monday with another gap up ...if not...we can see acceleration down in 'c' type wave.
SIm -Algo will try to save it here at gap/near term 'slope' as I've gone over ..if can't ..then ..we'll get an acceleration down in my view high odds due to 'reprice' effect.
- as per previous chart ..5820 is the 'magic number' ..where next 'miracle' would need to come ..and so far its batting about 1000.
Nope - still at it LMFAO ..this has been the case since that big drop few months ago ..as said ..there is the most relentless up support I've ever seen ...
- well we will see...the downside pull here is strong and given it failed once..but..I rule nothing out due last few months ....this is why I saw(say- I have to bracket the correct word due to auto fail) ) it's not tradable ST
Well - not much happening but a few things of note
- Mostly TLT/TNX/TYX ALL hit the KEY PIVOTS I went over ..all roughly have 5 minor waves complete
so 'should' be a significant retracement here ( drop in yields) ... BUT ..
- But ...I've said my view ...I believe IF we get a retracement is will be shallow ...and IF we don't ..and cross the pivots without one ..well...all sorts of fun will be had....
- I believe ALOT depends right here on 'the bigger plan' - for now..I'll give the slight edge to some sort of retracement currently today.
- Dollar for sure is getting a bit of change to retrace...but sterling is less convincing..TBD
- stocks ..meh ...too early to say ...but I am still seeing RISK is HIGH of another failure here...but the infinite support ALGO has other plans ..so one step at time.
Well dollar and bonds yields...go above the 'threshold' of 1=5 ...(I=v infact but substack won't let me type that.lower case (i) is changed to upper case unless I bracket it ..yeah..oookkk ..just like it 'auto-screws' up most of what I type LOL ...given up trying to correct that)
Well - Judge on people ACTIONS ..becaue WORDS are WORTHLESS ...polticians lie lie lie ...can say whatever ..
- What ACTIONS did Trump make in 2016-2020 that indicate he is a 'like Hitler'?
- Did he BAN BOOKS and BURN BOOKS ? OH wait that's right that was DEMOCRATS..when the DIGITALLY BURNED millions of our work ..wirth coordinated de-platforming/censorship ...
- Did he indicate he wanted to BAN people/informaiton? - Nope, again that is Democrats who want to appoint themselves as 'Ministry of Truth' and DICTATE 'mis/dis information' ..and abandon 1st amendment because 'they know best' ... truly Totalitarian ...yet most are F'in BLIND to it ..because they are dumb/ignorant/programmed to Not question ...sound familiar?
- Did he use LAwfare against enemies? nope..Democrats again
- Did he Say GOVT should have authority over your body ? Nope ..that's Democrats ..who said those not taking the untested long term, UAE experimental shots should be FORCED to take it ..using COERCION of Job loss etc are BANNED by the NUREMBERG CODE ..including lack of informed consent ....Oh my! in direct opposite to belief women must have medical authority over abortion LMFAO
- Did he threatened to round up those who refuse to Obey b being experimented on and forcibly experiment on them? Nope ...that was Democrats...who now have audacity to claim they didn't say this ..so that's the next point
- Did he Tell lies that led to deaths/maiming/ill health on massive scale ..lies that would have made Goebels blush? ...nope...Dems again ....the masses don't realize yet the true scale, only those of us who have studied massive amount of immune science know ..but, some will come out ... and this is similar to Nazi's Dr at Nuremberg ...I see no difference whatsoever ..including financial reward for 'following orders' ..all the same crimes against humanity.
..I could go on ..but its. very clear as I've said for 4 year and predicted before these clowns took office they were danger ideologues ...TICK ...
People are the hero of their own story - Hitler, Stalin etc believed they were great men helping people ....nearly ALL people are Totalitarian by nature as Milligram showed and many others ...I could go into all the brain science ...its biological ..so Trump likely is same ...but ..so far...his ACTIONS don't support this claim...whereas the current regime has
- SHOWN itself to be 100% FASCIST ...just look at lies upon lies on Economic 'data' with massive revisions 6-12 month after ...this shows their total distain for 'truth' ...they are the ones using ORWELLIAN DOUBLESPEAK 'freedom is slavery ' ...'any information we don't like is DisINFORMATION and a thought crime etc' ...
Fun times! :-) ...what is even funnier as those of u who follow me know, I HATE TRUMP ..to me he is a not very bright, typical silver spoon elitist ..I can't say anything good and never have ..EXCEPT ...in ACTIONS ..so far ...he is NOT a FASCIST ..unlike those who's words are about 'loving each other' then proceed to ACTIONS of HATE and DIVISION and
Totalitarian control. Eh. Whatever... most cannot see past their programming etc. so cannot be objective in looking at this.
Talking of laws - as in Godwin ... I have a few of my own ...I added this one:
Mark's 5th? law - However ignorant you believe people to be, a trip to social media comments will make you realize you grossly underestimated the Dunning-Kruger Effect. Sheesh or is it Eeek.
Things I learned for Social Media Democratic echo chambers today ( I know ...X and Zero hedge are just as bad...actually, honestly they used to be..but right now they seem relatively indepedent thinking .)
- CNN is a Trump supporting Nazi organization and to blame if Miss Special K doesn't win
- All Trump supports are dumb, and all Democratic supporters are superior In every way
- Harris will win - unless she doesn't - in which case it because she's a women, or black or both and because of CNN and how easily led 50% of voters are ..but only Trump supporters
- The Economy is booming, but people don't realize it because they are too stupid to believe the data put out by Govt ..and insanely believe their own personal economic experience of being broke instead.
All I can say is Wow, just Wow ...we are Sooooo Screwed :-)
I would love for these Self proclaims superior beings to sit in my office for a week and hear the stories of enonomic hardship I have to hear ...and explain to 60+% of working populations why they are 'wrong' about not being able to afford to live. I had fire fighter Kevin come in today for example - needs a 2 bedroom apartment and current cost is $2400 in town ...that's UP about 80% since 4 years ago industry data that is easily verifiable ( even using Zillow) ...just like all industry data shows in Arizona and about all cities nationally about 60% ...the f'in liars as I've said lie lie lie about this ..everyone I speak to is exhausted and pissed out/angry as hell .... you cannot Gaslight people real world experience
- so are all democratic's super wealthy/non renting populations ? I really don't get it?
I gave up 'debating' people on economy decades ago - the average voter knows literally ZIP ...I don't debate but I give information ...probably < 1 in 1000 people know for example the importance of DEBT/GDP and its 120% and what that means - or what unfunded liabilities are ....but they are damn sure they know the economy is f'in great LMFAO ..yep, great like Enron I tell them ...they don't get that joke ...since as said they literally know nothing except Govt fake Data.
Imbalance - still alot of buying here...we haven't reached a 'give up' or 'selling' stage...
- my guess is IF 5750 is crossed ..we'll get then a big fast drop ...but its not exact science
- the ALGO will keep trying to hold it here...still within the 'save' range ..but if shorts don't pick up ..have NOT so far..then ..we'll eventually drop through as I went over.
AHA - and There is the exact spike on the stock charts from the AM glitch ..vertical 'out of nowhere' :-)
* ALSO - LQ did NOT move up !!!!!!!! something NEW and FUN going on here...as said...it has to be DIRECT BUYING by FRIENDS ...Wall Street ALGO aligned with the 'agenda' LOL ... so f'in stupid LMFAO
LQ is dropping and I see high odds that continues due to sterling/dollar etc
So Very high odds we test that key 5750 ...at 5770 now which is minor support.
My read is this is wave FOUR of one of more Degree's ..but its difficult to be sure which due to all the bs ...TBD ....there is a slim chance the final 5 is complete but for now that's lower odds.
Either way - I look for 5750 to be tested..It looks to me from here it won't hold...THEN we have
- the setup I've gone over at length for 'flash down' ...I'd say to 5600 minimum.
HEADS UP - SUBSTACK is RANDOMLY removing my posts and other glitched ..so I'm not sure you will see THIS post ...but ..yeah..so I things might not makes sense
- start of the 'great Cyber Glitch out' just in time for Nov 5? :-)
FYI - the Stockcharts ticker is CORRECT ..EXCEPT for the Last bar always showing big spike up ..which is 'fake' or 'error' or whatever u want to call it ...planned? LMFAO ...how long can it possibly take to fix ...the same 'error' must have occurred 20 times I've seen it over the year...whatever.... it's all 'stuff' that most don't see patterns ..but those of us been around a long time have seen ....power outages next? hmmmmmm.
It makes 'sense' that vendors starting making up/faking the stock ticker - I mean, everything else is made up or faked :-)
Anyhoo - something real ..getting very real ..will Matrix mention it before nov 5? doubtful...
TNX - and looks to me it will poke through that massively key 42.5 level it just tested..We are getting to the 'meat and potato' portion of this into end this week
- if YIELDS do NOT DROP back RIGHT HERE....this could EXTEND into an 'iii' wave instead of 5th(v) I had ....and CROSS ALL the RUBICONS I laid out ...will DOLLAr also part of that ride ...then the 1st COST will be paid.
COMP looks especially 'troubled' - but for the 'hand of Market Gods' it would have collapsed already in my view...but this pattern has been consistent even with that ..
- NASI turning down here looks like and putting it in again
- There is a historic overriding of markets above and beyond even since Nov 23 ..which itself it by far the biggest artificial friggin' of markets in history
- the effect now is down side 'has to be banned' because it will lead to rapid reprice ..which is not allowed to close to Nov 5 ...becuae the Idiots think somehow we are all fulled by the stock market LMFAO ... but that's the game ...
- the last 'sell' results in sideways..but the last 'buy' resulted in almost no upside as result ...because 'everyone's in' , no shorts to burn ..and maxed on via LQ and INVENtory it can hold ...
- so we'll on current sell signal...the SIM will obviously try to go sideways in rinse repeat of last but 'everything' is weakening ....
- as said if no NEWS or no Sell Algos' ...it will hold and repeat, but If not ..I expect a very sharp down move ..but as soon as shorts build, it will turn uP like last time ...until AFTER NOV 5 ...
- After Nov 5 - we don't necessary just collapse...but the PAYBACK is coming ..unless everything that's been done since Nov 23 continuous ...which I highly doubt ..and if not ...Oh boy!
EOD - another 'exciting' day on stocks :-) ...this is purely because stocks need to drop but the infinite prop up ALGo won't let them .... causes this kind of stalemate ...if they can keep it up to Nov 5 ... cool ..if not...we drop hard..then they ramp it up again most likely like couple months ago.
Nothing 'real' until Post Fake Reality - even then ..the REAL COSt won't be until 2025....buckle up ..and plan ahead.
While many people in the West believe that Russia/Putin are "isolated" - because their media tells them that -- two dozen world leaders are in Russia now for a 3-day BRICS conference. BRICS itself includes the two most-populous countries and 4 of the top 10 most populous.
Beyond the founding 5 (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa), it expanded to 5 more (including key US "partners" Egypt, UAE and maybe Saudi). They "account for 45% of the global population" and 28% of global economy. Key goal: a financial system independent of US dollar.
I quite like this concise post I made - I've posted something like this many times in last 30 years..no one ever responds...I assume because, they can't deny it or its too 'depressingly' true ( I don't buy into idea more accurate information (truth) is 'depressing' because the alternative is 'ignorance is bliss' ...but 'knowledge is power' ( to do what, of course? ...well, at least be able to make informed decisions))
-
The concept of government is disinformation :-) at least at national level. -
- You can vote only for actor/puppets in a fake reality show - You cannot vote to 'change the system'
- You cannot hold anyone to account
- they lie everytime, everyone knows they lie, everyone deludes themselves their 'choice' isn't lying ....when as always they see they lied, they get mad and vote for the next liar ..rinse repeat...in some kind of self deluded ground hog day hell loop.
Here's how LOGIC tells you its all Kabuki Theatre:
- Executive Officers of a Company have to sign off on claims, and its a felony to lie, yet 'Govt' official do not...they are no accountability except the electorate ..who cannot vote for anyone who doesn't lie.
- If 'vote to change the system' such as accountability, or removal of unlimited lobbyist/dark money i.e. bribes for lying were on the ballot, it would win in a landslide...so of course, its not on the ballot and never will be.
Whoever pretends to be 'the Govt' are actors, reading scripts taking orders from bribers & blackmailers otherwise known at the Powers That Be/ Corporate Overlords/MIC etc ..and its been this way a long time.
FYI - NEW THREAD sOOn - this one is starting SLOW down as too many posts! ..
Here is the ANGLE of ASCENT ALGO pattern ..ive seen it hundreds of times since 2003 when ADAPTIVE ALGO's were first deployed to Prop up market ....though, they have evolved CONSIDERABLY LOL as I've gone over for last 10-15 years...
NOte. the pattern on very short term imbalance ...
- the 'buying' is getting weaker ( the falling angle of ascent ( pink lines on price) ) and tends to peak with massive spikes ( imbalance limit)
- the selling is more 'drift down' so far...so..that is why its holding ..and rinse repeating .if actually selling came in...its clear we would break lower ...thats IF
- otherwise this process continuous ..news could spike it up also ..but likely to meet selling..
another huge buying spike ..met with selling here.....ground hog repeaters until 'news' or 'exhaustion' - outrageous politicization of stock market of course since Nov 24 ..but what is new ..this has gradually become 'a thing' last 3 terms.
This one I posted the way - and we see a High TAG Target just above 42.5 on TNX ...that is one things along with TLT I've shown all the key levels, testing one right now.
then TYX is also right at that APEX and green key pivot been on charts for months awaiting this run ...here we are! ...and its not going to 'lie' ...what happen here is absolutely key...
so when bonds on 10,20.30 year ALL show same setups ABC completed, buy signals, then move u p impulsively and now all testing simultaneously key pivots on MY system/models
- thats VERY RARE ..and to my read spells 'trouble' ...likely a LACK of LQ in bonds building ...
MAYBE it temporary until Nov 5/6 ...but I don't believe that...as the bond technicals patterns are NOT set by 'emotional speculators' in bonds +. the entire MATRIX and sentiment has been 'rates will fall/dollar toast' ....this is far more likely SMART money/foreign CB's etc who are able to do 1+1=2 and ignore the Matrix.
EOD - Bond signals also continue to confirm REVIEW
Here is a few select signals and setups...updates to ones I've been posting ...I have about 90 charts LOL but that's across many timeframes...but these show a good snapshot of varies swing to Cycle
- it interesting the COST portion of the FAKE EVERYTHING 2024 ..has taken a while to play out ..but it definitely is now...there simply isn't enough System LQ to keep both Stocks and Bonds in FAKE UTOPIA LAND. ..as as in 2021 ..they let bonds got first ..or because its a bigger market and harder to fake out...
- cross mid-band is a confirmation of the prior IT/Cycle buy
TLT - Is being reject by the Dynamic Flow here to finally Tag 75 area ..it's amazing how often these work on all timeframes ...this one is very important I think.
AND There it is - the 5th wave on all TLT, TNX, TYX ...and confirmation of very highs odds impulse..off our completed ABC ...took a while ..but in the end ..as I said ..it played out ..DOLLAr naturally also ...
- so this is now CONFIRMATION of my call technically not just 'theoretically' ...
- its amazing just like in 2021-22 how seem like literally 'enveryone' is positioned for lower rates and dollar !!
HEADS UP - If yields don't top out in this 'v' here next couple days ..then ..I believe we are starting a PANIC MOVE UP in YIELDS ..and likely DOLLAr ....
- I was just looking over the long term...and this is actually a greater than 50/50 setup here.
So we need to keep a close watch this week.
I also notice a sudden. massive amount of Gold to da moon talk ..and looking at the setup
- I see very high odds Gold is about to start a secular 3rd wave up ..BUT
- it also might need a 'shake out' here due to sentiment ...though true 3rd waves often actually have a POR like this.
- I would not be surprised if Trump wins, if he put us back on Gold standard or similar such shock move ....at behest of PTB .... and gold doubled or tripled in a year
I am buying gold? ...thinking about it right here...mostly though as HEDGE/insurance ..as when you consider the bid-ask ( spot prices on buy/sell) ...you take a pretty big hit....so its not a 'trading' instrument ... either a very long term hold or insurance to me ... maybe 1% of assets type of deal ....and some silver coins of lower dominations in case of barter needed... I generally stay away from PRePPEr talk ..and logically, in true crises 'commodities' are better bet - food etc ... but ...my reasoning is
- I see higher than usual RISK of CYBER attack or BANK CRISES here ...which would be short term ..so not a 'end of world' ..but requiring possible other means of transactions ....though I would not buy more than a few 100's of silver coin for that ...simply converting cash we have on hand ( we always keep about 5K's on hand 'just in case') ...and for Gold it seems American Eagle coins are one of best bid-ask ... I would not buy bullion ..as said, problem could occur on selling end down the road ...just my thought here.
AND this is new ... it's imbalance on LQ and NDX..(spx on bottom but data is NDX ration to LQ (relative) this tends to be EARLY ..i.e. more on CYCLE DEGREE ..but is showing same BLOW OFF ...to previous on far left ..too a while to resolve and MAYBE similar to our case I believe...but RISK is of course it resolves 'fast' not 'slow' ..so this is more CONTEXT
Here is my read of all that...if u want my read ? ..well ..here it is anyway.
NONE of this is BUY/SELL Signals ..but combined with setups and actual signals my read is
- we are NEAR a SHORT TERM PULLBACK ..as said ..possible terminal in progress for a sWING down ...but with the STRONG SUPPORT ...its tricky.... but its seems to me its now counter productive ...
- So IF we GET any selling - I believe it will CASCADE ..and be VERY SHARP ...otherwise..another weak one ...but upside will also then again limited into NOv 4/5 ...and eventually a down resolution after that.
Other than that the MAIN DATA implication is more on CYCLE degree
- the highest odds as said ..is a LONGER TOPPING PHASE into End Dec 2024;....similar to the COMP one shown ...as example ...of course variations etc ..
- the RISK to LONGS is that some 'news' causes SELL ALGO's at same time the SYM-ALGO post Nov 5 no longer needs to support market - in which case we have a HISTORIC CRASH SETUP ..only I can't see it in Nov/Dec ...but maybe that's the point? ...one step at time.
- HIGHest odds ..we get MORe BLOW OFF PHAses but with limit upside as it keeps meeting DISTRUBUTION as this data is CLEARLY showing is occurring.
BEYOND the CUrrent Cycle - it doesn't say much ...IF/when we finally are allow a down cycle likely in 2025 ...we need to see how that plays out ...its pointless from here to say but certainly
- this is kind of data and general senitment I would say is indicative of SUPERCYCLE TOPPING ..but no way to rule out another down - up CYcle into 2030+ ....so one step at time.
Btm line - beyond short term its all hostage to 'events' more so than anytime in history to me ...lets see next few weeks and the the SCRIPt for Nov 5 etc
- I am still deeply concerned .that something happens to Trump ..because the PTB have gone 'all out' to put the preferred puppet in ..and its not worked because despite friggin the stock market and economic data...as said people's real live suck to so bad...its too muchto overcome it appear even with Matrix all out ....and so they are:
- backed into a corner now - I fear many 'bad things' could happen now from here..I don't really want to type them ..but its pretty obvious what the options are, no? ...
- my best guess - like with COVID when it came to it..they backed down.. and I hope, believe they will do so ...in which case Trump will be allowed to take office...but then ...will be a PATSY for the collapse ...and i;d expect LQ to DROP DRAMATICALLY ...and likely that means the DOLLAR SURGES along with BOND YIELDS against 95% of current 'experts' and sentiment as w'eve already seen our technical setup execute.
ALOT on the LINE here...here's hoping that calm heads prevail and we are not thrust into a historic crises ..but ..its definitely a major risk going forward now until Jan.
- Oh, so having Govt decide 'truth' and then claiming any other view is 'disinformation' turns out to be a form of Totalitarianism ? I am so Shocked :-)
- NOT mentioned, is myself, and many others who know the REAL science FAR better than doctors and Govt Officials were DEPLATFORMED for quoting it ... Where is our apology? :-)
- This, as I have said, is the biggest issue of our time .... yet still, as I 've said for decades, most are as usual blissfully ignorant ..and actually believe their is freedom of speech LOL ..sure, if you can afford $millions and time/stress required to FORCE platforms to allow it, through the courts ..otherwise, er, HARD NO.
"In another call with the CDC’s Dr. Sara Oliver, Massie points out the error in which the study erroneously claims that the vaccine is efficacious for those with prior infection and he asks to get it corrected.
Dr. Oliver says admits that Massie is correct but says that the CDC still is recommending that previously infected individuals get the vaccine, saying “We wouldn’t want to put out that if you’ve had Covid before, you shouldn’t get the vaccine.”
IMBAlance giving RED Flashing warnings here now ..I need to see final data as sometimes it changes...but I verified by several ways it looks correct ...so yeah...this is now in 'Cray-cray' territory .... I will post chart at weekend.
* for those not familiar ..this is not a 'signal' but 'context' ..it tells me/us a few things
- when RISK ON or OFF is occurring ..right now in a Massive RISK ON surge this week
- when blow off types moves are occurring 'under the surface' ..not necessarily obvious in Price ...why? because ALGO ( and particular 1 ALGO that runs the simulation in effect) dominates over 'human-emotional- volume' - its hard to get exact figure but roughly 90% of now algo only 10% human but ..it snot linear..In important moments the humans are larger figure.
- and KEY - when an INVENTORY IMBALANCE builds up - it doesn't say when/what will trigger a REVERSAL ..but it tell us when RISK is HIGh ( as now) and also how big of a reversion it would take to remove the imbalance ... right now is HISTORIC ...because the SYM-ALGO have Prevented selling for months ..and thus the imbalance builds over time.
KISS Version of that - IF/when selling is 'allowed' its going to be HISTORIC also.
I have shown the short term imbalance which has built a very large number of imbalance spikes without a 'resolution' ..I.e. down move ...this is bearish overall BUT
- I also looked at the hourly+ ..and its back to HISTORIC LEVELS ...
I will post a chart when I get a chance
- We are again doing things 'never seen' - but if the principles apply ..eventually we are going to pay a VERY STEEP PRICE ....but the question of course is when/from where.
btm line - Imbalance is saying RISK is getting SKy high on long side right here..without at least a swing down to relieve some of the imbalance.
In make believe stock land ..the endless attempt to hold the wedge goes on but
- LQ actually dropped ..but systemic and ALGO ...so ..this bump. up this AM is either
- both blow off buying ( imbalance shows this) ..and to some kind of direction buying outside of ALGO LQ ....nothing would surprise at this point ! LMFAO
DOLLAR and BONds are SOoooo Close to CONFIRMING my IT and Cycle Setup ..
- dollar I will talk about when I see WEEKLY close..but ..oh boy! trouble
- and all I need it a slightly higher yield here as said ...and so close on tNX and TYX ..much clearer than on TLT ..because that's at the key CYCLE 93 area I went over at length.
I'll try to keep my mouth shut ..digitially speaking ..until I see this ..but ...........muffled sound of me attempting to NOT say what I already said ..inflationary scare cometh.
- but Technicals here are VERY confirming ..and yields VERY impulsive rise..hmmm
OK OK ...I can't keep my mouth shut...u know that by now...
- here is the weekly dollar setup ..I haven't marked up the technical setup but trust
me its VERY BULLISH ...is dollar closes the week at 103 to above 104 ...and the monthly will then come into play I showed a while ago ..potential 3rd wave up in dollar against ALL expectations!
With ALL ^THIs going on Systemically ..can the SIM_ALGO really hold this wedge-a-thon into Nov 4? ..I say no...and first sign would be loss of 5800...2nd would be break of 5770...if that happens ..I expect a flash move down because historically the ALGO has to 'sell back inventory' which is MASSIVe and HISTORIC high held according to the IMBALANCE data ..unless some way has be found around it. TBD
And following my EOD post ..I just wanted to point this ..regarding my 'logic' analysis
- the phrase 'you can't fool all of the people all of the time' comes to mind
- I don't know how accurate the poll but if its even ballpark .which I bet it is from my experience...then 79% to 21% 'is the country on right track' ..HELL NO ..duh...is as I said, going to effect people's subconscious 'vote' when they actually turn up versus 'polling' ..and also effect Turnout ..not actually turning up.
Also the answer she gave was one of worst I've ever heard ...but no surprise to this paying attention and not swallowing the Matrix programming-
* FYI - When I am made Supreme rule of the universe....my first act is remove mosquitoes in petty revenge for their attacks on me at Grand Canyon ..but ..my 2nd is to eliminate AUTOCORRECT across all sentient and artificial life ..and make naming such an algorithm a capital punishment .... it is auto ..but rarely does it 'correct' Grrr. ...it is more aptly named 'auto-illiterate' - another 'time saving' tech that doesn't actually save time ...like the promise of most.
I haven't commented much recently on the Fake Reality Show 'PTB Puppet President' ...and I've explained my view and reasoning at length.
- It doesn't matter to anything except to suggest the NEXT PTB SCRIPT ..and they different slightly for each 'asset/puppet' - Dems = more hyperinflation path, escalation WWIII, removal of 1st amendment etc. Trump PTB Script = slightly slower version
- I don't have any political affiliation ..because its clearly an insane system, and supporting an insane, fraudulent system makes no logical sense ...if u forced me to vote at gunpoint, in this case I would vote Trump purely because he is less likely to remove remainly free speech or PTB would find it harder to write a script for that with him as the actor 'president'.
Btm line - the only 'dog' in this I have is Objectivity, as always..not tribal selection bias.
What I wanted to comment on - is What else this might tell us.
- I believe, I've been able to call the winner of every election in recent memory..hell I even Called Trump winning in 2016 from his first announcement when everyone thought his running was a joke (if u want to see the game, go and see how many references were made in tv/movies in prior 20 years to Trump being President..u will be shocked or not ...predictive programming at its finest ..that's a whole other subject)
- THIS one I said I can't call ....it has unusual situation of Trump 'should' win in landslide due to collapsing real economy/cost living. 'its the economy stupid' ..despite Gaslightening Central pulling off the biggest FAKE economy/markets in history for last 12 months ...the bottom 60-80% are SUFFERING BIGTIME ..and that is the key vote.
- BUT ..because the Trump 'character' was written precisely to be 'a bad man/hate figure' for the PTB to TROJAN in Dems in 2020 ......and NOW. using that...along with the Matrix ..to force Dems in 2024.
OK - with ^THIS CONTEXT - I will make the call or lay out what's clear now
- Trump is going to win in a landslide ...with ONE Disclaimer, and its KEY ..as to 'where we are ' in what I call the PTB GRAND PLAN ..since WWII.
- It's clear from MATH ...and logic ..two things I can do well.
- 1st the POLLS are now TOOLS of the MATRIX/Gas-lighting complex ...in 2016 Clinton was 11% ahead and lost ...admittedly, because the PTB planned of her to lose ..with the whole Comey email investigation just before Election Day ...but they have already tried everything to scupper Trump and failed...so ..unless they actually don't fire warning shots next time....
- Trading markets are high odds close to the mark ...if the Biased Polls show the usual convient 0.5-1% margin in key states ...shocked I say! LOL ...their MO is sooooo very predicted ...and its clear if it really is within that margin, they can ' override' that...but, I don't believe it actually is for data reasoning above, for TREND reasons ..direction of data ..and last next, logic.
- Logically, given I know the economy/jobs have been horrible from all I talked to for months...what people SAY, and what they DO ...historically differ ...they can SAY 'its about abortion' but when they walk into vote history shows its their personal situation they vote on ...I always remember when Thatcher won and was done 22+% in polls...being asked weeks after admittedly they voted for her but literally 'didn't know why'...this is that subconscious effect ....talk is cheap, but deep down ..the mass of people. don't actually want 4 more years of rising cost of living, mass immigration and threat of WWIII.
Now - If I'm 'wrong' ...for me ...the PTB are going to have to OUT themselves like they did during COVID with blatant Censorship .....this time, they will not be able to just 'sneak a suspect steal'..it will have to be MASSIVE ..and OBVIOUS to point its going to possibly 'more trouble than its worth?'...
- Do the PTB want to maintain the fake facade of elections ? or not ...TBD
BTM LINE - the model and my read is here RISK is rising of a SHARP DROP ...similar to prior to all the previous short term drops here..but 2 weeks until the Show Finale ..and a year spent faking and lying about everything ...so ....it will be fought as it is, with all SYM ALGO resources..logically, that means
- either no drop but we get insane risk reading ...and if anything happens then as trigger ..we could see a flash crash Or
Actually - that is 'interesting' ...I look at last few months of the relentless support waves...and this is
- FIRST TIME ..that stocks haven't responded
- the MOST EXTREME ( it has 3 'ripples' where naturally would turn down but re-injected) = absolutely massive extreme stock support last week or so ..shocking I know LOL
- my read - is 10000% clear SPX 'wants' to drop to 5770 on swing down ...so ...its a question of whether the SIM-ALGO can Toto it ..as in 'hold the line' :-)
Also could be related to fact Dollar still rising ...and into the LAG EFFECT on LQ zone ..I've tried to show idea on this chart. ..so LQ is Systemic LQ from Dollar/Sterling etc + Insta ALGO LQ ...summation ...as Systemic LQ drops ..(as dollar rises) I've noticed Insta ALGO LQ can compensate for a period ( The Lag period) but always tend to run out 'eventually' around now
I'm pretty tired today..got back late last night .... scorching freak heat sat/sunday ...did get back. up Tanner trail until 5pm Monday ... but here I am ..and got bitten to death by mosquitoes ..never happened by the river on all previous 6 trips....seems even the insect life want humans dead LOL
OK - not much happened looks like
- stocks took trip to top of channel and now backing. back off
- TLT and yields did iii ..now iv bounce OR v down and now 1...2? bounce
- Dollar/sterling holding and confirming IT up move high odds ...
- remains AMAZING that stocks are not dropping ..but just confirming the 10 months of relentless 'support' i.e. direct buying ...unTil Nov 4
- TNX/TYX definitely looks more 'iv' than v now 2 ...if u get me ..i.e. I am looking for yields to rise a bit higher before bigger retrace ..but ...alt is v ..1 now 2.
- SPX - any more drop tomorrow ..and I look for a much bigger drop here ..that's clear on many dynamic signals.
!!!FYI - BEFORE I Forget - I will AWAY Fri-Mon ...hiking in Grand Canyon as I tend to spring and Autumn ..going down Tanner trail to beamer and 'confluence' this time ..something new ...a little less than I've done previously ..but been VERY hot...insanely hot ...so that might kill me a bit ...So you guys/gals need to keep everything running smoothly fri/mon for me :-)
TLT ...I can't remember if I posting this signal .. but anyway..ton of back history..THIS is VERY UNIQUE
- I did go over this recently that bonds yields 'should be dropping' . ..but I believe as I said we'd get this IT rise in yields...due to technical setup we went over to death, but also then the COST of cheating the markets/economy etc etc bla bla I went over.
- So now perhaps..we are beginning to see 'unique' things happen in OPPosite direction ...a Reversion to Extreme ..or really Reversion of never seen overriding of everything ....hard to day how that goes but this is 1st thing to really catch my eye
- its on WEEKLY ..so if tomorrow see big drop in yields ..it could change the signal ..which I'll go over below ...but I HIGHLY doubt that.
- Signal - on 40 years of back test this signal is thing of beauty ...and in this case.a cross of Mid-Band(man, Auto 'correct is killing me' ..makes me seen dumber than I really am GRRrr) is 100%. CYCLE BUY ..(one degree higher than IT )....BUT ..a DROP DOWN as we have here of signal has NEVER happened ..and also PRICE(TLT yields rise) ...as well
- its not 'done deal' but if we take out that 93 area ...or don't see a big drop in yields in next week ...I believe its FIRSt signal of BIG TROUbLe coming on this front ...as I expected.
* ST TLT SETUP ...if getting into that first target zone 93.93.5 ...if that doesn't produce a temp low ..oh boy! could see a mini bond flash 'crash'.
Which just leaves stocks ( trying to update all setups as I will be able to until tue)
- Somehow ( ha ha ) ..infinite support..they are still hanging tough
- it looks more like the down swing got ALGO'd ..but that will now limit current up swing ..and eventually produce a completed rising wedge that drops hard down out of it 'at some point' ..I cd be wrong...but despite endless support...the bond/dollar LQ cut off favors this or more churn ..not a acceleration up out of it.
KEEP at least ONE eye on CRB and OIL here ...Not far from Big trouble as well.
Oil Futures have possible 1...2...next 3 up ...I would not be surprised by further Middle East escalation such as Israel attacking Iran oil infrastructure ....despite being told no publicly..which means nothing of course ...
Oil back above 76 ..will put this high odds and run to 'da moon' next.
OT - but not by much ..my wife is huge reader ..I am not other than 'factual information' my whole life I've probably only read books in school ...
- she is currently reading Winston Churchill account of WWII ...because we've been talking alot about similarities to now ...and he is good writer.
We had a few really interesting discussions because as teenager I rad so much on WWII ..to understand how/why it happened ...as said..I never felt 'fully human' as could not understand what happened.....so went down rabbit holes and back to know the. truth...and not just what 'history' reaches us...which tends to be Narrative of the victors etc.
Anyway - with that context ...we were talking about how in particular, the Jewish were infact being persecuted in all Europe ..not just Germany ..and that one of first 'truths' I found that TWO key facts were hidden ...
1. The Medical 'profession' yet again were mass murdering ...I've talked about this many times...but this particular murderous campaign began out of Eugenics in 1800's ..and Phrenology, and because 'ethnic' and 'purity' ...the idea of criminal looks/mind etc ...and Jews got caught up in that...so no, Hitler didn't come up with ..he just refined the process horrifically .. but go look at Nuremberg and who was in trial ...
- I have tried my entire life to get it across to people what medicine has been a dangerous pseudo science for 100+ year ..and we said, it AMAZING how they have 'rebranded' themselves post Nuremberg ...
2. The cause of WWII was really WwI .. the seeds ...its complicated ...but essentially the desire for reparations from Germany ...and then the Great Depression led to rise of fascism across the Germany and most of Europe ..except UK ..and US ..who put heads in sand because WWI cost so much ...they didn't want to face the rise of fascism and left it too late.
This has massive parallels to today...Ironically, it was the 'collective guilt' of the West post WWII that led to creation of Israel as Jewish homeland in 1948 by UN ..but at hand of UK/USA ...and I have no doubt, a strong PTB hand as said to again .sow seeds for WWIII 'when needed, light blue touch paper and stand well back' ...sad, but obvious. I won't blame Israel for what is happening now, its very similar to Ireland or any other long complex situation ...however, the USA/UK DO bare MASSIVe BLAME right now ..because in truth, Israel is another PROXY...they supply the arms, $ and moral authority ...and its of course th NEOcons /MIC PUSHING escalation ..same as in Ukraine ..that is even worse if you dig deep, truly disgusting the likes of Anthony Blinken and Nuland.
So, whilst hope springs eternal..this does seem like a MAJOR ECHO to early 1930's...with the only difference a massive Matrix for mind control and financial system control...but its obviously this could implode into global depression at press of button (literally) ..and then all the 'seeds' will BLOOM alas.
Talking of Matrix ..Israel ...Neocon/MIC puppets LOL
Seems like about 10% of population now realize they have never had democracy ..and it's all controlled no different to China or Russia ...but just without the brute force ( until now that is.) ... that's up from the <1% until the Plandemic ...but even the 50% of GOP most still not getting their 'red pills' are just purple pills ( thinly coated blue ones) ..that Trump is NOT going to save them LOL ...sure ...sure..he was 'tricked' 1st term..that's it !:-)
- the rise in dollar has cut off some of the LQ ....its dribbling down ..but obviously still alot of support for stocks ...eventually though, historically after a LAG ..about now ...it WILL Effect stock LQ
- There isn't enough LQ now to support bonds as well...this is NOW very similar to 2021 ..where yields starting to rise and stocks churned for a while mildly higher ..then ...topped
EOD - TOMORROW ..will give me 1st read on BOND move here ..just what the wave setup looks like ....
- I've shown the setup on charts posted for month and for this ABC worked out perfectly
- BUT - I also have that potential 'c' up of '2' ..I put that lows odds but were close to negating that now
-also close to that RHS execution
- and as said triggered whole bunch of model signal buys and weekly as well
Cycle Degree TNX chart ..this might make it clearer...it been a thing of beauty for 3 years since I posted this count ...now it a bit trick but I've market the decision areas here.
SO my read remains ...we are at start of next 'inflationary wave/scare' into end of year and bond yields will surprise to upside here....and this is not just a technical move for swing up we had setup - but THIS NOW HERe is the 1st real decision point on that
- I'd like to see yields 'hang tough' and or even move higher here..that would be strong hint.
Dollar 'ditto ..but has a bit more room for technical variation here...
to be fair - most humans are dumb . I also saw interview with Musk ...
- look, I can't say too much without sounding to uncalibrated mind of 99.9999% insane..but
actually NONE of these people are 'smart' ..but this is a DEFINITIONAL ISSUE
- I've gone into this a little before ....maybe I can put it this way
- 'a smart person would ask ..'what is smart' ' ...
- This is simple an example 'selection bias' ..where the people who are interview, are the people who have been define 'smart' without anyone creating a definition
- Thi is where I started around aged 13-18 ....I studied magic actually, and book by Tony Buzan ...I was also in modern terms 'gifted' ...but struggling in remedial school classes ..long story ... those of us that think outside of 'normal smart' ...almost cannot communicate this ..I spent lifetime studying and learn how to ..and its a perceptual paradox
- Take this interview - stating 'machines will be more intelligent' demonstrates to me like Musk, these ae 'bounded intelligence' ..they 'don't even know, what they don't know'
- SIMPLER - Because a person say 'figures out how to split the atom' - does that make them understand human consciousness? ...no, it makes them 'very smart' in one narrow area ...
- In this example ...AI is not about human intelligence...I know because I worked in it ..it's simply emulation of pattern recognition ..it yields very little insight into human consciousness .
- the problem is ..the divergent minds who ask the right question 'what is smart' ...etc ..are incredibly rare, and find humanity intolerable ..I was saved by getting into computer aged 11 ...it tethered me for a while ...but most 'find the off ramp' because we are 'aliens amongst humans' and find all of this BS Matrix too much ..I am the 'lucky/unlucky' one ..to get this far..though. not without dying once ....
- btm line: If you want to be 'smart', start by asking 'how does language even work, and how does my brain work' ..and NO, AI doesn't tell you anything about it ..its statistical based emulation of pattern recognition ...it no more answers this an a automaton tells you about human consciousness ... its exhastperating the platform is never given to those of us who have more understand ..or It was in my late 20's ..now I just smile, and laugh at human ignorance and faults of the biological computer.
- We are DOOMED ..not by AI ..but by our biological brain flaws leading to as Gulliver's Travels put it 'the people on the floating island'... If by some fluke or divine intervention these fools don't destroy us ...this maybe realized but I'm not holding my breath LOL ..this 3rd time through the 'consciousness evolution' does not look like we will reach higher level as many 'woo woo' seem to believe based on more delusion ...we fail I believe, but NEXT time we make it because next time there will be more divergents...just my 2cents.
Along with my gut that Trump is clearly winning by wide enough margins in key states ...
- suddenly forcing her to do interviews that Arne't fully scripted or fake debates
- .and now we see ( we already know though) why she's been in hiding.
NONE of IT MATTER ..Trump has shown he is 100% a PTB puppet ...but as said, I do believe it affects the post Nov 4 LQ decision OR possibly before ...this is my main interest at this point.
No, not in stocks market ...YET...but the clouds they are a'brewing'.
First - I note this ...and I mentioned last week my 'gut' that Trump is surging in key states ...well now this ( I didn't explain why..I will a bit here)
The SIMPLEST answer to this is - and I talked to several people last week about this ..that the GAS LIGHTING COMPLEX ultimately FAILS when you have a big enough REAL WORLD PRoblem
- Food cost and rent cost for one ..and should alone be enough to see Trump win by miles ..but ...we know the what's going on but
- Then hurricane Helene and the pathetic response ..no surprise ..and that is what I believed would do it ..especially due to the location. ...they still try to lie. lie lie ..but word or more pcitures/videos get out ...they will be banned next of course!
This is a BIG Problem ..so this raises RISK of final run of PTB Crazy False flaggers into Nov 4.
Bonds and usd/sterling are still tracking nicely... TLT in iii of v...but I'd like to see iv v ..to be sure...but this is 'trouble' part II ..and USD strengthen Part III.
Now stocks are being ALGO saved by the minute ...but ..IF it can't ..if maybe enough VOLUME turns up to down side...I think we could see another mini-flash move down again ...though doubtless another save.
If you missed my Sunday diatribe on fake 'everything' data wise at least...and FED run Ponzi scheme ...this caught my eye re: my favorite quote I came up with
- Just because someone will pay you $million to buy a garden shed, doesn't mean all garden sheds are now worth $million ( though in Ponzi's that what all believe)
- or missile silo's LOL ..perfect timing for the article
What I failed to mention ..is also the how markets post Ponzi operate - its called ILLIQUID ..that is, that missile silo that cost near $million ...like now for houses, there are no bids..no buyers...(as most are maxed out even at 6-10 times incomes ) ... so its a THEORETICAL VALUE ...like most houses currently ... to become a REAL VALUe - you need a BUYER ...stocks are different because Market Makers acts as liquify in the transaction ...hence you can pretty much always sell stocks other than all out freezing of computers...NOT true of Ponzi schemes.
Infact this is MASSIVELY Important Analysis/discussion ..I have had in my head but not with you guys/gals ...and I wasn't unto going into as bit of rabbit hole.
- But CONSIDER OUR REALITy
- There literally is no real economy left Ex- Housing Ponzi scheme ..and somewhat stocks ..I went over this ...many times ...it FED version of Keynesian ...create house/stocks bubbles ..then get people to 'spend the equity'.
- Then as said - at time of their choosing ..they suddenly Pop it - by restricting credit standards 'suddenly we see Risk oh my , shocked we are' LOL ...yes ..post Nov 4 or whatever convient date in each case.
Now - here'a the Rabbit hole bit ...and make you realize it's MUCH WORSE than I've said ...our situation is WWIII worthy ..oh wait? ..we just happen to have one ready! :-)
- Lets say someone on your street puts a house for sale at 500K, at this time the average most recent sales are 250K ..
- the sale goes through...some bank lets Fred buy it 50 times incomes LOL ..whatever...that's a joke...sort of ..not by much.
- IS every SIMILAR HOUSE in USA now DOUBLEd in VALUE - Doubling the NET WORTH of all OWNERS ? ..YES ..According to the Matrix ....but Wait ..let's think about it
- 1 person too on 500K of debt ....the buyer...then lets say 100 million people who own houses just gain 250K of equity ...lets sat 10 Trillion of equity was created by one act of 500K debt....now THAT some LEVERAGE PEOPLE! LMFAO
Do you not see the problem with this 'thinking'? ...
- It's flawed ...let examine carefull
- now 100 million people 'take out' that 250K windfall by Fed buying one house...and spend it....now there equity is gone...but OK ...we're fine ...they have it sitting in the bank as cash? er, alas NOT according to the data...they is SPEND SPEND SPEND'did it ...
- NOW the REAL problem is - it works also in REVERSE ...someone SELLS a house back at 250K ...now does everyone's price drop.?
Infact ^this is really not far from what is going on - except it takes an average of many sales no just one ...but it shows the ABSURDITY of claiming this as NET WORTH I pointe out Sunday ( worth taking a look ) I made alot of points there using Chat GPT.
- its GROSS FAKING .and torturing of data and concept to mask reality
- I don't know how to fix net worth..but using housing/stock Ponzi scheme max leverage it total bullshyte ....that is a THEORECTIAL and UNREALIZABLE Net worth ..as said, because attempt to realize it involved selling ..and once 'everyone is in' and we peak out ..and we can use historical valuation metrics and see we are 'so far off the reservation' we can't even see it LOL .... its clear maybe only 5-10% could realize gains ..by then prices will fall and eliminate the theoretical equity ...aka 2008.
The WORSE part I haven't even touched - which is how FED policy to run Ponzi scheme causes as Austrians would say 'insane maladjustments' and especially 'insane personal balance sheets' i.e. quitting jobs, not saving, spending way beyond means in reality not theory .... and as we see ...that is EXACTLY happened again here...well duh! ...so when it drops ...folks are FAR WORSE off than 2008/9 as result....
FED have create a Smoke and Mirrors 'economy' - it's sick ..but what is new! ...and as long as we NEVER pop bubbles the dancing on titanic can go on ...well..good luck with that ! :-)
- the only way it doesn't collapse is ..well..at this point.. keep pushing the income multiples ...and then won't people can't pay mortgage...not calling that in ...
- we have had VERY few SALEs for 2 year because system is maxed out ..but so far, NO One DROPPING PRICES to get a SALE ...why? because we are still in MANIA ..and everything believes they can get higher price and also 'get out' if things turn down ...
-as said, in reality only 1-3 % will 'get out' then it goes ILLIQUID again like 2008.
- What will it take to see it TURN i.e. lower prices to get buyers ...hard to say.usually as said its the Financial PTB that do it deliberately ...using Matrix to scare people and tighter credit standards .....If not ...its harder to predict..but the amount of possible triggers has to be highest ever here ...Cyber attack, loss of power grid, WWIII etc ...even if we dodge all that....pure 'avalanche effect will eventually occur.
LQ TOOK a Significant DROP Today ...too early to say 'a DRAIN' has finally begun ..but ..I am watching closely ..Nov 4 not far away..and we discussed they might pull it BEFORE ..it that plan is to 'get it out the way' in 2025 ..as fast as possible ..would also indicate if so, that Trump will be installed.
* also lagged from dollar/sterling turn high odds ...
I notice Price finally also move 1:1 with LQ ...that strongly indicates the support Algorithm finally turned off...at least for today ..and 'real buying' (about 10% of volume LOL) is weak.
Tomorrow will give next big clue here.....it's boring ..but also important information to me.
OIL Crossed 1st Key Pivot today...big one is close now around $80 ..above that...add to the trouble list. :-)
The British Bullshit Corporate ..slip a NARRATIVE of FALSE SCIENCE in there as usual -
"Their discoveries help explain how complex life emerged on Earth"
LMFAO - There is NO HARD SCIENCE to support complex life emerging on earth - NADA, ZIP
INFACT ALL MATH of INFORMAtioN THEORY says its IMPOSSIBLe
( Im generalizing/summarizing below ..to Make a point...detail is of course missing but I' debated a geneticist for 2 years on this ..a won ..so ..there's that...I offered him a million dollars and support for Noble prize if he could prove the math/science wrong using fruit flies he worked on ...he couldn't ... and as I pointed out ...Mother Nature is not a controlled contrived LAB environment and the conditions used are plain 'stupid' ...we also would need to get into the physics and math of 'randomness' which I did on Physics org and rattled their brains to point I was accused of 'withholding vital knowledge from humanity' LMFAO ..I point out, I simply made them challenge the faulty assumptions of brain ...but that's a long conversation - those that know me, know I don't say things without going to 'hell and back' rabbit hole wise ... btm line - where I say 'random' below..that concept itself it total bullshit ...but too long to go into here...ask yourself 'how to do you its 'random' and what does that even mean in physical reality ( not statistics)...you might want to start reading Steven hawking on loss of information from universe and string theory ..but again .it will go long ...human mind is very good at delusion, even high LQ/sciency ones .+. faulty assumptions and tribal group think )
- all you need to know is ... Inorganic compounds do NOT RANDOMLY Become ORGANIC ...at least probability wise its so rare as to be impossible...you need to provide a causal process ..even If I give you underwater volcanoes and lightening to won't help much to generate the amount of peptides required..see below.
Life cannot 'emerge' without 3 keys steps at minimum( and there is aLOT more I could go into ) that are in real world condition next to impossible ( despite wishful thinking and arm waves 'here magic happens')
1. Inorganic elements forming organic ones - peptides on a scale requires for random chance to lead to nucleotide strands
2. The organization of those nucleotides into perfect sequence for REPLICATION ..which also requires a DECODE Ribosome to work perfectly ..its been mathematically calculated the universe would have to be billions of times older for random chance to have that occur JUST ONCE ..but wait
3. It couldn't occur just ONCE - but would need to occur millions of times..because of cell death, bad replication and errors as exist to this day ...infact the entire replication process would have to 'evolve' through random mutation, how exactly is that even possible?
This is the kind of bullshit that needs to go ...admit 'we can't explain it' ..beautiful theories meet ugly facts on this one ... most reputable thinking scientist believe infact:
- must have come here on a comet or asteroid ..though, that simply moves the problem elsewhere
This can infact be summed up different - its in all practicality ( ugly facts) impossible for systems to go from 'low information' to 'high information' ..randomly ...its against the law of entropy ...especially true in biological systems because 'errors = disease' ..
- If you don't believe this - ask 'how many humans have AGED BACKWARD' because that's essentially what you're claiming ...and without a supplement or food ( external entropy to the system) ....just 'randomly' ...NOT ..GOING ..To. HAPPEN ..don't care how many billions of years I give u ...
.there is literally no evidence of it and attempt to explain such as 'cut off rapid population mutation' are NOT SCIENCE..since its a beautiful theory with no observational data.
To BE FAIR - I don't doubt this has a chance of explaining some of it..it shows the problem of observational science ...I don't know the answer, nobody does ...we don't have enough data ...I would 'guess' that its parts of all of it ...peptides and or even nucleotides on comets/asterioid ...some 'special circumstance' and cut off environments etc - ultimately I believe a different answer but pure science wise this is best fit ...outside of that, we have it all backward..information isn't random ..its downloaded but heads will explode so I'll leave that for now :-)
IMPORTANT separate issue - I encourage you to watch this video on what I believe (see my comment ) is longer term an important new PTB play ...GOvt sponsored mass suicide ...I wish I was making this up ..alas not...
Sunday Oct 6 - This by chance caught my eye ..more of the ALL DATA is FAKE Matrix
Google AI
Is the average American struggling financially?
48.6% of Americans consider themselves to be “broke,” and 66.2% feel they are “living paycheck to paycheck.”Aug 9, 2024
Net worth of bottom 50%
Averaging $51,000 in wealth, the bottom 50% make up the lowest share, accounting for 3% of the wealth distribution in America. Income growth across this bracket has increased by over 10% between 2020 and 2022, higher than all other brackets aside from the top 1%.Feb 19, 2024
Now - definitional issues of 'paycheck to paycheck' - but I see it in people who work around us ..that, without their pay check they have NO SAVINGS to pay rent - food ...literally.
So, unless the bottom 50% have 50K locked up in houses ..(its not stocks) ...then this is BS -
- infact it is BS
The BS is that Net Worth is using Housing - in biggest bubble of all time ..and 2nd ignoring Equity extraction ...if we gel with the FED housing debt data which I Posted this becomes clear.
This is the kind of simplistic bs accounting that put Enron on cover of Business week as best company in US only for it to be bankrupt a year later!
- But it DOES reveal what the PTB are up to ...
- they are COLLAPSING BUSINESS and real peoples net worth from bottom up as I've gone over
- I can now see signs everywhere i go ... no staff ...I can't even get a haircut becuase only 2 cutters where used to be 5 .... why ? ...business cannot afford to pay the wages required ...
- SO MASSIVE number of the JOB POSTINGs are FALSE .... some are just 'feelers' and this have been documented, but MANY are 'we'll hire you to work at 2 cents an hour - any takers?!' ...
They will keep the ASSET BUBBLES going until the underlying structure of economy collapses...which is NOW ..and as said bottom 60% are broke ...credit card and other debt data shows this is also NOW and LAGS ...so its actually MUCH WORSE
Eventually - when they are ready..they then COLLAPSE LQ and COLLAPSE the ASSET bubbles and 'poof' the 'leveraged net worth' drop by 50-70% ....for top 40% ...and likely at that point
- only the top 1% will have net worth at all ...and average 90% will be under water.
>NOW the GOVT come to rescue ...signs for social credit score living wave.
Prediction - this happens in next 10 years, probably in next 5-6 years.
FYI - I have a long 'discussion' I.e. I told ChatGPT its wrong and explained why on this...it took about 10 attempts at lying to me before it finally admitted what I know to be true ...and I copy that final point below ...its 'interesting' to say the least how these generative programs lie lie lie and only admit the logical facts if you stick to your guns ...I had to literally spell it out - which in this case I could because I really know the data well ...I could have pointed out more falsehoods but this is a start ....I told it point blank it was wrong, but as I say ..it took 10 attempts before it admitted it LOL ..I do NOT believe this an 'accident' ..as I've experience this with literally every 'matrix fact' versus 'actual fact' ..so Generate programs are the next gen Matrix disinfo ...simple as that....and as usual most won't be able to challenge it.
-------------
I think this is why the net worth is wrong for bottom 50%, it fails to consider equity extraction and credit card debt which is current at all time highs
ChatGPT said:
ChatGPT
You’re correct in pointing out that the reported net worth for the bottom 50% of households can be skewed or overstated due to several factors, especially when considering current levels of debt and equity extraction practices.
Key Issues with Net Worth Calculation:
Equity Extraction: The Federal Reserve’s data shows that many homeowners have engaged in cash-out refinances and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), using their homes as a source of funds. This practice surged particularly during periods of rising home prices, such as in the past few years. By withdrawing equity, homeowners reduce the actual value of their home equity, which should theoretically lower their net worth. However, if these liabilities aren’t fully accounted for, the net worth numbers can appear inflated(
Home
).
Credit Card and Other Consumer Debt: Credit card debt has recently reached record highs, surpassing $1 trillion in 2023 according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Households in the bottom 50% are especially reliant on credit cards and other forms of high-interest debt to manage everyday expenses. This increased borrowing diminishes the real net worth, as higher debt balances eat into any asset gains, especially when interest compounds at high rates(
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
).
Misleading Average Net Worth: The reported net worth of $51,000 for the bottom 50% is an average, not a median. This means a small number of lower-income households with significant assets (e.g., older individuals with paid-off homes) can skew the average upwards, making the broader group’s financial situation appear better than it is. For many households, their actual net worth may be close to zero or even negative once debt is factored in.
Conclusion:
Net worth figures that fail to accurately reflect the impact of rising consumer debt and equity extraction may overstate the financial health of the bottom 50%. For these households, the reality is that their financial situation is fragile, burdened by high debt levels, and dependent on volatile sources of liquidity rather than true asset growth. An improved net worth calculation should incorporate these liabilities more effectively to provide a clearer picture.
FYI - I did a lot of digging into data and something is VERY CLEAR -
- GOVT DATA doesn't Add up ...
- For example the BLS SAving Rate is total BS
I suspect the FED emergency giant rate cut is as well as 2024 'vote democrat' campaign
- because they have the REAL DATA ..and see what I'm seeing first hand in talking to many people daily and looking at their financial - which is
- the REAL economy has Gone OVEr the CLIFF
Either everyone is lying to me ..and faking their financial data ..or the GOVT is ...guess what is more likely in election year LOL
Here is what is important, I am certain that
- Credit card debt Is WAY HIGHER than reported..it LAGS ...I bet when we see the data series backward looking to this period next year.. you will see its going INSANE right now...
..again anecdotally, I suddenly have lots of tenants asking how to pay with rent with credit cards..people who always paid by check ..
- the SAving rate is HISTORIC LOW ..it HAS to be ..unless LOGIC is banned...its SIMPLE ppt he cOSt of Living has almost DOUBLED ..in 4 years...FACT ...and income have not risen ..and saving rate was already around 5% after the spike up for COVID handouts ....no way its still 4.0% LMFAO ...LIARS @ .... eventually you will see its <4% and I bet an historic in new low around this period in Jan 25.
- CASh in Banks .is low ..and relates to savings rates..so ditto.
This is POLICY of FED ...who deliberately starting 1999 create bubbles to suck in everyone ..out of saving and sense ..and into gambling in stocks/houses ...THEN ENCOURARE 'equity extractions' ....to keep SPENDING ...I talked about this early 2000's that this was new SCHEME to stop collapse of system ..to push it out ... when that failed in 2007 ..they came up with predictable 'FED will create trillions out of thin air' Solution '(try not to laugh) ..to push it out further ( I and Bob Bronson on longwaves predicted all of this in 2001 bTW ..so predictable ...and said it will keep going to around 2030 ...the END game is where it collapses again ...around now into 2030 ..and we are boxed in where by FED creating say 30 trillion more needed this time ... would cause end of fiat system and rates to sky to 15_% and all foreigner sell US assets this time as default would be obviously coming.
ITs just one PonZI scheme after another - the only puzzle in 2023/24 have been
- WHY since this is MORe DEBT, WORSE OFF, HIGHER COSTS and HIGHER RATE than 2007 have we NOT YET BLOW UP?
Answer is - More lies, more effective lying Matrix ...+ the bust phase is due to BANks and creditors tightening standards ( try not to laugh at idea of standards! ) ..its ALL on PTB ORDERS via FED Orders of course - and 2024 ...you know why they would be telling them all 'no no no ...keep lending' ...
- Prediction as I've said - in 2025...all of this flips..assuming they intend to deflate for a bit ..suddenly those 6-10 time income multiples aren't allowed ..no buyers ( there's very few for last two years anyway) ...and then they use MATRIX to FLOAT 'housing bust' and trigger a bust .... the ALT is ...they want this one to go even more insane ...maybe 20-50 times incomes LOL ....who knows....
There is nOTHING NEW UNDER the SUN - the US 'economy' went BANKRUPT in 2008...since then its FAKE on GOVT/FED faking ...and creating a new bigger PONZI as 2007 same way .....there is literally almost no REAL economy now.and those not in the ponzi scheme are bust...and those that are ..sitting on FAKE NET WORTH ..because if only 1-5% try to realize that worth by selling houses..the whole Ponzi will collapse ...just because some idiot pays 1 miliion for a garden shed, doesn't mean garden sheds are worth 1 millions ...this is the FALLACY of PONZI over and over ...and this one will be no different ! even if its a FED/GOVT sponsored one .... don't know exactly when...but it WILL blow up ...it WILL be worse than 2008...and we know HOW they will do it as said
- watch lending standards and matrix output for 'triggers' and or
- false flags ..cyber attacks, EMPs, electric grid collapse , wWIIII ..they have big toolbox to trigger when ready.
To update this CRITICAL Cycle degree chart on CRB - key to watch next weeks to months ..as discussed..if we move above 300-305 we are 'so flucked' ....and my 'mini inflation scare' scenario could become 'historic inflationary melt down' scenario
The F-Election ... as usual the 'polls' will say 'its too close to call' ..with <1% margins in KEy states...so as usual the Uniparty Reality show ...will allow them to crown whoever
- The historic effort this time to crown a Dem puppet .. faking all economic data, historic propping up markets and economy ...100% Media lies ...etc etc ..makes it clear that's the 'ideal'
BUT - It also clear to me ..that its literally impossible Trump isn't ahead in all key states...
- so this is going to be a Great Benchmark for just how big of margin the PTB can overcome
- i've said before probably has to be within 1% .....
- the question is ..what are the REAL numbers..the polls are just part of the Gaslighting complex ..to convince masses 'no no its real'...Suuuuurreee LOL
My gut here is the Dem puppet is losing momo for many reasons not worth my time to analyse...but it strong sense this is true ....and the Trump puppet ...would win by 2-3% in key enough key states ....so this should be fun to see what can be overriden.
To reiterate my view:
If PTB put uniparty Dem puppet in - as said = inflationary collapse take more time
If PTB put unparty Trump puppet in - as said = likely LQ drain down cycle .and faster.
The PTB have clearly accelerated their WWIII script ...just in case of Trump goes 'off script' and make it impossible to derail their plans ... though,clearly they believe the scripted warning shots - both physical and lawfare will be enough to control Trump even if required ...they are no doubt correct.
Well - Dollar is finally testing that 102 ..and sterling took important drop ...so....things looking even better for the setup here... and Bond as expected starting to follow
- if these setups are going to 'fail' or get Wacked back down by simulation ALGO ..then .I has to happen by close tomorrow I believe...so critical period.
Stocks - somehow are hanging on ..unusual ..looks like a long 'b' wave here..and c down to close that gap 'eventually' as I've said ..
EOD - HEADS UP ...Tomorrow Looks VERy important to me
Here is what 'should' happen aka high odds setups we've been following
- TLT/TNX yields EXPLODe ...more on that in minute ..
- TNX has also same 'outside/insider' setup as dollar I showed ( we know why! lol
- Man, also the SIGNAL MODEL of rBONDS is PERECTLY SETUP for IT BUY ...we just need the confirmation here...though it 'shouldn't be' which I'll explain below in analysis ...and so ..If EVER all of this were going to FAIL ( lower odds patH) ..it would be now ..but I don't believe it will ...I strongly sense we are in trouble I will explain below in a bit..getting a clear view from this now.
SPX - should drop tomorrow ..in 'c' down . likely did that 'e' at close ...TBD
..but its a VERY complex corrective ..so ...if any interference ...could get another 'delay delay' rinse repeat ( in. wave term XYZ type deal)
DOLLAr - I am looking to FINALLY HOLD this 102 zone ..basing for breakout ..and weekly close near highs of week to confirm ..today definitely went a long way to support that.
COMMOdITIES - I went over that setup ..looking for move high to target I showed..OIL has 'outside inside' swing buy ..and today I believe took out Key pivot to upside..so OIL could EXPLODe high if breached here...its VERY close.
* here that chart again for oil - $73 its first key pivot..but above 74.5 is bigger ..I could see really fast big spike up from there and CRB with it.
What is becoming clear to me now - is the HIGHEST ODDS OUTCOME is as follows
- The COST of Propping up economy/markets into Nov 4 is NOW beginning to be paid ...by ..a DOWN CYCLE HERE ...that SHOULD make YIELDS DROP/ LOWEr INFLATION etc but instead WILL NOT ...the yields pattern drop is CUT oFF into this ABC type corrective ...but C 'should' now be hard down in yields ,anticipating recession etc
- So the NET EFFECT of a YEAR of MASSIVE $ to Prop it all up ...its OVERRIDNG the NATURAL DOWN CYCLe that should have begun nov 23 ..or anytime to now ...and thus
Yields DROP got CUT OFF ...
Here is the most likely NEXT step.
- We basically get an INFLATIONARY SPIKE immediately from here ....and Yields move up again ...etc
- BUT ..because the Natural Cycle is DOWN ..and has been DELAYED ...it won't move too high ...but enough too FORCE the CB to CUT OFF LQ ...esepcially since Nov 4 out the way ....I would guess sometime in Nov-Jan 25 ...
- THEN ...this UP BLIP and FORCED/DELAy Cycle will ABRUPTY 'RE - SYNCH' .
possible RIGHt TRANSLATION ..and 'crash' situation' ....though I don't believe that evert happen in Jan -March ..so TIMING would be tricky ...
BTM line - my best guess putting it all together
- we get inflationary scare NOW into Beg 25 ...as the COST of Forcing maket/economy up since natural down cycle last 9 month comes due ..it might not be obvious for a while but we will see it first in technical patterns we're rolling the 'ABC etc'
- THE LQ is Finally drained to Cut this off ...of course, maybe this is the plan and they don't cut it off...but I actually believe they will be forced to ...because if yields rise too much 'kaboom'
- THEN we CATCUP to last 12month( by that point ) sometime Jan -April 25 ...
- and we get a RIGHT TRANSLATED Time COMPRESSED Down Cycle ...
- ^THIs assuming ...WWIII doesn't occur ..and all manner of other planned or worse unplanned major events ..anything 'bad' and we are in Double trouble because of the amount of RISK put into system by overriding natural cycle with infinite Debt.
What I would be UNcLEAR on ..is If this plays out ..what that CYCLE will look like for stocks ..TBD I've talked about alts...but one step at time ....for Yields I think it a steeper drop but as part of corrective due to the inflationary insanity of system controllers.
For real economy - also unclear...the CREDIT CARD debt for one is massive explosive ...
- MAYBE they can allow minor fast 'air out' and then another MASSIVE OVERRIDE to upside? Or
- if not - well ..something way worse than 2008 is coming...and I don't really believe this time it could be 'saved' like 2009 ...so...unless THEY are ready to RESET ..then its more likely the former .... but this is what I hate ..this is down to PTB SCRIPT ..we don't have..so can't predict this ..and just have to see what events unfold.
But I DO think this is clearer than it was.
- inflationary scare/blip up now into end of year
- then synch to down and catchup ..
- after than 'it depends' as per discussed factors..
We are seeing crazy temps for October in the mountains here... 85 ..for weeks ..record highs...likely directly from increased thermal radiation ...
- I note I hear nothing about this in MSM/Matrix ...I wonder why? ...I will tell you
- because mentioning that would lead to questions ..such as 'if sun spots activity can have such big effect, how to you predict that in climate change models' ...and the answer is - they don't have DATA to do so ...why? ...because they isn't any way in earths geological record to separate out different 'heating/cooling' components such as solar/gas/water etc etc ...
- For all we know..there could be like markets, many different timeframe/Degree of SOLAR Cycles ...this is what Russian Scientists who've done most research believe
- I DO believe there is MAN MAN HEATIng from Carbon emissions BUT .. the question in science as I studied all the math and physics of this ..is ORDERS of MAGNITUDe ...if man made effect is 'X' ...but SOLAR Max effect is 100X ..then ...its irrelevant for long periods or ever.
There are ONE ways to FALSIFY MODELS
--> Through prediction - guess what, the models prediction from 80s, 90 for now are all WRONG by MASSIVer ORDERS of MAGNITUDE ....so that's a FAIL.
The DISINFORMATION (their favorite word ) that PAST HISTORICAL RECORD can be used to FALSIFY is part of the Gas-Lighting Complex ....CORRELATION is NOT CONFIRMATION ...basic science ... we can't use INFERENCE of CAUSALITY from past correlations ...its only a starting point, and causal models can ONLY be falsified by FORWARD PREDICTION
Btm line much SIMPLER - familiar to those in markets is , backward looking 'signals/models' will ALWAYS work ..but Not so much GOING Forward !
SOLAr cycle are a giant example of the obvious failures - but doubtless there are other effects not accounted for ..its Very complex.
As I've always said - the FOCUS should be Pollution of planet not 'carbon emissions' ...but our Corporate Overlords as usual are 'distracting' away from their mass polluting of air/water/food and responsibility for mass murder and sickness ...with 'oh see here, CO2' ..its again, like Plandemic ..False. 'science' and obviously so ...only suckering in those who can't see 'wood for trees'.
- my favorite 'outside - inside' setup ...if dollar holds the weekly close near highs or clear
102 ...Lookout above ...complete ABC and new cyclical up trend
- note the HYPER CORRELATION since Mid 23 to Bond Yields ...can u say simulation? :-)
btm line - seems to me ..we are on CUSP of another round of INFLATIONARY Demolision the FED & Matrix doing another round of Gas lighting the masses 'what higher prices ..no no...your imagining it' etc ...won't fly this time of course.
Also this Setup on UUP I posted...also right here at critical pivot ...I think we break up and same on USD over 102 this time ..but might be some Wac-it down as said 1st...we shall see.
DIFFRENT VIEw on LQ using CYCLEs not absolute LQ I posted this AM
- guess what ..it shows same ...current UP LQ cycle is LONGEST AND BIGGEST same as 2009-2010
- note. down cycle don't always = down market...but usually at BEST = sideways over a cycle...1-2 years ..... we are OVERDUE and OVER RED LINe on this one .....what happens if/when the SIM Forcing stop s...I favor down over sideways given the setup.
-..unless of course..they don't ever let LQ ever again ..but has to be reasons for cycles...that's whole other conversation ...for now..the ODDS are EXTREMELy HIGH ..this is purely 2024 'special order' election market/economy gaslighting by PTB.
the INTERNALs signals show - we are at 'max time period' for DROP here ...which agree's with the setup.
I notice - that LQ ...is just STUNNING ..we have seen an ENTIRE UP CYCLE's worth of LQ INJECTION in 9 months ....same as 2009 low and most of the other main cycles since ...
- not only that - in last 3 months its been VERTICAL
- We are HIGHEST MOMO of LQ in HISTORY
IF ever I doubted
- LQ is main tool they use to manipulate market ..it went from 99% sure to 10000% sure now LOL
- that they are the most CORRUPT CRIMINAL Regime EVER to run the market - 100000% sure now
- and that they won't relent until Nov 4....1000000% sure now.
CHART to PROVE it as usual ..when I get time ...you might need to lie down after seeing them ..here is the thing
- THIS have NEVER been DONE in all HISTORY.....we've ontyl ever seen these MASSIVE LQ INJECTIONS to FORM UP CYCLES at Major lows 2009, 2018, 2020 etc ...never at END of an up cycle like MAY 2024 for example !!!
- It's hard to project the COSTS down the road here ...but, it can't be good can it? ..especially now that price isn't even responding to a historic tidal wave of relentless LQ and ALGO support by the minute.
- I can't WAIT to sEE if this DROPs off a cliff POST NOV 4 ..that is the best guess ...and God only knows what happens then ..probably a crash as i've said.
Was SLIGHT FLIGHt to Safety ...due to the latest Middle East escalations ...
- bonds and dollar both catching bid BUT
- nothing proven to change there yet....need to see strling/dollar follow through now finally..and bonds to me looks like want to sell off once this flight to safety is done.
As said ..doubtful we change the patterns until after today ..and so it is.
Nothing much to add to what I've gone over here.
On big picture - I've shown a few people the data on debt I posted...and people are shocked, but then anecdotal confirmations
- a family friends who does accounts for law firm for example told me they have seen a FIVE FOLD increase in PERSONAL BANKRUPTCIES the last 3-4 months...shocking increase she said ...
Look - the Lever Pullers and Matrix gas lighting tools have gone TO THE MAX to FAKE evERYTHING into Nov 4 - ... Logically, there is no need/point to doing so after that...and I don't really think the need to past about now ..because of LAG effects anyway ...
- so, again, I repeat ...THIS IS NOT A PERIOD to EXTRAPoLATE from PAST PATTERNS
- this is UNIQUE in ALL HISTORY
- We don't really know what the COST will be ..but if you look at CRB, Yields they are saying 'one way or another we are all totally flucked' down he road here...either immediately ..or after a cycle down
I honestly believe, that since this DEBT is about TWICE 2007 right now ..maybe higher...that it would be impossible to recover from down cycle ...
- but that is WHY we ended up at TWICE the debt..because ...too big to fail etc
- and as said..that's put us into this impossible situation of 'death by rising costs living/yields' or 'death by another debt collapse' except this time...FED would need 2-3X the QE ..and we never even paid back the balance sheet from 2009 ...thus I believe
- We aRE On EDGE of MASSIVE EVENT to DISTRACT ...WWIII acceleration, or political domestic terrorism event unlike any other etc etc..or another PLANDEMIC ( bigger..badder..worser) ..something to say to masses 'hey, look here ..not there' ..has to big enough that fact increasing millions are homeless/living in cars, can't afford to live ...except for 10-20% of population with houses/stocks ....
** - I believe one MAIN GOAL is to END the CONStITUTION over the next 4 years ** ..whatever it takes.
For me. .^this is where we are....
And we ALSo should see if I'm right VERY SOON - as into into OCT is possible, but definitely in Nov-Jan 25 period.
* SPX - I think if tomorrow (1st day of month) and possible 'simulation change' - continuous to follow the fractal ..(crazy I know ..but its all ALGO controlled down to tiny moves as we can see easily) ..
- if after a close like that ..the entire 1-2 week range shot up in an hour ..etc ..if then doesn't follow through to upside break ..as fractal says it will NOT ..( imbalance also)
- then ..very high odds with fractal will play out to full repeat ..i.e. see boxes ..and a down leg coming in next week or so ..but it looks like it will be a FIB repeat also ..and then ONE more up swing ...repeating again ..and terminal ..and should be time shortened ..I will go over one step at Time...but this look very high odds as well ....
- its VERY IMPORTANt to see this plays out ..and as I've gone over..it 'boring' right now but has BIG informational input into my IT and CYCLE degree setups..in TERMINAL 5th confirmations.
- keeping eye on Sterling etc etc and TLT especially here.
- I need to see exact number of CBOE put/call posted..but I believe..its going to give
me a sell signal ...
- I did some analysis on the VERy UNUSUAL IMBALANCE data ...just for SPX ..I need to also for dow/comp at some point
- I usually just use daily but I did it back test 7 years on INTRADAY
- I notice all the patterns hold up ...but something VERY STRIKING is occurring I can show
...since nov 23 ...something is happening that has NEVER happened even remotely ..and it can only mean 1 of 2 things eirhte
...Market has fundamentally changed ..in which case...why? how? Or
- As my LQ and other data days - SOMETHING has BaNNED the NORMAL Market ...
- u will see on the chart...I might need to do a video ...though it's obvious.
NOW - If the market isn't fundamental changed ..other than the proven fact since Nov a massive ALGO with almost infinite QELIteLQ is preventing selling/turning at pivots...
- then IF the ALGO ever stops ..the ACCUMULATED IMBALANCE would also be HISTORIC ..if u understand how this work ...
btm line - this strongly says ..IF SELLING is EVER allowed to get past a KEY IT Pivot ...then...we will see something historic to downside...so market itself is in a 'box' here....this is why post Nov 4 is so. important.
FYI- I eye balled that chart on work computer ...on my BIG SCREEEN Hi-Res its MUCH CLEARER ....and you need that really ...its very clear ...
- on that the Data from MAY is INSANE ! and HUGE WARNING
BUT - NOTE... You have to consider the CYCLE TREND DIRECITON as well ..I need video to really go over it . but this big an imbalance is 'something else' ..we know what :-)
..but it NOt a TIMING SIGNAL but CONTEXt for them.
Also NOTE - this is UNIQUE to my work ..no one else has this data .or if they do ..very few ..so its not likely being manipulated or effected .. which is key unlike well known data.
* stalemate due to LQ induced BLOW OFF BUYING .. LQ now waned ..but not down
AND EXHAUSTION of ALGO BUYING ...but NO SELL PROGRAMS YET
= ^THIS
The most likely outcome as said ..is 'eventually' selling comes in either a program or just break of the local uptrend ...then we'll see if that induced sell programs or not ..if not.anotehr trip back up and longer range just like last on e( rinse repeat I showed onimblance) to suck in every last $ and CALL buying which is gone extreme here.
- sterling rEALLY WANTs to break down here....and its been 'very trendy' on this trendicator
- I showed other signal/chart -we are in my view AT an IMPORTANT IT TOP on Sterling where ...its 'do or die' ...and so
- more gaps up ..and overnight ALGO support is only way to keep this going ...check on Monday and see if ...otherwise ...I believe we trend down .and this one 'could' be VERY important IT top ..I'll dig out other charts if I get time
THIS one below - Sterling 'shd' have dropped on 1st outside/insider and had gap up save already... the SUPPORT by THE ALGO has been ReLENTLESS and HISTORIC ...but eventually NATURAL CYCLEs have to at least play out up with modified amplitudes
- this is KEY one to watch as I've analyses to Death LOL
- Either that - or CB will need another insane button press and sterling will 'jump over' this and run to 150+ ...VIX holding 15 is also a big sign of this being a MASSIVe BIFUCATION on IT cycle or higher degree.
- It 'boring' but ultimately VERY IMPORTANT IF/how this plays out here ..
..since its EOM on Monday ...obviously we are UP near 95% of time 'when possible' ..so I don't expect any big change until mid week and ideally a DROP in Sterling/LQ/SPX etc.
- but looks like it ....I can't even remember the last time that happened.
The tape continuous to show MASSIVe BLOW OFF . and DISTRIBUTION ..f* I'd put massive support..but actually LQ APPEARS ( and need more confirmation) to NOT want to go up now, even with Sterling forced up ....so...now it must go up under own steam.
Bonds are really at critical area where potential for yields to surge up again here next week TBD
EOD - Internals ..especially pattern NYMO/NAMA puts high odds we 'should' head down from around her ( see also tentative count) ...but ...seems were in crazyville ..
The BS is Strong with AI - PEAK MANIA Often Near MAJOR TOPS ...
This is just one example
- One the other day about how AI would produce Utopia soon ..and now this idiot
- Look, I worked in this, and with these people - they are NO SMARTER tHAN ANYONE ELSE and IGNORANT Of EVERYTHING OUTSIDE of THEIR FIELD
- They are as EASILY DELUDED ad most Humans
- INOrganic( non biological) objects obviously are NOT and NEVER will be SELF AWARE ...physics has proven it ..most of these guys are just software people without knowledge of required area's ..
>> - do you REALIZE NO ONE CAN EXPLAIN LIFE SCIENTIFICALLY! ..there are lots of theories but no falsifiable noble prize winning ...
- as I like to say PEOPLE SAY ALOT Of THING ...so what? LMFAO ..
- the REAL PROOF ...would be the program being able to act as the OBSERVER in the OBSERVER effect experiment ...these Tech guys I doubt even studied quantum physics.
- IF AI's are SELF AWARE ..so are ROCKS ....
- of course...PTB WANT u to believe that, as they are VERY LIMITED MINDS of NIHILISTS ...and also, it helps to excuse exterminating people are they do relentlessly
- Geez - Most humans are barely self aware ..certainly most tech people I worked with LOL
- We have gone from where 'rare event' were questionable - shooting of JFK for example, did we know THE truth of that yet?
- To a world where Questionable events are every week - just recent examples - Trump shootings, Hamas attack on Israel, Ukraine/russia - media 'election' bias etc etc etc
It Doesn't HELP that EVERYTHING MEDIA/MSM/ MATRIX has FRAMEd as CONSPIRACIES over the least few years -
- have LITERALLY ALL PROVEN to be TRUE ..as Best one can obtain objective data and reasoning !
.. sadly with a pinch of Wag the Dog salt ...tragic for the innocent people involved..but I wonder how long it takes to get THE truth of this ..
- could Israel ..the most secure nation on the planet REALLy have one of the biggest lapses in security ever ? and would possible goal would this achieve for Hamas? .
- Conspiracy theory, much like 9/11 is it was PRETEXT ...in that case for Patriot Act and Iraq war... Weapons of mass destruction for 50 ....etc
- Of course the MATRIX has spent last 20-40 years PROGRAMMING the MASSEs into TRIBES ..and Making them 100% REACTIVE to any QUESTIONING of their TRIBAL CULT DOGMA ..so
- merely questioning anything is always VIOLENTLY ATTACKED by One tribe or other ...its one of most EFFECTIVE FORMS of PTB MASS MINd CNTORL ...to have the masses acts as MOBS on EACH OTHER to confuse/silence and make it seems 'they are crazy' etc
I pay attension to 'whats going on' but at this point its very clear
- we are in a Wag the Dog/Orwellian/Post Truth - take ur pick world ...where we really don't know what is going on ....
So WHAt are WE supposed to do? ...who I am give to give advice ..I can tell you what I do
- I note it, and examine it, see if there is any information of use.. THEN I TRY tO LET IT ALL GO .because there is literally NOTHING you, or I can do about any of it.
My honest view is, we are/have cross the Rubicon ...where it's going to be impossible to pull back from some sort of. Societal Collapse ...not necessarily immediately ..but in the next decade ...
- the world is CORRUPT/GREEDY/SELFISH & somewhat Psychotic at the TOP ..and filtered down to many layers of the system ..and even now Ordinary people
- Most people are 'good' by nature, but they are also EASILY MISLED and TURNED into mirrors of this system ...those that are good are now mostly suffering mental health issues and varying forms of psychosis as coping mechanisms ..especially young people.
Frankly, it probably better at this point to just 'pull the band aid off' and have it all collapse so we can move forward in a new way ..whoever ..if any ..are left.
sorry if that sound negtative/depressing ..I am not personally...because of my knowing of who/what we are ...but being deluded doesn't change this situation ...and I am here to give me honest analysis ..whats the point otherwise.
This pattern I pointed out on SPX is holding as well ...lets see if we can now drop down to bottom box area. ..then one more up? or fail? ....likely depends on USD/Sterling.
FYI I notice 'they' are messing with some key sentiment data many look at ..this has become a consistent pattern ..and is a sell signal in my view ...over next week or so.
But ..imbalance is showing same BLOW OFF ..incredible buying here ..and looks like distribution continuing
So this becomes an equation:
- if buying exceeds distribution ..we go higher for longer ...but ultimately I then look for that to get retraced as Swing top minimum (see examples I posted last night)
- if equal ..we churn as now ..
- IF buying runs out ...we get a slow roll over initially ..then likely accelerates
^THIS sounds like saying nothing lol ...but I this is 'within bounds of imbalance' setups I showed...
- btm line is ..this high odds is a topping move and not a running corrective/breakout move ..and that is key to determine here.
DOLLAr short term setup ..I see high odds for another upside reversal attempt here as shown..if we break below the red line ..then that's off and risk of a acceleration down as per larger C I showed...even then, I think its going to setup a reversal to upside ..but TIME is there into say Nov-Dec still for that larger C ...so its Key to see each STEP ..per these short term setups for read the tape.
* here that mini h&s on UUP I showed while back ..also in play ..need the ST model signal to drop a bt into buy zone ideally...by either price drop or more time combo
EOD - Yikes this imbalance on Dow is something else!
It's not one I find to be as predictive ..but I did a few backtests ..this is the 50day moving average 3 Sigma events
- ALL led to eventual IT or greater declines
- a couple were pretty early ...and during blowoffs can take longer to roll over
- OURS has TWO spikes at about 5-7 sigma LMFAO! ..hard to say what this means until history is written ..but just put it in CONTEXT of what's going on category. :-)
Need NEW THREAD soon - this one is getting slow for me now.
ANYway - things I'm watching for now
- We have the imbalance data..that's strike 1
- Strike 2 here would be LQ NOT RISING ..on DOLLAR DROPS/Sterling rise ...seeing that last couple days...but if dollar/sterling do as per setups ..then I can be sure on this if LQ doesn't respond ...its a stealth drain beginning.
- Strike 3 ..stocks fail to break out here...as per fractals
- the BOX setup says me ..that MARKET MIND ( excluding the FED manipulations) is expecting the following
- Democrats in control
- More INFLATIONARY POLICY ...( hence the ABC's on Bonds..dollar etc and failure of commodities to break down)
So if TRUMP is put in - I don't know what happens honestly ..that high odds produces some serious volatility as new judgement is made ...as I said, we need to see how the PTB SCRIPT CHANGES ...
- under Trump ...do they still inflate until death OR
-do they 'pull the rug' immediately to collapse everything using that as excuse?
- I don't know, only they know but say 70/30 they let the air out.
If DEMS -
- Will still need to see the same ...inflate or let air out ...but its more 50/50...if inflate we get a repeat of 2021/2022 type markets I believe ...huge trend up in yields, dollar C complete by Dec and takes off ..cutting of market LQ ...and a 'rinse repeat' drop in markets but more of that '4' than the super cycle top ...that would be DELAYED by maybe 1-2 years until inflations/yields BLOW it all up and real economy goes totally over the cliff in PLANNED DEMOLISION ...and black swan risk is there...and all manner of other issues.
So we rinse repeat 2021-2022 ? with prices rising again ..everyone buy top 10% drowning more ...and Govt hiding it with with more debt - handouts etc
Why NOT BLOW IT UP NOW? ...
- They could ...there is no way to know I can see in foresight only once they pull the pin by LQ dropping hard....we will know...but
- AND if that change is going to happen its Nov-Jan 25
- But they NEED AN EXCUSE ..to shift blame/distract ...for this scale..its got to be MAJOR WAR ...another Plandemic or giant Cyber attack ..something on those lines..so its all about TIMING and having everything lined up...which as said seems to me, they do here. so its definitely 'an option'.
Nov/Dec 24 into Jan 25 is most important PTB SCRIPT READING window of 'all time' it my analysis.
EOD - YIKES ..Massive IMBLANACE WARNINGS here ...DISTRIBUTION most likely as expected..doesn't mean we can't go a bit higher but this is big warning...I will post some charts when I get time.
You need many views of this - but this is a start... the 'sudden' massive peaks and especially spikes are signs of BLOW OFF
- when prices doesn't move higher as in last few months = high odds massive distribution
This isn't one I normally look at - I use spx, comp, and indu ...this is indu's...and shows same
- so its pretty certain that we are seeing a 2ndary bLOW off here ...
- I showed u often need a period of 'waning enthusiam' ..and its 'depends' here..I don't really have a way to predict how long or how much higher price might go ... but u see the idea
BUt THIS is most important right now to me - would say we get small reaction drop tomorrow..one step at time ..but it makes sense to me give what's going on with SIM ALGO.
Reports of Death of the DOLLAr - maybe greatly exaggerated
The highest odds setup here is
- we are in a cycle degree correction ..a-b-currently c down ..of move up off secular low.
- time analysis is something I used to bring falsification to wave theory ..its useless without it really...and this shows, this is high odds the case
- the only way to negative this ..would be..a huge drop in dollar NEXT FEW MONTHS ...most signals say that is very low odds ..which means ...the abc is very high odds
- we could see another 2-3 months of meandering down to complete larger c ...but c could be completing as other work I've shown.
I do believe this is fundamentally important and I've gone over why at length.
Question - how can this be? this would say dollar in next few years will move ALOT higher in either a '3' up ..or 'C' up ...
- best guess..as bad as things are in USA ...as usual...they will be ALOT worse in Europe/ASia etc and
- the loss of US$ hegemony for now is a slow process..being fought now as much with WARS against BRICS nations as financially ...if the Western War machine can weaken BRICS nations it BUYS TIME
This isn't technical or analysis but just I guess Geopolitical ..and i've talked in occasional comment about it.
- it is now clear, as best one can tell that the PTB are 'making a big move here' on ALL FRONTS
- I've covered alot of domestic politics ...the scale of the MATRIX LIES is FULL ORWELLIAN ...I don't really need to say more? ...I've gone on and one about this for 25 years online for anyone that followed me..warning every step of the way ..we would end up here ....THEY ..the MATRIX ( MSM_ controlled internet + other) ...have mass mind control to degree now ..they can put a literal 'village idiot' in office...and have a large segment believe they are 'leader of the free world' ....nuf said? ...you know my view by now ..it 'doesn't matter' they are all puppets back to post WWII ..MIC controlled ..now the broads PTB controlled puppets ....but this is NEXT LEVEL CONTROL.
NO THIS COMMEBNT is about ISRAEL/ARAB ARENA and RUSSIA ...I've talked a fair bit ...and warned again that eventually the PTB would stage a SCRIPTED WWIII ....in these two area, eventually I also believe China will invade Taiwan for full SCRIPTED WWIII
- It is NOW VERY CLEAR the PTB are MOVING CHESS PIECES for this
- NATO is NOW esculating its attacks on RUSSIA ...the Matrix will lie and say 'ukraine' but its impossible...the targets being hit inside Russia require precision ordinance ...only possible with NATO intelligence and weapons ....
- So NOW, we see if Putin is another PTB ACTOR on script ...or not .....I lean he his but I don't know, its one of the big unknowns .... PREY to wHATEVER HIGHER POWER u believe in HE IS ..otherwise, this is the most dangerous moment in human history since Cuban missile crises and probably more risky ..If Putin is 'off script' ..we could all be dead at any moment ...becuase ONE WRONG CHESS MOVE could trigger automated all out WWIII and we're all dead in an hour.
- It's Obviously no coincidence that simultaneous ISRAEL is opening a 2nd front with Iran Proxies in Lebanon .... the aim is CLEAR ..to DRAW IRAN into a conflict ...as IRAN is of course, in BRICS AXIS ..PIVOT off Russia and CHINA ... ..those 3 are arming and supplying all the Arab counter agents to Israel.
The history of that region is nightmare ..and my position has always been ..as I went over mid week .that UK/US/UN i.e. PTB ...set up in 1948 the ultimate FUSE for WWIII ....and
---- THEY ARe NOW LIGHTING IT ...but its not a done deal ...but like Russia ...we are at a TIPPING POINT
To me ..its very clear...that BOTH will CROSS the TIPPING POINTS
- Russia will respond ..and add to the esculation ..i'm just not sure how...maybe against Poland
- Isreal OR IRan through its proxies ...will also Cross the tipping point with some action that makes it almost impossible to prevent all out war in that region ...which as said sucks in Iran ..the real intent !
>>LOGIC ..which I often regret excelling in ...ignorance seems like bliss right now! ...dictates
- the PTB don't make this many chess moves ...unless they intent to make more moves
BTM LINE - I believe from what I am seeing, that we are NOW ..entering the 2nd stage of WWIII ..the pretexts are laid down and now in those two theatre's we about crossing the Rubicon ...Even if Trump 'wins' and wanted to stop it ...he won't be allowed and likely it seem would be too late..they appear to do this NOW ..to ENSURE that..
This SURELY has to EFFECT MARKETS sOON? ...I know they can FAKE REALITY and all markets ..but the situation is so dangerous that smart money must go RISK OFF soon here? ...so that is why i see even with massive endless support ..DISTRIBUTION is NOW going on here. ..I should be able to tell on signal models in next few weeks.
As none market comment - all 'we' ..those of us aware of reality, not the fake one ..can do its try to 'be the light' as some say... I am not religious but I believe in higher power and life philosophy of Jesus ...and that's about all we can hold onto here ..as the PTB forces are overwhelming it feels against us ...I try to help those i can in any small way ...and not give into the 'darkness' the PTB are unleashing upon us in every way ....driving most to unhingement, anger, hate , depression, hopelessness ... etc ..I see it everyday...with a small % of wealthy running around in make believe bubble's to hide from all this ..but as I always said EVENTUALLY .and its GETTING CLOSE ...NO ONE will be able to 'hide' in self made illusions ....I think that day is very close now .... and as u know, I would love to be wrong.
- pattern put higher odds DOWN ..but so much support it can be up ...if so ..I am looking for DISTRIBUTION into all further upside attempt to confirm my setup ...of now either a short or long period of termating waves of 5 .....
- we also know its KEY to watch DOLLAR
- I also see sign of life in commodities ..and bonds ..and we can't forget to watch EVERYTHING at they are all connected..I don't talk on it all the time but you know i'm closely watching everything ....
- I alas don't have TIME currently to cover more than a tiny fraction of technical setups and model data ....I am thinking maybe to drop my day job in 2025 to 30 hours limit ..so I have the extra time and energy for making video's as I was and covering more technically ....and also other projects ...but ...I have to see if the owner I work directly for ..is able to have me train someone to cover for me ...as right now I'm literally unable to take time off and have no cover....the job requires a lot of diverse skills ....I would like to train a young person to give them a leg up ....but...its really hard to find anyone with wht's required as anyone will tell you! ...and older people most seem to lack the brain horse power/focus ....so i'm kinda stuck .. but I never intended to do this more than part time ..so I need to find a solution.
The 'other' project ..is a couple of books I 'shouldf' have written years ago ..but talked myself out of ...as waste of time e...but now I feel very motivated...as part of longer term goals ..I am really excited/driven and have a very clear plan for next 10-20 years of trying to create a sanctuary for both animals and younger people needing a safe environement to regroup ..my wife and I are sure this is what we should do ...but we need to save a bit more money and wait for land or property to drop a bit hopefully ..else move to cheaper state down the road as Arizona has become California infected lol ..
My new NYMO/NAMO pattern signal is saying we are high odds swing topping again over next few session. I don't want to show that as keep it under my hat but..
this one is good confirming and similar idea
- when the signal drops from 'outside - inside the configured BB' it has been a very high odds 'heads up' that swings are beginning a topping or drop phase ...its 2024 etc etc but through all this its still be useful
- note. the angle of descent or ascent is key ..and must be> 60 degree's a not a 'flat inside' which tend to be continuations.
This chart needs more explaining than I can giv ein words...but ..this and about 20 other signals ..show ME ..ONe thing clearly
- SIM-ALGO LQ has acted DIFFERENTLY to ANY TIME in HISTORY
- its actually INSANE ..truly .how much LQ has been used to keep this thing up
- so this gives me huge pause to 'predict' because there is so much 'forced upward pricing' in current market ..that would need to be removed to see REAL PATTERNS ..we have to be very careful IF/WHEN this LQ INSANITY STOPS ..so that is other key thing around Nov 4+
- normally the LQ Cycle degree here...goes from high (lows) to lower (just below bands) at Cycle tops ....... the exception is when going from extreme high to low ..I think happened around 2016.....OUR s has gone further BELOW ( EXTREME LQ injections) from an already LOW position that historically is a top ...that is CLEAR FORCING ...of EPIC PROPORTIONS
- as i've said I honestly believe if they remove LQ we would get a historic crash/waterfall
- so I guess...they won't now ever be able to remove it....this is absolutely key to find out
- if so...now were going to see 'something new' ..and likely an eventual REAL black swan down the road as opposed to FAKED one as usual.
- this needs to a video to explain ...but I posted this anyway
KISS - this shows 'pure LQ fuel' for the SIMULATING ALGO ..
- its simple I don't need to explain
- but not only the current peak ..but note PRICE has NOT RESPONDED which is the most important aspect .telling us ..this is FORCE AGAINST BIG DOWNSIDE NATURAL CYCLE.
Here a different credit signal that finally crossed - key here is the number of diverges and length of cycle ..suggests ..this won't be an exception to the rule
ALSO -the VIX ..is FINALLY ..giving the KEy signal i've been waiting for ...seen before every cycle top since the Sim-Market began ..... its not definitive unless Price confirm in next few months ..but this is FIrst time we finally have that.... dotting i's, crossing t's so to speak.
I really don't know what is going to happen for pretty much first time in my experience since around 1997 ... as traders and not predictors ..its a case of seeing what market tells us, rather than telling it but certain elements I see very high odds
- at least one major IT 20% + decline between now and end of end of 2025
- from around current prices and high odds within 5% of current ATH on spx/comp.
- it either going to be similar to 2022/3 then ONE more up cycle into a supercycle top OR
- this one will be it ...its as i've gone over for a year .impossible to say in foresight but
- RISK as i've gone over its historic and increasing
i've said my best guess here..but we don't need to guess - one step at time
- the sim-algo keeps saving every drop here ...as long as can toward nov 4 ..we've gone over this since literally Jan 24! and here we are ..its been so obvious what 'they' are doing
- eventually odds are high of a 'right translation' drop where what should have occurred over months is time compressed into days or maybe a few weeks TBD
- from here ..it looks like its slightly more likely we then get one more grind up ..into Dec endof year...but likely lower lows on some indexes ...
- THEN I'd see really high odds for that cycle down ..into 2025.
But ...one step at time ..this step just happens to have gone on since Nov 23' LMFAO thanks to CB decision to support the current regime ...as I've covered every step at length..even predicting Biden would be removed, and Trump likely ..but none of that matters ...
- the KEY is to see IF/WHEN the PTB SCRIPT CHANGES ..just before or After Nov4. into Jan 2025 is my expectation from 'its all perfect' to 'oops, we have some problems'.
LATE COMMENT - the RAMP BOT is running relentlessly as usual overnight when at key pivot at close ...up 50 pts on ES already LMFAO! ...so ...4th or 5th rabbit out of hat looks to be coming in the AM right as always at clear breakdown/pivot.
If/when one of these forced up move fails badly...we know the top is in for now...when that is ..nobody knows ..but its getting closer fro what I see ..I cd be wrong.
EOD - NYMO and especially NAMO ...technically say this current up swing is NOT an INITIATION UP move of larger IT trending move ...
- infact, it just did something I didnt' see on any back test....to upside ..its 2024..we know why
- drop in internals here confirms
I mean, everything has been overridden more times than anytime in entire market history in 2024 .....but ...it still shows us that the market wants a breather ..but so far the recently LQ injection isn't letting it .. Especially TECH ...and epsecially SOX on next down swing is likely to catchup first to downside.
- I think TOMORROw is the KEY day...especially watching the dollar ...I think it has a FLOOR here...and Lq has been INSANE for 2 months ...nothing ever seen like it ..but market has not responded YET
- so ..I am looking to tomorrow to see if finally the SIM-ALGO can't 'get something going' and everything is pretty much again it naturally ...if not..and LQ starts to wane ...if DOLLAr can't be forced under that 98-100 floor ...then ...I think we exhaust and swing down again here..which has CYCLE degee implications ...
Btm line - Tomorrow - end next week as I said 'should' tell alot ...failure to initiate another big uptrend is what I've been looking for....not necessarily much down side because we know it's banned ...for as long as the ALGO can prevent it.
There's a sort of 'reverse shooting star' candle on the USD futures here as well
- I really think this is bit of 'moment of truth' for dollar ....my read is the 'bad news is in' and we are about to see a 'buy the rumor sell the news' moves on everything ...but it likely as to start in dollar ...sterling ...then will ripple to stocks and cause a feedback loop to force USD above 102 ..(which also had defended wack a mile style ) for a month ...that's my best guess..
- If Im correct..this time ..we don't spend a week testing 102 from underside ..but blast over it and run like a mother ....but we may need a few days basing here
- I also do see chance for 1 more down test of 98-100 ...but ...its not necessary ..but complex to explain the wave setups for that ..but that's the btm line...we will know as
* the most 'doom and gloom' sentiment stuff I look at is UNIVERSALLY
- dollar will crash
- stocks will go parabolic
- housing will go parabolic
- inflation will soar
I don't believe any of that ..just the opposite ..though...I'm leaning that ..and we've talked about this a fair bit ..but lets just spell it out
- that from NOW into Dec 2024 will be Cycle top of some degree..its questionable what degree alas
- if you look at ALL CYCLE TOPS since year 2000 and start of our ALGO SIMULATION 'markets' ...or 'financial alchemy' as I call it ...
- they ALL have same pattern ...topping in Nov-Dec period ..WHY? oh..simple .they have trained the monkeys to believe stocks only go up in Nov-Dec ..and so DISTRIBUTION is SIMPLE for Strong hands in that period ....the 2000 top, the 2007 top , the 2018 top and 2021 top ..all in that period ....exception COVID but ..that was different and not a 'cycle top' but a financial crises masked with the plandemic ..similar to say 1998.
- there are OTHER patterns as well...which I model and have shown ...
IF we get a significant drop in Sept/Oct somehow despite the infinite ALGO-SIM buying ... I DOUBt its the final top ...I'd favor a long distribution still into Nov-Dec ...but one step at time...
The problem is the PTB are SMARTER than 99.9% of people - and thus, they cannot get their brains around reality
- all PTB had to do, was create a 'bad man' ...Trump ..and turns Dems into lunatics ...to make people FEAR ( greed-fear-division- hate) ...the bad man and vote for lunatics ..Or fear the lunatics and vote for the bad. man.
How many times do people need to see that:
- Politicians can LIE LIE LIE ..and NEVEr Be Held to ACCOUnt ...its the most obvious REALITY there is yet
- Voters every 4 yeas get amnesia as FORGET they all LIE LIE LIE ..this time 'they will do what they say '....SUuuuuuuurrrreeee they will LMFAO
How Delusional are these 'bad man' supporter they fails to look at 2016-2020 and see NONE of the anti establishment actions were taken ..just the opposite ...how faulty are those brains????!!!
AND YES ..I know it SEEMS ( that's the 'clever' not clever but obvious plan) 'anything is better than the lunatics' ..but is it? since the whole thing is clear as day setup ...can we be sure ...we got COVID PLANDEMIC and Totalitarian take over of Internet on Trump watch ....etc ....was that any better?
Duh Doh - If they wanted him dead, he would be dead. If they wanted him in prison he would be by now ...and we know what can happen there ..being EPSTEIN'd ...
It's the most obvious DOG and PONY /Barnum and Bailey ever seen ...I can only but laugh, or cry? at the inability of most humans do deal with reality and delude themselves...which is, of course, EXACTLY the REAL PTB objective - division, hate ..and do NOTHING to change their total control. Jeez :-)
But Daddy ..we have to vote for someone ..bla bla bla ..
Daddy say 'if voting make you feel like your doing something when clearly these people have no control and are puppets of PTB ...then go ahead ..but don't try to make others complicit in your self delusion ...infact, if no one voted ..and we could get it down to small %....it would de- ligitimize their FAKe system ...and we'd have a chance to force changes'.
I also have said - that literally 'anything' can happen between NOW and Jan 2025...because this is the FAKEIST of the FAKE Periods the PTB have ever SCRIPTED ...and they have ALOT of OBVIOUS SCRIPTS to go to NEXT ...all setup and ready to roll:
- assassinations
- wars
- financial system issues
- civil unrest
- Cyber attacks/issue
etc
Oh yeah - and PTB numero 1 'fuse' for WWIII ...being lit as we 'speak' ..not taking sides on this one ...just saying' ...the UN knew EXACTLY the result of creating state of Israel in 1948 in middle of religious zealotville ..Now if you wanted a 'fuse' to start WWIII sometime down the road... could you come up with a better one than this ..be honest? ...
* I'm not taking sides because I've seen this movie ..I was Brought up in London Uk where IRA bombings especially as XMAS were 'normal' ..I worked in City of London and took tube trains where often it was closed due to 'bomb threats' ...
- it sadly become 'normalized'
- and if you bother to study unbiased history..you quickly realize there is a huge amount of back history responsible ..and I could certainly see the IRA point of view ...which is different to 'agreeing' ..to get resolution you need to be able to see different view point and find common ground .. EVENTUALLY that happened, it could have happened MUCH sOONER ...I'm a CELT also ..my father still alive a sprightly 92 from Inverness Scotland ..... so I've heard let's say the 'anti English' viewpoint all my childhood ....so ...I got it.
- ISRAEL/Arab I think is HARDER to resolve ...because there is so much recent troubles ..and anger/hate/divison ...and BLAME on BOTH sides one can see ..only a zealot would see only one side 100% responsible ...I hold the UK/USA and UN responsible ...they put those two sides into inevitable conflict ..and used them as usual as proxies .... I fear...for Israel down the road here...as in game of PTB chess will be sacrificed to get there ultimate goal ..of eliminating Islamic religions ...I stated this wold happen online in 2001 on long waves...because..PTB are constructing their 'matrix' (now achieved' and Islamic religions cannot be assimilated and thus will be eliminated ..I hope I am wrong ...but it doesn't look good....much as they used Ukraine as proxy( it's another UK/USA/NATO war ..obviously).
Now - the part about Putin ..is correct....Putin is we'd all better hope ..a PTB puppet like all the rest clearly are and have been since WWII ...duh!
- Putin, like Trudeau/Macron etc etc most of them ..was a member of the young Global leaders WEF ...so, its at least 50/50 he's also just 'reading the scripts'
- If NOT..then I agree...if Putin is replaced...we likely get a hard liner and risk real WWIII rather than a PTB scripted version of it.
Drop on USD 'should' be the last iii of 5 ..of possible C complete OR ...another 4 bounce..then another 5 higher degree to complete C but I wouldn't expect much lower than this drop to 98-100 area.....UNLESS I'm wrong...we shd know within a week ...I am looking for TAG of 98-100 then STRONGER UPSIDE REVERSAL on dollar finally back above 102 ...as iv'e gone over at length last month or so.
That's a start..but THIS is the KEY ...DOLLAr as we know ..the whole 'scam' Simulation of a market is run through the Dollar ..where it goes...so does everything else 90% of time.
It's seem the lesson of the 2nd world war, and many others and all of history ARE LOST ..or the PTB are trying to make masses forget them! Reading around ..this is what is the case.
Let me give you the Short summary - 'people lying is bad, it should not be allowed'.
The current example being floated is 'Trump lied about dogs being eat' etc
I could quote law about protected speech ...bla bla ..and yes, you CAN shout fire in a theater ..that often quote 'limit on free speech' where it could 'harm others' is IN MATERIAL FACT ..FALSE ..and MISINFORMATION .
- but it shows the total LACK of RESEARCH and Low level of thinking coming from proponents
The REASON you CAN shout 'fire' applies to Trump as well and just about everything
- You CANNOT ASSUME the Person KNOWS the 'perfect information'
- If I shout fire, it could be: 1. because there is a fire, 2. because I believed there was a fire but I was wrong. 3. because I knowingly lied about a fire.
It's literally impossible to prove a person did (3) ..knowingly lied ..and even in that case, it's protected speech ! ..except in rare exceptions ...you can easily research and don't apply in most cases.
This is why anyone, including politicians and media can Lie lie lie - NOW, we can say 'that's terrible' ..but now gets to why world wars and many people DIED to MAKE IT THIS WAY - if any of these people chose to THINK ..I know that's alot to ask (sarcasm)
- because WHO IS the HOLDER of PERFECT TRUTH/INFORMATION?
In our system is COURTS who act in that capacity ...but , there is NO CLAIM of PERFECT TRUTH ... its just 'the best we can do' and thus ..we recognize that and allow for this as is.
- Lets CHANGe it ...Now WHO is this holder of perfect truth/information ?
- if its the GOVT ..or corporations ? look at what happened in all history ...
Btm line - if you give any person or authority the claim of 'perfect truth/information' we call end up eventually ..SCREWED ..because, REALITY is they DO NOT HAVE THAT ..and thus it becomes ...the WHIM of PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE TRUTH/DISINFORMATION of whoever that authority/person is ..
- this is same idea as FALSIFICATION in science ...which they are also trying to shut down ..if you cannot 'challenge a truth/information' then you have TOTALITARIAN DICTATOR SHIP
THERE IS NO IN BETWEEN - you either have free speech as is ...and you can tweak the protected elements a little ...but the moment you appoint a MINISTRY of TRUTH we're FUCKED ..you would think OBVIOUSLY ..but apparently ..well, we know sadly...:-)
Take Trump and dogs etc ...people ASSUME the KNOW 100% that he is wrong or lying - but infact, they do NOT KNOW THAT ..it's OPINION ....you could try to make it a 'material fact' ..good luck with that ...and no court even under current law would agree ...and if they did
- LITERALLY Everyone MEDIA and Politicians say WOULD FAIL THAT TEST .they are ALL to varying degree's LIARS i.e. not at 100% perfect information ....excluding maybe, what day or week and time it is!
What the HELL goes on in school ..that ^THIS most important LESSON of all history..the 100's millions died for ..is not being taught well that literally no one understand this..and I have to type this crap?!!!
This is why we CANNOT allow the PTB to bring in these so called 'misinformation' laws..at least in USA we are protected by 1st amendment ......but not in many countries and you already see them using it as Totalitarians ...look in Canada/Australia and UK.
As I've gone over at length .... I believe what happens AFTER this 'corrective' or down swing here ..is KEY on the CYCLE POSITION ....repeating myself is such fun but
- It looks to me ..more and more 'compression' in TIME ...toward a RIGHT TRANSLATION move into October ...I cd be wrong :-) ...high odds this is all going to be a script around the First rate cut.
Best guess -
- post rate cut = shimmy then big spike up to ATH on SPX /DOW ( comp looks to have topped to me )
- then a strong reversal finally down ...that ...is at least an IT down move
Well - I had comp pattern 'terminating ?' Friday ..and it did ...as said why...because finally one of those tiny minor wave didn't V reverse on a dime ...that how ridiculous our 'market' i.e. 95% simulation has become here .... ( well its 95% simulation when shorts build and at key pivot where that fuels can be ignited to create flame thrower up moves ...but ...then question is where does it burn out ..its happening faster and faster ...which is what I'm looking for).
I think things will as said get increasingly 'confusing' from here....and this up wave is the most important to confirm/deny what I'm saying.
DOLLAr looks IMPORTANT and Sterling - Dollar has a CLEAR WAVE 4 ...of some sort of C down ...so, THIS time ..I look for MUCH STRONG SUPPort/REVERSAL UP .....I don't know why, but if correct, some 'news' will support it ..I cd be as simple as 'sell the rumor buy the news' when the CB wing of PTB cut rates because 'everything is so great'....and we always cut rates 2 month from election when everything is great ..and no problems anywhere whatsoever. ..definitely not the biggest assets bubble in history, or cost of living bankruptcy 60% of working people ..NO SIR! ....great time to inject credit by lowering rates ...as inflation is so obviously totally not a problem for average person ...
- If my Sarcasm gets any stronger I may need to return to England ..the land of Sarcasm.
Well I figured some stuff out over weekend finally about the 'election' ..I'll explain that when I get chance...the ABC show and the 'shooting' over weekend ...remember how I said neither Biden or Trump would likely make it Nov 4....well...pretty close and still time ! ...but what I have to say is more important and relates to more important issue of - what the hell happens AFTER Nov 4....it was actually my daughter that helped me ..or confirmed what I was thinking..Ill repost what I said Friday as that is also important ...but
- its VERY CLEAR now ...what is going on ...and sadly...its not good my friends ..we shall talk about it ..but ..yeah ..not good.
OK here is my BTM LINE - RE: Election and the B.s. going on.
- It just doesn't matter ...it's very clear now...its was always clear as I've gone over at length...but now even the slim chance Trump would 'slow things down a little' is gone and delusion.
- Trump 100% is a 'deep state operative' if you want to use that term ..he plays his part of 'crazy MAGA man' to make 50% of American angry/terrified of him/MAGA to vote for the 2020-2024 Insanity .and now the even more insane prospect of 4 more years of it .....I said this in 2015 ..in my blog..this would be the purpose...he would talk so extreme ( not actions) and exactly what they did. and doing it again now...so he is on clear orders here.
On a long hike this weekend, and explaining what's been going on to wife & daughter who have ZERO interest, because they are smart enough to know it's all b.s. ...
- I explained the reality of people lives currently, with 60-80% population unable to earn enough in full time employment do anymore than 'survive' with no end in sight and getting total burnout and depression about future.
- the reality of the DEBT ...that has been CRIMINALLY USED to FAKE REALITY ...to put off recession purely for politics ..REDISTRIBUTE WEALTh to top 10% as expensive of FUTURE GENERATIONS ....for NO ECONOMIC GAIN WHATSOEVER ...it's a GOVt/CB PONZI SCHEME ...and THEY Are CRIMINALS working against the majority of hard working Americans who's lives are now a nightmare thanks to this total unnecessary criminality.
- the reality of the NATO War on Russia ..and attempts to expand NATO against all agreed Accords including Minsk accord and others...etc.
- the reality of Govt all over world ENDING FREE SPEECH and use of LAWFARE - and putting new laws down to ARREST people for 'thought crimes' ..if they disagree with GOVT LIES ... this is NOW in EFFECT..not future ..any of us, at anytime can now be arrested at whim of Govt. This case shows even if you win - and u probably wont' ....your will be ruined ...which is the desired effect of the Fascist/Totalitarians ALREADY in
( her crime as supporting a protest agains Israel etc) CONTORL.
- The Reality of politicians being able to LIE LIE LIE ..with no holding to account ...why as executive office of company is it FELONY to Lie, but as Govt Officials is the norm and no account.
^THESE are the actual key issues of our Time
- My daughter pointed out ..NONE were mentioned in the 'debate' ...so I said 'well, what does that tell you?' ...she says 'It doesnt' matter who wins...they aren't in control and ABC, the 'candidates' are all in it and know the banned subjects' ... Yep, nailed it I said.
^THIS is why It just doesn't matter - we are WAY. WAY Way past it mattering. The fact that so few can see this obvious truth, confirm everything I've told you over 2 decades about how we would end up here with 'mass mind control/mind slavery' for want of better terms.
Nov 4 only matters in that is very high odds the trigger for a SCRIPT CHANGE - as they need to keep the current stories/script going until then.
So, really, I see no need to discuss what happens further - it doesn't matter if Trump turns out to be an Alien, or Democrats are Russian collaborators ...or whatever baloney.
Anyone who think Trump isn't on PTB payroll is seriously delusional at this point, as it obvious and the usual b.s. excuses 'the CB are dumb' ..so 'Trump had poor debate' is part of delusion ...no...he is on the payroll, clearly of PTB...again ..warp speed, Fauci, shots are great etc ...now deliberately not raising a single key issue and to agreeing to any more ..how about a Townhall where public ask questions and can bring all this up? nope...not going to happen :-) or would be 'shut down' if they tried.
My daughter said 'all I've seen about the debate is memes about people eating cats and dogs' ...yep, classic DISTRACTION Tactics ...Trump did his part setting up this distraction ..anything to AVOID talk about the massive issues I listed...not because he's old, or dumb, or crazy ..but obviously on orders to avoid any chance reality would be discussed.
As the US- TITANIC slips below the waves ...the Matrix distracts those about to drown passengers with dog & cat on the menu ..literally.
here's my additional comments on that:That's a nice summary of situation on Steve's link, but missed a couple of things which are actually the most important to be aware of - as they prevent any ability to inform most people of reality:
1. Mass cognitive decline - due to lack of use of brains (dumbing down of population )
- .through education design to NOT make people think independently
- rely on technology that 'thinks for them'
- shut down of community and societal discourse by dividing people into Tribal echo chambers and loss of ability to resolve differences ..not just block others who disagree
- Brain damage from the shots
- Effect of cumulative stress on cognitive function ( relates to point 2)
- we could add alot more... obvious the health of people ..polluted food, air, water ...processed toxic 'food' and on and on ..I'm just trying to give idea.
2. Mass Head up Ass syndrome ..there is no term I'm aware of ..but this is best description. In many many conversation over my lifetime in trying to warn/make people use logic to see what was happening ..we didn't get HERe just now.its evolved over many decades
- MOst people, cannot COPE with TRUTH or REALITY ...AND - The prefer the DELUSIONS/LIES/FAKE REALITY provided to them by the Powers that Be...infact, the PTB DESIGN it around humans 'base nature' or 'lowest common denominators' ....greed, fear, division, hate etc ....we could call it a kind of Matrix as per the movie ..only - people 'plug themselves in' .. ( actually, this is the metaphor from the movie just most don't get it )...and choose the Cypher 'I prefer the Matrix' etc
- In my entire life of trying to make hundreds of people 'think', and not to blow my own horn but I'm really good at talking to people and communicating to help people 'see things for themselves' ..maybe 1% are able to ...because, of these issue which have got worse over time, by design
- the PTB consistent goal and plans have NOT been about a cull ( yet) ..but about CONTROL .and they won a decade ago.
PRIMER from FRIDAY on our Political - PTB setup .. in case you missed it .amongst alot of 'stuff' I said.
If you check my history ..it's clear I am no fan of D. Trump - I think he's a PTB actor, doesn't care about others, and its not that smart etc
- That the entire political sphere is just a Theatre wing of the PTB ..and has no relevance in the real world ..other than giving Masses a 'believable story' for events ..so they don't look for the real answers ...men behind curtain etc ....I mean, it works ..because it so easy to know that these people are owned by Vested Groups - Corporations, dark money, lobbyists etc ....the programming is so strong, most cannot see it no matter what.
BUT - it does tell us something ..with objective eye.
- its clear PTB would, as said, not want Trump ..even though it won't change anything ...and as said, this is just because the masses won't believe the SCRIPT from him as much ....they just read scripts...just like Trump read the 'COVID SCript' and hired Fauci ..operaton warp speed ....shots are great etc etc .....the so proclaimed 'red pilled/awake' aparently can't see this LOL ....sure...
This logically tells me the PTB plan for next 4 years ( and its obvious from other events) is
- more war
- more massive debt
- more inflation
- repeat until controlled demolition
If by some fluke Trump wins ...and not sure he is even trying based on the 2 minutes I saw other day.... threats against his family maybe? ...then ...it might slow this down a tiny bit ...that's about it.
I don't know how real the election actually is ..but ...its rigged to come down to a few 1000 votes in 5-6 states every time ..which puts it within margins of error or 'influence' by DESIGN ...but the concern is obvious from the INSANE MATRIX attacks on Trump ...insane market rigging and 'economic data' rigging and debt spending and CB support, Lawfare, bullet warnings, ambush 'debates' LOL etc ...that we might still be above those margins. TBD
It's not that interesting except to demonstrate the PTB power and lengths they will go to control literally everything.
As we know, downside crashes are banned ..but upside crashes are state sponsored via $ ..Sterling ...like this one ....240 pts without even a 5 minute degree retracement LOL
It 'seems' bullish ...and it is...in sense that proves the length they will go to prevent even a slight drop in the SIMULATION.....but longer term ...as I've shown..these kind of extreme's occur near tops of cycles ...but can take months as I also showed...its a PROCESS..and this time a process where the entire future of uSA is being leveraged to ensure it. what fun! :-)
LOL - Harris in collusion with ABC isn't a surprise ...they have form ..Hillary ..Donna Brazille etc ..not really an issue letting her reherse her non-answers.
NOR is ABC 'fact checking' Trump and not what's her name...
The REAL issue is -
- people believe ABC are 'fact checking' LMFAO ...
- there are NO FACTS in most of these issues ..just VIEWPOINTS ..that is POLITICS
How dumbed down is the average person they buy this BS? ..please don't answer ..its rhetorical.
Do they believe FOX 'fact check' would be same as ABC 'fact checks' ...where's my crying with laughter emoticon :-)
- a fact..only exists if ALL KNOWNS are KNOWN ...and the problem space is definable ...that is literally never the case ...Are immigrants eating cats and dogs? I don't know, and nor do you and doubt anybody does without an extensive amount of research ....same on most issues ,,,that what investigative journalist used to do ...who don't exist anymore because they produced inconvient truths ....now media is free to just shyte up and claim is 'facts' due to authority of MSM etc
..it IS possible to do it ..but only by OBJECTIVE non PARTISAN group, which, are banned for obvious reasons ...MATRIX can't have independent objective body holding media to account or 90% of their 'content' would be FACT checked as 'not facts' etc Duh!
Trump is a moron for bringing it up though - or instructed to be a moron - because the big issues are the fact most people are having 'at breaking point/burnout' trying to survive due to cost of living - yet neither candidate seems to know what['s actually happening. Every day people come in my office and tell me this, from young to retired ...I had police officer tell me today many are living in cars to survive ....COSt OF living for most WORKING PEOPLE has gone up about 100% ..in rent,food, etc ...but hey, who cares about working people except for top 10% of earner who are fine due to CB sponsored stocks/houses at expensive of young people's futures ...what are we upto now, 3generations worth of debt so top 10% can feel good ? ...I don't believe in evil...but !
- then we have potential for WWIII due to insane Ukraine policies
- then we have worst debt crises in history
. - and yes immigration crises ..better ways to talk about this obviously
But they are not really ALLOWED to TALK about REALITY ..as u see...NO ONe in MATRIX is allowed ...these are BANNED SUBJECTS ....the debt especially ...they are so afraid for anyone to realize we are fucked and bankrupt etc
In terms of pure b.s. debate though. he's actually normally a skillful operator...he was so off his game that I have to believe he was sick or 'leant on' here...because normally he would have eaten this blatant b.s. for breakfast ...with one liners and sarcasm about the so called 'fact checks' etc
- so that remains for me the big issue...why wasn't Trump...Trump ..seems like a setup to me to keep what's her name in the show...it all seems scripted for this reason.
Interestingly, it seems moderates who matter most aren't fooled..and this has backfired ..and are breaking for Trump LOL ... if he's been told to fall on his sword, this will take some more crazy turns ...will he withdraw maybe? :-)
EOD - Moving to Yet Another EXTREME EXTREME price move
I showed a similar version of this chart recently how extreme price moves either at KICK off of new trends ..OR tend to cluster at Terminal phase of trends ...in all of history ..this is 2024 of course the year of the biggest faking of aLL time ..but ...here we go again, and this one is on short term but shows well the extreme spikes
- I think the 'best thing' is to make ATH high again here ...that would rule out various B wave type confusion ...tHEN lets see what happens ..what we need to really give better topping setup is
- new ATH
- then an impulsive down move finally
- until that ..and as we as said toward Nov 4 ...better change s..though clearly the ALGO is programmed to V up any drop ...but that will setup the condition for a right translated collapse
Could be first sign of end of panic buying ( panic isn't really right word ..its mostly ALGO via LQ ...but u know what I mean.. more accurate is 'forced' )
This really is a brilliant proxy for the entire Matrix Anti Truth machine.
I've talked to alot of despairing people I know who still same functional minds ...and I'll lucky because I don't have any allegiance to politics or anything only the journey toward truth (its like 'in the limit to infinity' in math ..) ...based on the biological computers housing the 'soul to be schooled by experience' or whatever ...cannot be put into words.
- I try to bring despaired unto speed that no, it's not about NOW - we are in the RESULT PHASE of actions taken over decades ....the dumbing down, drugging out ...pharma and other, the Mass social engineering/mind control Matrix etc etc etc bla bla ..
But HERE is my SIMPLE SUMMARY thought on it today - of the essence of human mind problem :
- People want 'truth' ...but they wrongly believe the truth is something 'simple' - a 'fact'
- This logical flaw...leads them to seek a SOURCE of said 'fact/truth' that is 'simple' - MSM, Internet ..'google' or other ....its 'simple' and 'fast' ....to satisfy the FLAW in the BRAIN ...but its of course NOT truth Nor 'facts' ..for anyone who has even studied a tiny amount of this topic, which alas is very few.
- There are no facts ...logically analysis of the biological computer proves this ..very few who this and thus as victims of a MASS DELUSION ..one I've tried to explain to people for 30+ years but from that I know
-- 99.9% PREFER the DELUSION of 'simple truth/facts' that are False, to the DIFFICULT-Long effort of 'questioning and introspection' it actually takes to move toward facts/truth ( its only every a probability increase ...from say 50/50 to 80/20 or 90/10 ...almost never 100% due to issues of 'problem space boundaries' and 'biological computer calibration' too much to go over here)
How are those of us AWARE of THIS TRUTH ...supposed do DE-PROGRAM the LITERAL ENTIRE HUMAN RACE ..from the COLLECTIVE DELUSION that 99.9_% of minds CRAVE? like a DRUG .... then add, the MATRIX of 'life' - school, society, media/internet etc all REFLECTS this MASS DELUSION back at them produce CONFIRMATION BIAS etc ....like a person is in a CULT of the entire human race ...
- part of that cult is idea of TRUth by AUTHORITY, or STATUS or HOW MANY PEOPLE AGREE ..all of which are PROVABLE LOGIC FALLACY and hence MORE DELUSION.
I've been aware of this problem my who life, and more I studied on the Bio-computer I knew there is NO SOLUTION ....because its 'hard wired' and cannot be 'taught out' ..except in moments, and default back to its normal modus operandi the minute that moment passes.
^THIS is what you are seeing play out ...if you can abstract a little...so really, the endless 'lies' about everything ..as FAR WORSE than most believe
- I predict 37 years age at college this moment would arrive ...and essentially, it would be our downfall ...as it is proving, because, logic dictates it ..logic with full understanding of the boundary space that is ...how bio-computer works and its flaws with 'thinking/reasoning'.
And NO - SADLY..I can't just 'give people this understanding' ..because it comes form a lifetime of study of many subjects ..deeply..and thinking on them ...most can't or wont' do that..I know I've tried.
( sorry for all the autocorrect typos..it is very annoying!)
btm line - We is flucked :-)
The slighty longer version of that - We is flucked..but its a 'good' thing, because its part of our collective journey to understand what we are ...and if you want ...to understand a 'calibrated mind' = idea of God ..that we..collectively are 'evolving' toward ...and we evolve by contrast ..and seeing what doesn't work ...thus ..it necessary to destroy ourselves in this way to have that experience ..to move forward .
- We are essentially still in the 'baby stage' of developement ..where we are yet to understand how limited our 'thinking/comprehension' is ...only THEN ..can we move toward a more evolved form ...which will require the end of simple minded 'intellect' and recognition of the boundary space etc
btm line - it doesn't matter..all experiences have value ..even if they seem 'good or bad'..they are all taking us individually, and as whole steps toward our final destination ...you could call 'perfect calibration' or 'God' ...we don't understand what are saying, because you only understand once you get there ...its another delusion/illusion mind creates ..the sense of understanding something we don't understand..long conversion :)
We all have to hope - that these people are just playing to their brain washed ignorant masses ..and that they aren't at insane and ignorant of reality as their statements suggest...or the world is going to end pretty shortly.
- but, we have to begin to wonder ...I say ignore the words and just look at actions...if any missiles are fired into Russia ... I'm not convinced this wont' escalate quickly into an all out nuclear war ... because, Why would Russia be bluffing? ...the claim they 'can't take on all of NATO' sums it up ..as admission..that NATO using attacking Russia ..which is obviously correct ..using the Ukraine ..who's idiot leader ( a literal actor They installed for this purpose, who was elected to sign Minsk agreement and avoid all this) ...allowed his country to be destroyed to further their agenda.
- realize these PTB puppets know a. how dumb and lazy masses are that they won't do any research beyond MSM to realize what's actually going on here ... and b. that the media will lie lie lie for them .
- It's not like if they are Wrong ..and planet is destroy ..that anyone can come back and hold them to account LOL ....they have got away with starting so many wars on lies and got away with it due to a . & b. ....they may have become 'believers of their own b.s.' ..Let really HOPE NOT.
- NATO fires missiles at Russia ( no rational person is buying the Ukraine narrative..we all know its NATO and is now stated)
- Russia is suppose to wait for them to hit targets to find out if they are nukes?
- If it does wait ...the best case...it could retailiate ..not taking on 'all of NATO' but against whoever is behind this ..THEY are hoping ..it would attack Ukraine ..because they created this war and want to go on and on ..and escalate but
- Putin isn't stupid ..nor his advisors ..they have avoided all the attempts are provocation ... Putin is more likely to make a SMART response ...such as firing a missile into the City of LONDOn
- now, NATO response is what?
- It's hard to see how this doesn't then escalate to nuclear all out conflict ...which would be why that moves make sense ..it called WEST/NATO's bluff.
- If Putin is just reading the PTB script ...we will know...because he will do something dumb ..like response only to Ukraine ...so that would answer this question finally.
These PTB agents probably believe own b.s. ..and think this would be 'good' and allow UK to get excuse for why its going down the shyter .etc etc...a 'contained reset excuse' ...but ONLY if PUTIN is on the team ....50/50 whether he is ...we may find out in next 12 months or so.
a. Market is in flame thrower mode and nothing to really say until that stops and
b. It's in my mind from 'what is going on' and alot of conversations recently.
With THAT said as context ...
- If you check my history ..it's clear I am no fan of D. Trump - I think he's a PTB actor, doesn't care about others, and its not that smart etc
- That the entire political sphere is just a Theatre wing of the PTB ..and has no relevance in the real world ..other than giving Masses a 'believable story' for events ..so they don't look for the real answers ...men behind curtain etc ....I mean, it works ..because it so easy to know that these people are owned by Vested Groups - Corporations, dark money, lobbyists etc ....the programming is so strong, most cannot see it no matter what.
BUT - it does tell us something ..with objective eye.
- its clear PTB would, as said, not want Trump ..even though it won't change anything ...and as said, this is just because the masses won't believe the SCRIPT from him as much ....they just read scripts...just like Trump read the 'COVID SCript' and hired Fauci ..operaton warp speed ....shots are great etc etc .....the so proclaimed 'red pilled/awake' aparently can't see this LOL ....sure...
This logically tells me the PTB plan for next 4 years ( and its obvious from other events) is
- more war
- more massive debt
- more inflation
- repeat until controlled demolition
If by some fluke Trump wins ...and not sure he is even trying based on the 2 minutes I saw other day.... threats against his family maybe? ...then ...it might slow this down a tiny bit ...that's about it.
I don't know how real the election actually is ..but ...its rigged to come down to a few 1000 votes in 5-6 states every time ..which puts it within margins of error or 'influence' by DESIGN ...but the concern is obvious from the INSANE MATRIX attacks on Trump ...insane market rigging and 'economic data' rigging and debt spending and CB support, Lawfare, bullet warnings, ambush 'debates' LOL etc ...that we might still be above those margins. TBD
It's not that interesting except to demonstrate the PTB power and lengths they will go to control literally everything.
We 'shd' turn back down here...we didn't get a follow through gap up etc ..and all signals are triggered ST model sell..and price fractal matches as I've shown ...BUT -
- we keep tending to break high odds setups ..for down ..to up ..rabbits ..hats .etc because ..we know why don't we ....
- we'll see here...IF selling comes in ..then ..this still looks high odds...but if not...beware the rabbits :-)
- In that scenario .I would look for us just to fail back at the ATHs ...
Obviously....as we have know since Nov 23' ..the system operators if they can keep this going into Nov 4 .... as we've gone over endlessly ..it just a question of IF that is possible ...TBD
...someone in the BIden admin had the brilliant idea to spend a metric asston of money to reboot the economy so we don't get a recession just in time for the elections, and sure enough, government spending went into absolutely epic overdrive, as outlays hit a mindblowing $686 billion, the highest since March 2023, and only a handful of crisis months during the covid crash saw greater government spending in any given month.
And is obvious ..but no Media of candidate is allow to bring any truth up ..Trump is a puppet who won't mention reality either
- IF this is the BOOM ..i'd hate to see the BUST ..(banned in 2024 by Govt spending at insantiy and CB support of asset bubbles)
- OR also real unemploment is higher than fake data ...yep..that is obvious also.
Yep - several sells came in ..and V reversing them ..
- so the ALGO is VERY ACTIVE here...to FORCE HIGHER
- this is high odds the LAST STAND I feel ...last major RIGHT TRANSLATION move as
- its going to get harder and harder to override as we go ...I cd be wrong..but thats' what I see...everything is terrible here..even compared to past moves....so this is pure hubris if AI ALGO's had such things :-)
BEAr will need AMAZING patience here...because...as we know..the kitchen sink will be used to keep this up .....and this down move as said was corrective ...though 99/100 it goes lower as said before another move up like this ..but whatever... house of cards move = this kind of action
As I mentioned the other day ...and keeps getting worse... the PTB in guise of NEO CONS and MIC are DETERMINED to Start WWIII
- Or more to point, and this is very clear ....they are on a TIMETABLE ...and don't want to lose this opportunity with Ukraine- Russia to create another massive war...obviously they aren't 'happy' with result of their games since 2016 in Ukraine to engineer this one ...RFK Jnr spoke truthfully on this I just saw ..no wonder the media won't let him speak!
- watch this is you don't know the factual history of these events..u won't hear any on MSM
* Its also the threat posed by BRICS and banker wing of PTB need to take it down
- this partly also as said explains why they need another 'empty vessel' in the White House to spew there war rhetoric to the idiot masses to lap up as usual.
- This is happening NOW ..because as said..Russia has won ..and is about to wrap up the conflict ...despite the Matrix propaganda as I mentioned weeks ago ..another distraction fake ..from reality. ...the Irony of their 'mis information' against anyone who dares talk of reality ..is why I say POST ORWELLIAN ...its beyond even the Ministry of Truth and doublethink.
I talked to quite a few people I know who understand reality ...we all agree ..this is a FRIGHTENING MOMENT ...as it appears
- the NEOCON/MIC and PTB ...want to start a NUCLEAR CONFLICt
- all along I've asked myself ..last 20 years..would they do this? ...and I felt, there would a scripted limited nuclear exchange toward the end of the reset or whatever u call it
- but this is shaping up to be sooner ...than later...given the length they are going to to cause it ...and make sure their women puppet is their to read the script.
Someone asked me 'would they risk all out nuclear war' ..I never thought so ...but, maybe they too have simply lost their minds ? as most seem to have... I guess we'll find out shortly or certain next few years.
Nope - there we go ...broke the setup ..AND these moves keep getting more and more bizarre don't they...this one is plain silly now ....no reason and no rhyme other than they are to prevent further selling at key pivots each time.
- there must have been some shorts as fuel here as well...but likely burnt them as usual now.
Look for this is flame out and reverse hard 'somewhere' ...from here to ATH'ish
* Note still CRASHING UP all the time ...thats 200pt counting or 4% in a few hours from yesterday's low LMFAO ....LQ still ATH's ...so ....yeah :-)
It's' essentially on the bounce ..a up. b down to tests lows again ( as per AM) ..then NOW up In 'c' ...to complete B ..of larger ABC down ....all can do is assume it matches ..until it doesn't.
It shows whatever b.s. in Matrix and 'data' and other baloney has ZERO to do with these movements!
I don't know for sure ...we aren't in the club ..but this is big reason I believe the PTB prefer 'anyone but Trump' -
- because he doesn't want war ...and MIC find it easier when the President plays along ...in reality they can do what they want, but its plays better when the puppet reads their scripts.
- The other main reason I think ..is Trump doesn't work with their other main agenda's ..mass constant immigration obviously ...to setup that pesky internal civil conflict they need for Marshall law or equivalent ..in reality to use against the rest of us who oppose the totalitarian regime we're in
But - logically ..it's hard to see this isn't all pretext for WWIII .... which is just ..terrible ..but nothing we can really do against the Matrix that owns most minds already.
I closed my leverage shorts this morning as we approached the retest of the lows from Friday - was just too obvious - I am a scared short anyway! hehehehe Like Elmer Fudd ""scared very scared"
I saw about 2 minutes of last nights Barnum and Bailey...it was even worse than last 2minutes I watched - some obvious questions that no one will address
- why did Trump agree to this? or continue when it was clear that the rules agreed were broken? i.e. clearly ABC set him up ..well Jeez, ya' think? LOL ...he had to know that ..so why? ... I find that the MOST suspicious aspect ..the rest was just typical b.s.
- How dumb are people that they accept this as 'democracy' - 1 debate, where there is no debating ..or anything beyond superficial zingers ...not even that LOL ...if people can't see the mockery being made of them....what does it take? ...but we already know the answers alas don't we :-) ....
- How dumb are people they believe these idiots are going to run the country LMFAO
We know both are PTB puppets ...so I have to logically conclude -
- Trump is just reading his script here ..to let the preferred puppet win.
AND honestly, I've analyses media bias since I first studied it in Sociology classes aged 15 ...that's a long time ..I went on to studied NLP, mind control ..and eventually mind sciences ...this helps considerably because the media Matrix tactics become obvious and so using that
- I called 2016 as Trump win from seeing how media Matrix 'attacked him' by giving him 200 times the air time of opponents LOL ..
- I called 2020 Biden same ..it's always obvious .
- I've been able to tell winner of every election in UK going back to age 15 same way.
THIS one ...It's hardest to tell I have ever seen ...I've NEVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE it people! .... this isn't just the usual Matrix outlets and usual 'take down' ...in this case against Trump ...this is the ENTIRE MATRIX to degree I've never seen ....
- what does that tell me /us?
- CLEARLY ..to this point ..the preferred PTB puppet is the women actor.
- BUT - also clearly ..the PTB are concerned ..because they Matrix is DESPERATE ..so I can't rule out a Trump puppet win ...that's because in real world .so many are pissed off.
My judgement is that - I've NEVER SEEN the MATRIX fail ...but this MIGHT be the one time it does judging by the hysterical tactics and output ....it's interesting to me ..I also couldn't rule out a genuine grassy knoll moment if Trump deviates from the SCRIPT ....last one was a warning or staged ....
btm line - it doesn't matter ..its all just 'entertainment' ..PTB scripted show ..but it does tell us PTB intensions and is an amusing distraction ..that's about it.
I can't really comment as I only watched 2 minutes ..but even during that, this was true LOL ...
- Look, and not be be ..whatever...I don't debate anymore its a waste of time once u study brain science ...but ..at high school and college I was ...the best debater ...no one could handle it...I had a teacher ask me 'how do you do that' ...I wasn't trained or anything ...Mr Curson my math teacher it was ... I thought and said 'well, I guess I just get to the root issue and won't let people distract off it ..and just hold them to logic' ...( this is impossible in media ..the prevent real debate its just a show)
- If I WAS in that situation ...and Trump is 'smart' in some way and experienced..HE and I would have STOPPED that SHIT SHOw and CONTRONTED ABC there and then ...it would have scored more political points than anything. most of us despise the media Matrix ..... and HE knows that t...so WHY? again ..its a suspect performance from him ...
- and yeah some would say 'he's whining' ..those people hate him already ..I would likerally have stopped and said 'ABC you agreed to moderate, not participate ...and no real time fact checking ...if you continue to side with my opponent I won't continue and walked off stage' ...call their bluff .....it was an obvious move and moderates who he is really after would have loved it .... I would have given them 5 minutes ..walked back on 'drama drama' ...and asked 'are you ready to be impartial moderators you agreed to , or continue to break your word? etc ...
- he could then continue ..because you don't want to 'quit'...but it would have REFRAMED and put ABC on backfoot a bit ...its like how soccer players confront referee's early to do same ...its psy 101 ....he knows that ...any good debater know how to use a moment .
My honest assessment from just 2minutes ...Trump looked tired/sick or mental decline setting in ...he is too old as Biden was. ...obviously.
ALSO - since neither actually debated ....and just read talking points ...IF he was genuinely trying to 'win' that nonsense ....as per my tactic ..I would have just picked her weakest area - immigration and economy and being a marxist ....and hammered on those and nothing else the entire time allowed .....the claim he 'got baited' its total b.s. ..again, it smacks of an agreed script for that show ...either that or Trump as said is going senile as well.
My bet - we get another 'debate' magically ...this time FOX or more whatever ..and Trump does what I just said ...but we'll see.
It's all the biggest load of bollocks ive ever seen in my life ...but...whatever :-)
- I continue to have a terrible feeling about what comes after this show ends Nov 4 ...this is beyond Orwellian now ....literally anything is possible ...I'm genuinely frightened for everyone ...but nothing I can do so .... let it all go.
The great thing when we get such ALGO controlled patterns ...is we have a measure to see where we are at ....too early to say here ...but easy for me to compare price and ST model against as we go.
There is not much to stop this c up for now ...should run most of day or into tomorrow time wise, and see green box on chart for price area's ....that's our metric.
THIS is the signal that is likely most useful here ..I've shown it many times over the year..
but I've add some buy/sell lines that relate to principle of 'extreme extreme's being the opposite at reversal ... picture is better than my description ..so
Here update to this key ST signal chart ...we still on track but have ways to go to tag the sell band ....it will take either more TIME or up Price to box area ..or both
- we dithered this AM inside both support/resistance
- but now broken down ...so ..its higher odds we do the 'lows retest' ...which could include a lower low on CASH because ES dropped lower Friday after the close ..5380 is the key pivot on the swing right now ..
- but we still have that oversold condition I showed...so ST bounce zone ...BUT ..also ..if we break through ..then it high odds triggers a down trend from here
- AS said - I am looking for SWING LOWER LOWS No Matter what we do here ST
Oh sure ..that makes total sense ..Savant economics ...inflation is 'going up less'..after 4 years of near hyper inflation ..so we need to boost it again ..oops ..I mean, we need to stop economy which according to all Govt data and Media is 'super strong' from imminent recession..huh? :-)
Starting to get some Imbalance spikes here - but we likely need more
SO my 'best guess'
- we need to attempt bounce longer time wise here ...to get a better setup for a 2nd down. leg
- it ( the swing down) looks 'corrective' overall so repeat of last one similar
- This makes sense ..we'll as said keep repeating ..ending in a Right translation eventually....as also
- there are clear sign on this chart of DISTRIBUTION an for LOW Liquidity ...so ...eventual roll overs ..then saves ..rinse repeat ..until failure is best guess over next month or two.
- it looks to me we need this signal to RTM/RTE here ..I've marked the 2 most similar setups ...in terms of fractals/overall ...and model position ...it doesn't mean we EXACTLY repeat but strong Rhymes ...leaning to the 2nd one here now ..
- also ..it looks a bit 'time compressed' i.e. faster...likely due to the 'debate' tonight...so we could see a fair amount of short term volatility into close today and tomorrow based on this....it's not holy grail, game of odds...but LQ is also seeping down and sterling agrees ...so it increases odds of natural setups executing.
TECH is a bit more oversold ..I cd see it having REL strength in this bounce area ...and looks to me DOW is READY to CRATER ...on next down move to catchup.
Related - the VIX has magnet gap below and mini h&s ...might need to 'tag' during this period ..before we can get a 2ndary swing down leg....if that's going to happen.
Alt - we break back up out of that range.
- into close and tomorrow AM 'should' ..ha ha ..give some clarity on the ST setup.
Here is a chart that sums it all up nicely ..forget all the b.s. everywhere on 'why's' ..THIS is why...simples ...SIM-ALGO via LQ supply ..this ..without a doubt..was planned..because they waited for exact failure on models ( I've checked against many) to total blind side MAX ..and use the SHORTS as FUEL added to there LQ tsunami ...we know why ...on order to 're-elect'.... this is what we are up against...after nov 4...this won't be necessary ....and ...odds are high this turns down considering its already past historic.
What's good for the goose...consumers just following the 'example' set by Federal Govt ..though ..its a lie ..because the 31T ignores UNFUNDED LIABILITIES to tune of another 50+T over next decade ..
- here's how debt to GDP will look BEST CASE ...assuming perfection and no recession etc ever...good luck with that
- as I said were at around 120% ...no economy has EVER recovered ..we are BANKRUPT ...but hey, party on ...the US TITANIC
Interestingly, deliquency rates are LOW except on credit cards ..that's because the Overlords who are Corporate . are in 'LOOSe CREDIT' mode ...under same 'executive orders' until NOv 4 -
Watch how this explodes in 2025 ...unless as said, they decide to keep inflating
I mean - What's the problem? ...its obviously fine ...MMT etc ..Sure...sure ..as long as nothing ever goes wrong ever again ..its fine ...which is of course..the TOO BIG TO fAIL mentality that got us to 2007 crises and here now ....good luck with that.
- as Said logic dictates, even if you keep credit standard loose to avoid delinquency/bankruptcy etc ....it will just result in more inflation ..which eventually leads to HIGHER YIELDS ...and eventually US FEDERAL DEFAULT ...as that GDP/DEbt CURVE STEEPENS FASTER ....leading to eventually $ HEDGEMENT COLLAPSE and 'end of system event'
- ALt is you don't ..and you get a 2008 type crises.
There is no 'secret' or 'magic' or 'fairies' here ..you blow biggest debt bubble in history over and over ..higher and higher to stop it collapsing ...as I predicted in 2001 on longwave ...u can get us to here...and maybe to 2030 ...or even 2035 ...but its going to take AMAZING LUCK ....and even then....it still BLOWS UP by either route above ...its impossible it doesn't ..unless Aliens are coming to save us'.
MY POINT - there is ZERO DOUBT about this ...none ..nada ...zip
- the CB on 'orders' has overridden all natural markets to try to engineer a FAKE ROSY EVERYTHING for Democrats into Nov 4 ...END of STORY ..well and just to make it obvious, literally every single media outlet has followed same orders..I've shown BBC lying their asses off already..but its everywhere...its a Narrative...we've seen this before, haven't we? :-)
- This isn't an opinion ..its the only possible reality to fit the facts ..or Deductive Reasoning
- Either that - or you have to believe there was some 'unseen crises' that required this, that just be coincidence coincided with the ideal timeframe for the election ...Suuuuurrrreeeeee :-)
Why does this matter? Oh it MATTERs
- technicals, wave setups etc etc ...all have built in assumption of 'some natural order/markets' AND 'historic repeating patterns' - that is NOT the cASE HERE ..not Even CLOSE!
- Therefore, we have to be careful drawing conclusions on LARGER degree of of this 'FAKED period Nov 23' to now' ....
- My Reversion to mean and Extreme theory works on 'everything' including ^THIS ..therefore IF ...the 'they' ever turn off this SIM-ALGO LQ FAKER and Matrix output faking ..even a little ...we will 'reprice' or in this case MEAN REVERT to 'Un FAKE' ....and there is ZERO reason that technicals and waves would see that coming, or acting within 'historical norms' in doing so ..thats the REVERSION part ....we've seen this effect MANY times since the Financial Alchemy CB-ALGO 'new Era' of financial system began post LTCM 1998 ..and increasingly as its gone on ..because ...they have to intervene more and more ..bigger and bigger to override the Natural failure of the system ...too big to fail became fail and we are all dead etc ...do whatever it fakes ...and apparently they dont' trust Trump to play his part and keep this going.
Over the last 25 years I've had to REMIND myself of REALITY many time s....I called it in 1999/2000 and 2007 ..because.. I didn't let myself be gaslit ...because it's hard Not to get GAS-LIT by the FAKE reality ....it really is ...but that a human mind problem ...and doesn't change 'what is' ...and what is ..is VERY CLEAr .....fake data, fake economics, fake 'markets', fake everything ....and when it suits ..it will all flip at literal press of few buttons ...
- the hard part is saying 'when' ...but were' beginning the rISK period for that ...as we gone on it increases ....as I've said when I first realized what they were unto last Nov 23' ...this would be the case.
Monday Sept 9 - First Answer ..now what was the question?!
The question was - which of many setups/road maps are we most looking like here ?
- answer is the last one ...abc down ..now bounce ...BUT
- more important is Yet ANOTHER LQ injection ..and it is BIG ..as sterling actually fell this AM
More and MORe - this is becoming as said a RIGHT TRANSLATION Market ..because of endless support ..but unlike last 9 months ..there isn't enough natural buying and or is distribution into it ...such that 'eventually' it rolls over ....and we get a strong 'catchup right translation' ....as said, it likely..this happens all way toward Nov 4....and THEN its Possible we see this on CYCLE DEGREE if/when they stop the endless Sim-market support.
FYI - We were/are VERY Short term OVERSOLD here...thus ..bounce attempts are 'normal' ....we haven't worked that off yet, so that is why more attempts are likely ...even it we retest lower.....
- HOWEVER ..we've been in VERY unusually strong UPTREND ..and now ...we are either in a range ..or possibly downtrend (tbd) ...SO, odds increase of:
- remaining oversold AND
- moving to a more extreme oversold ( dark green bottom line ) ..note we haven't reach in long time ....that would be strong indicator of trend change to down.
* note also the THREE TAGs of UPPEr PINK 'max historic extreme' over bought on last 3 peaks ...NOw, THAt is BEARISH to me here ....why Mark? you just said such extreme's indicate a trend .....yep, but,..its never THAt simple is it? ....yes ..coming at a TREND cHANGE ...you often see EXTREME moves .. ....but...those 3 came at END of LONG TREND and exhaustion ..... so here, and also I can match again. many model signals on diverse set of information ...senitment, internals, LQ etc etc ...it show MASSIVE CLIMATIC Buying/Blow off. ( I mentioned we saw this on volume patterns as well) ....so ..just saying this to be clear. A further complication ..is
- as market natural now wants to drop...but the SIM-ALGO is supporting like crazy to prevent it ..it tends to drive move to these extreme's as well.
You know my view - Uniparty...puppets of Corporate Overlords etc etc ...and its a 'reality show' and they are 'actors reading scripts' ...That said
- It clear that the Kamala puppet is in trouble here...all the shiny glitz in the world runs out and then at least some substance is required ....even if it just lies of course ...you have to tell the lies and tell them well in this show ...
- So I think ..looking at data ..that she needs a good showing in the 'debate' ( try not to laugh at that title ..debate...suuureeee) ....and by all accounts, that is not likely ..but we'll see
- If it goes as expected ...Im wondering ..what next? ...the PTB Cleary prefer Kamala for their Globalist- collectivist ...essentially totalitarian agenda ...'freedom is slavery' etc ....but what will they be willing to do next if Kamala fails as it appears here..? ...
- the 'options' are fairly obvious ...hmm?
- Normally I pick the winner with ease ..this time as I said..no clue ...I think we won't know until a week or so before Nov 4 this time ...unless ...they do a 'script twist/rewrite' here..nudge nudge, wink wink ...
What I need to see now is - how is the fire doing without the SIm-Algo FlameThrower on it?
We're stating to hit some ST extreme's ...so this is our next ST check point into the close..and tomorrow AM.
Credit signal hitting red band in down swing is bearish ..high probability. ( in up swing ..its also bearish ..but can take longer to play out ...both setups on seen on this chart)
Yep - selling came in immediately wee hit ST model sell signals ...
- SPX 5440 is a MAGNET here .... then either a secondary bounce ..or failure and retest that 5380 low ( was tested on futures ATH Friday) ...as mentioned is key swing support.
EMERGENCY POST - my post count was on 666 for the thread...we don't want to encourage the PTB .....2009 ..SPX 666 etc ....just sayin' :-)
Short Term support at dotted line today and tomorrow ...resistance at mid-BB dotted line above ... tomorrow should/may/could resolve ...or ..we just stay between those annoying tbd
5450 might have been the test ..but its not a done deal ...all this buying into the close again is a little 'suspect' ...we need to see tomorrow AM to judge.
Here is another chart/perspective ...more perspectives = more information = more confidence in setups.
This is S&P risk premium - I think its actually one of best for KISS - using simple macd ..( also wave setups) ...and we see momo is close to zero line ..and historically again stocks 'struggle' from this point..until a down cycle occurs.
- SOX & NVIDIA 90 level ( if broken, I see a move to 35-40 and likely fast)
- lets see where this current swing down ends ...i've got alot of key signals in swing model NOT yet at lows ...can't show them all but I always pick a few in the real time comment s..
-THIS is one i'm watching closely ..as its not going to be effected by anything ..as its my proprietary imbalance ... Virtually EVERY swing low ..we TAG the bottom band ...NOT anywhere near it yet..which correlated as well to more traditional measures like put/call etc .
DOW swing model signal has quite long way to go ..to tag buy band at bottom ...and closed at key price support I showed friday with gap just below ..hmm ..could see it play catchup
I doubt I will have time for video today unfortunately ... there is not 'rush' anyway on most of these charts setups which are larger degree ..I WILL get there some time in next few weeks and try to cover some of the more complex stuff ...but we will also have a few more answers hopefully to the tricky 'question phase' were in here.
Alot going on here...too much for a chart to really cover ...but..what I see is BANKING CRISES INCOMING ..If when we cross back down on BKX ...even if we stumble back up ..its just DELAY ...this has way too many bearish dynamics to 'escape' it I believe.
ALSO - I believe it makes sense that the next 'crises' is in banking and Semi's at least to start ...semis' being the biggest bubble here so
- some similar dynamics to 2000 top in play here ..where, semis' lead as said ..and broad market hung on for 6 months before rolling over.
TO BE VERY CLEAR - DYNAMICS does NOT MEAN EXACT REPEAT ..its about 'mathematical bounds and patterns' ...what I see going on here is
- some UNIQUE elements of each playing out ...^this from 2000, some from 2007, some from 2021 ....I see less elements of 2018, 2020(some in imbalance data and LQ) ....1998 or previous to modern SIM-Market ......
- I know what i'm looking at on these but its actually quite hard to explain ...but for sure, we are starting to confirm some of those dynamics in my judgements ...but its not about 'prediction' but more 'confirmation' ....next week again will be very important on this...
- it tends to be ..that its kinda of DOMINO effect with dynamics ...we've definitely tipped a few here...but need to see if next ones fall - particularly in Semis' next week ....
I've Got ALOT i haven't said ..if until I see some more domino's fall ...but I'll sum it up as what i've said f2 months ago
- There are ALOT of possible short term outcomes here ...but over time ..I see/feel very strongly something uniquely bad is on the table here IF the SIM-Algo can't ...or is instructed NOT to save it...
- my intuition has been ..whilst we all would love a nice techncally correct/wave setup etc ... we are more likely than any time in history to just see SYSTEM BREAK ...and blindside everyone here.
- YES I am more aware than anyone that 'they' (sim-algo) and they 'CB-Govt proxies) will DO Everything they can in September to prevent ^this ...but bare in mind, they have been doing this for 3months already ....there is a RISK here that is extreme and rare ....
Whenever we've made new ATH on this chart, its not been a good time to buy.
I suspect this is gone higher in August due to BTFD on the pullback ...and it does appear to be distribution here.
Basically, as i've gone over...and I've checked with research:
- the top 10% have got rich in houses/stocks via CB Sim-algo by bankrupting the future
while the other 90% have been fleeced ..by regressive policy of inflating costs whilst holding down incomes ...
- as we've also gone over there is only TWO PATHS from here ...continue same policy so bankrupt everyone except top 10% .....and eventually that will blow up as Yields rise to 8-10% very quickly ..at same time 90% default ..... OR try to let same air out ...which due to this policy will very high odds result in systemic collapse of stocks and housing ....Take your pick :-)
- the top 10% have also massively benefited for 9month of straight CB Up simulation ....we'll find out which of the two paths they prefer after Nov 4 ...or possibly before because I doubt they need to keep it going into nov 4 ...just close enough to make bogus claims I see everywhere from the ignorant 99.999% that the 'economy is strong' ..yes, strong as a house of cards.
- I can't predict what they will do ...but ..I can predict these are the two choices....they can DELAY DELAY as they did in 2024 ..but at COSTS that are now coming due .... I hope everyone has 'enjoyed the party' ...because the 'fun' is close to being over here ....as
- logically, why DELAY DELAY after Nov 4? ...usually want to get bad stuff out the way ...UNLESS its path 1 ...and the plan is the inflationary destruction ...this is NOT like 1970' which had cost push inflation as wages soared .... the wage slave economy has no power ...and AI can soon replace alot of jobs ....
- So we 'should' know very soon which is our two fates 'they' have planned ....its not possible to say here until we see into 2025....If I had to guess..
- if they put Trump in ...some air comes out ....and then we get another cycle up so maybe down 1st 2 years then up next 2 years
- if they put 'the other one' in ...the inflationary demolition is more likely...but its very hard to be sure..they probably still try to let air out ...its probably a RIGHT TRANSLATION ..very fast ..over in months ..then we resume the inflationary destruction ...If this the plan ..we won't make it to 2028 ...the system will blow up before that and WWIII will be used to distract from it.
Sept 6 - EOD 2nd comment ( see first in main daily thread)
When I get time - we need to talk ...REALLY Talk ..about this chart ..It would have to be a video because there's too much complexity I need to discuss 'whats on my mind' about this and actually for couple of years here.
- I only see TWO ..REAL WORLD possible Counts for this entire Primary Wave ...
- AND its now strongly leaning to one of them ..the ending diagonal
- Which is ...honestly...terrifying ....I mean, really scary
.. BUT also allows for a longer period of up cycle attempts from here rather than immediate collapse ..though that is also distinctly possible ..... As per Stubby and I discussion about 'they will try everything and then some to keep this together' ... we shall discuss.
- I think these two indexes show what I'm seeing the best ..the same pattern is on ALL world indexes..but some show it clearer.
- If DAX fall back under recent IT low at 17000 - then realistically, it has to be the ED ....
- then, whether that is complex is debatable ..we will know because literally the all world markets will go into waterfall like you have never seen ...if not...then favors 1 or more further and high odds WEAK up cycles next few years. ..I'm trying not to have an opinion on that..but we will know ALOT MORE POST NOV 4 won't we !
oh - and this chart ..BIG trouble ...completed 5 waves including ending diagonal 5th..Watch SOX like a mother bear watching bear cubs here ..with that potential h&s I showed as well.
- If we thought the Dot com bubble was nuts ...the so called AI ..not AI bubble is bigger...when the CB supplied crack wears off ...hell ..to ..pay
is playing out ...and also a fractal repeat of last move down ...which I went over is a 'right translation' ( i.e. compressed move on the right hand side of setups...in this case, due to SimALGO LQ attempts...sometimes its natural due to lack of synch .
SOX has broken down ..comp at support right now..and spx 5380-5400 key weekly support ..dow holding that key level ...so big divergences appearing....it appears to me Semi's are leading down but we will see.
There are too many wave setups to be useful here on the swing ...I need to see what happens today that will help rules some in/out.
- but as I went over..the setup is bearish for swing ..and even more so now...really, we should see a drop on SPX to min 5300 area.
Dollar retests that low and bouncing, if it can take out its AM high...we'll have yet another upside reversal setup ...until the Sim-Algo no doubt whacks it down again...but ..cork..water ...effect here now.
EOD - when I get a chance this weekend I'll look over all the models/data/setup and see if I see anything new but really
- this is just what I expected here so far AND
- it doesn't really add anything ...it just RULES out a few things like a bigger upside '5' move.
I can't just rely on waves but really I can't get away from fact
- this is the clearest ENDING DIAGONAL I've ever seen here.
- also that I can't really fit that with my count of 'cycle 3' ...but that's likely because either its such a 'forced move' or because there won't be a cycle 5
- It really doesn't matter for now or foreseeable anyway ..and we can't just rely on waves! especially with so much manipulation.
Btm line is - the models have us in Cycle topping phase ...I know its 2024 and 'nothing matter' but I still find it hard to conceive 5+ different models are all 'wrong' ...we will see.
What I am really trying to figure out is pretty simple:
- have we seen the Cycle top OR is it still to come here next few weeks
- either way for now I see more downside ...the nature of that will hopefully answer this question.
- Even IF it is the cycle top ..it may just be a shorter /smaller degree one ....sorta wave 4 ...that is the other key question IF a larger degree drop is implicated ...SOX and comp would strongly suggest it is.
- We also have to keep in mind that
a. Everything is Fake for Nov 4 and
b. this has introduced massive System Risk ..and also even just Reprice potential.
Therefore we cannot assume 'technicals/waves/setups' etc 'work' because they won't if they stop, or can't keep the charade going ...or black swan shows up.
I've got ALOT of analog/road maps here for this swing down ..TOO MANY...I need to see what happens from here into the close to maybe narrow them down
- the highest odds is either
- we churn/bounce off 5400 area into the close OR
- we drop through ..and then its a question of how far...
I would favor we drop through pretty hard...based on some complex analogs..but TBD 5380 is the BIG one for me to determine which road maps were on ...I see high odds that gets tested today ..then 'we'll see' ..if it doesn't bounce hard there..then..I favor a waterfall down to 5220 in short order...next few sessions.
More of sideways at the lows - so need to see Monday now to help give a more specific road map for the swing low ..as said, looking for lower lows for sure.
This week didn't answer much - but it raised ALOT of questions ...it definitely favors more of my model cycle setups of topping zone....most were looking for new highs here ..and we see on the drop most are extremely bullish ...
- hopefully next week can actually answers a few questions.
Actually 5220/30 is the 'idealized move' ...on sPX ...sometime in this setup of 'open jaws' they can happen in single day ...hence my 'massive down day' potential ...it will depend how much weekly support @ this 5400 down to 5380 we get.
UNFortunately ...even this wont' help me on waves on the Cycle degree ..because it could be 'c' down of abc 4 ...of 5 (final) ...OR even ii of 5 of Ending diagonal I went over ...
- not unless we actually took out the previous IT low from couple weeks ago would it help ...
HOWEVER - my DYNAMIC SETUPS are more useful than waves anyway....the waves just confirm/deny ...so..we shd get some answers .possibly today...on weekly closes.
the usual -> dollar -> LQ spike etc ...as I suggested this time dow and spx weaker and catching up
We are NOW at CRITICAL SUPPORTS on SPX ...dow approaching ...
- this is WITH 2 now 'save attempts' .
- the PROBLEM for ALGO is ZERO SHORTS due it last barn burner efforts AND MASSIVe CALL buying ...seeing it again this AM.
If we can't hold here - 5480 ...or down to max 5465/70 ..with ALL of this Support ....then ..Oh my!
* actually, the fact we HAVE dropped down this far ..with this much support ..is pretty shocking ,and a repeat of what we saw couple weeks ago before eventually big plunge when LQ finally dropped.....not saying we do the same ..but if they can't keep forcing dollar/sterling down ...then I believe we will ...
AND it seems to me ..we are starting to pay the price ..in options market ..and no doubt, there is TON of DISTORTIONS ...which is why the main cost is RISK ...especially IF their is a limit of ability to keep the infinite support going into sept/oct TBD
CLOSE today might give a clue on tomorrows data - so much insider trading now as I said...
- my stuff all looks bearish here as said for big drop down again ...but..I can't rule out back sweeps ....
- but if we drop under 5480 into the close...it would certainly be 'surprising' and suggest tomorrow is down.
- Equally, if we see a barn burner up last 20 minutes ...then...likely that 5 sigma call relative to price call buying is insiders again and tomorrow is a big backsweep.
Overall though .as ive been saying ...the RISK continue to mount to downside ..and will increasingly be so from here on out....on the IT and CYCLE degree ....backsweeps and barn burners not withstanding.
Honestly, If I'm Russia ..and it depends if they are also PTB puppet and reading a script OR actually not ...I've never been sure
- then I tell NATO that - for every NATO/US weapon that lands on Russian soil ..they will fire an tit-for-tat into a NATO country of their choosing including UK and USA .
- this would ask the question of NATO/US/UK 'do you want WWIII' ..if yes, keep esculating ...OR if not ...stop using Ukraine to fight YOUR war ..as I predicted at start, sacrificing the people of Ukraine to do it ....so typically PTB ..they LOVE PROXIES or 'using humans as cannon fodder' ..whilst convincing the cannon fodder and allies that is a good thing ...'cheer the cannon fodder to their deaths' ...
- I said this at start to friend of mine ...she replied 'but we have to do something ' ( in response to Russia ) ..I said YEs 'stop creating proxy wars' ...she says 'what's a proxy war' ...at which point I gave up :-)
The 'normal' bounce here ...off 5480 ..mid -Band ...happens >80% of time ..then Real question is ...what next ....if can't reverse to new highs, we'll drop through ...and then I see as said much bigger drop.
put/calls - either another MASSIVe Insider trade...seen so many in 2024 ..or this is incredibly bearish ..just no way to know anymore ...its so corrupt alas...but we'll likely get answer tomorrow on 'news' ( all the massive corrupt insider trades obviously occur before 'data' ..which is fake of course...so it has to be people radiating out from the the source of that data ...apparently that's OK now ...SEC are probably in on the trades as well we've reached that point ..Rome. Nero etc)
Talking of History - DOLLAR ..I cd show ALOT of charts in model I'm looking at ..
- btm line is RECENT low around 100 is VERY strong support for now at least.
- so if 'they' by which I mean the SIM-ALGO is going to keep this LQ tidal wave going ..its going to get 'interesting' on next trip to 100 area soon here ...
- I don't know what happens ..but I have to logically believe .its going to get tougher to keep this going ...and since ANY Drop in LQ leads to Massive problems from here...its doubly 'interesting' ...they can delay...delay..but increasingly as said the COSTS are Coming due ....
I've zoomed in to show typical BB Mid-band bounce area ...I actually prefer a different 240 min setting but this one allows us to assess EARLIER 'how strong is support' -
- this one is Weak ..on relative historical basis ..but...its 2024 etc ...
- I've marked also its fractal similar to previous pink box ..worth watching.
- the MOSt important dynamic on that chart is the FLAT MID BAND ..historical..that is VERY HIGH ODDs leads to BREAK below and run to LOWER BAND ...Dynamic setup ...however, there can be 'delay and backsweeps' ...and so we are at that critical zone ....with 'Matrix hype' on jobs report tomorrow so 'Gaming mode engaged'
Dollar has alot of support at recent lows ..and impulse move up there and now usual whack-a mole and lack of LQ response -
- I cd be wrong ..but the ALGO is hitting LAW of DIMINISHING Returns
- this is aLWAYS what happens in the sim-market since 2007 that I've really observed.
I'm not saying 'this is the end' ..but I do believe we're in Final stages of current Up cycle ...similar to end of 2021 ...though many variants are possible ...just looking for information as we go to pin this down ...tomorrow will likely yield some.
But my 'intuition' hasn't changed ...we are building to BIG trouble here.
Matrix HYPE over Jobs report - which is just more made up stuff ..like everything ...so is irrelevant ..but we'll see if it changes the current pattern.
IF we get another 'right translation' move here ..then ...I am going to say, I think we'll eventually see same on Cycle degree ...with all that implies.
EOD - New Thread Posted ..
https://markdavidson.substack.com/p/real-time-analysiscomments/comments
Mon Oct 28 - Bonds oh my!
Yep - gone and tip toed past the key pivots ..now ...its not done deal ..but that's a big warning sign ...if it doesn't reverse here/now ..I think we
- get a BREAK AWAY MOVe on YIELDS ..and THAT would signal Trouble as I went over BEFORe this move began.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNTMxMzZfMjM5MzU1MTA
Stocks - the infinite support ALGO ...gap up Friday...gap up Monday...LOL ..suuureeee ... but as said, it can't get upside traction because 'all in' ...and it isn't get downside traction because need high volume to overcome this infinite support algo ....so ....'dis is what we get.
TNX is furtherest from its downslope ABC around 44 ...TYX and TLT poked past them..
I believe next couple session are huge tell here as said
- either immediate reversal ...If not
- this is going to 'extend' into a large 3rd wave up in yields.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNTMyODZfMjM5MzU2OTA
As I went over Friday...where the Algo is going to hold ..on the button ..and again at open ..and now all day.....I will know when something changes because it won't hold on of this pivots ..tedium for now.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNTMyOTdfMjM5MzU3MDE
I actually watch pretty much the whole Rogan/Trump podcast ...I have thoughts :-)
My daughter actually was so shocked ...'Are you watching TRUMP' ( in horrified voice) ..'why?' ... well I said ..I'm trying to read body language and tells to some questions ..
- but as pointed out here....certain PTB sensitive topics were obviously agreed to not touch ...why is a BIG TELL for those with functional logic ...
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-10-28/why-did-trump-rogan-refuse-touch-covid-vaxx-three-hour-interview
But here is my take FWIW - and anyone who know me ..will tell you ...I have a great record of 'reading people' ..call it 6th sense or maybe just study of NLP and other ..but here' my 2cents
- Trump 'the person' is an OK guy ..typical of his class/tribe of savy business/sales people
- He is a born salesman ...that's his main talent ..and that hooks alot of people
- His is 'smart' within the normal smart range ...but as I've said previous he is 'dumb' outside of that..he is not one of life's great thinkers/deep knowledge..but
- He knows more than he lets on ..and is a GOOD ACTOR at PLAYing the ROLe of 'Trump'..most people have tow or more persona's ...he has developed his ..and is REALLY SKILLED at SWITCHING PERSONA .....the 'real Trump' appears to me 'an OK guy' and nothing like the character he plays ...alot of that is training in language use ...and his natural skills at it.
But here is couple of more important things I picked up on -
- He is VERY CAREFUL about certain topics - his answers on JFK and Ufo's were extremely telling ..he knows ALOT more than he felt he could say ...not because of following 'rules' but because he clearly know very powerful people (PTB or agents of) would 'take action' ...he was written all over him on his initial sentence on both ..but then he 'introspected' and put out the Matrix standard answer ...i.e. he knows damn well on both, and especially on Aliens he knows way more than his 'yes clearly there are ufo's'.. as I've mentioned before, the evidence from aviation is as close to 100% as u will ever get...but I read, its WAY more than that ...but PTB are waiting to use that knowledge to own advantage as usual ....he was AFRAID to accidentally say more ..100%.
- He knows that is all a game ..he is playing a role ...and he is upset at formed friends playing the game also and attacking him as Nazi ...as. I've pointed out before, he was a Democrat and they loved him most o his life ...but he gets it ...and he answer about 'Go on CNN and be negative' sums that up ....yep ...its all BS of course.
In Summary -
- He knows the GAME ..he knows the rules ..and he's great at playing the Persona ..he does believe in some of what he says...a good salesman has to believe int he 'product'..but in real life would be way more moderate and balanced about it ...but that doesn't 'sell'
FOR ME - the only interesting/important thing is:
- Do they RISK/Can the PTB override the margin >0.5% in key states...we are about to find out ...Trump appears to be ahead >5% in enough key states...so this will be MASSIVe TELL on that
- IF they can't ..what does PTB do about RFK and Musk? ...how controlled are they? we will see... my guess ...they won' be able to get much of anything done i.e. PTB will just tie them up in knot ..before going to 'other options' ...
- What will be the PTB agenda? ...I FEAR the period Nov 5-Jan ...could as said see 'almost anything' in attempt to form narratives/framing.
SAT- Oct 26
SOX - I still believe this is a key setup to watch play out ...a bearish sign
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NjRfMjM5MzA1MDk
I posted this months ago - I still see this as highest odds ...completing 3 of 5 ..possibly in (3 or 5) of 5 of 3 right now ....hard to be sure with such massive upward simulation - Nov-Jan 25' I hope will 'shed light'.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NjZfMjM5MzA1MTE
Banking Big Sell setup here..
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NjlfMjM5MzA1MTQ
Bitcoin 'fits'
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NzJfMjM5MzA1MTc
hmm - still trackin'
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NzNfMjM5MzA1MTg
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NzRfMjM5MzA1MTk
comp-LQ Model ( new or at least never shown I believe - other variants I have shown)
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NzVfMjM5MzA1MjA
Sentiment - yikes!
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NzZfMjM5MzA1MjE
Shh- unique ...
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NzdfMjM5MzA1MjI
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg1NzhfMjM5MzA1MjM
LQ Cycel Degree position Review SimulationAlgo Fuel + shorts ( none right now)
- new ATH by significant margin ..MAY be topping just in time for NOv 5 - shocking eh?! LOL
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg5NzlfMjM5MzExMjM
Not sure I posted this ..well..
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg5ODFfMjM5MzExMjU
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDg5ODNfMjM5MzExMjc
10/25 - Meh ...
Bonds - not tipping their hand yet....so I won't make a call here on retracement or not ...need to see bit more of setup and signals ...but ..its leaning ..that any retrace would be SHALLOW ..I cd be wrong ..typically need one more session to add confidence.
Stocks - LOL ..suuuureee ...gap up ....I've covered this to death ..hit my key pivot then as expect 'the save' numero gazillion come in ...we will see if it holds...its weaker than previous ..mostly through tech land.
* will need to hold 5820-5830 here
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDc0OTlfMjM5MjkzNDk
I saw this - quite good snapshot of what I've predicted.... the phrase 'u can fool some of the people some of the time but not all the people all the time' ..
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GavixfaXQAEth4_?format=jpg&name=large
EOD
TLT strike 2
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDc5NjNfMjM5Mjk4Mjk
spx/comp - Algo held the gap into close .kel surprise......probably try again Monday with another gap up ...if not...we can see acceleration down in 'c' type wave.
Comp Tested it ATH today
- put in shooting star ..hmmmm
- wedged to death here
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDgwMzJfMjM5Mjk4OTk
SIm -Algo will try to save it here at gap/near term 'slope' as I've gone over ..if can't ..then ..we'll get an acceleration down in my view high odds due to 'reprice' effect.
- as per previous chart ..5820 is the 'magic number' ..where next 'miracle' would need to come ..and so far its batting about 1000.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDc1MThfMjM5MjkzNjk
Key here willl be tech as said ..'paging Mr Sim Algo ..'..LQ is definitely weaker ..so we will see what ammo' is left right here. 18520-18545
- failure will see 'open jaws' on SPX to 5780 in a reprice snap ....(see 1st chart)
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDc1NjlfMjM5Mjk0MjA
* here it comes - right on queue ..save attempt 1001 ..LOL
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDc1ODdfMjM5Mjk0Mzg
Nope - still at it LMFAO ..this has been the case since that big drop few months ago ..as said ..there is the most relentless up support I've ever seen ...
- well we will see...the downside pull here is strong and given it failed once..but..I rule nothing out due last few months ....this is why I saw(say- I have to bracket the correct word due to auto fail) ) it's not tradable ST
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDc2NDhfMjM5Mjk0OTk
Looks like failure though I can't rule out another attempt .at that red line ...usually its only one and done -
- so higher odds now we accelerate lower..to next pivot.
- this is different type of 'technical analysis' ..not exact science of course.
* holding ..but typically after sim-algo attempts fails it will RTE ..here.leading to FASt drop ...
- fyi in my view the short term is untradable against this algo...
U can play at home -
- at this stage of the game ..the sim algo moves are fractal repeats...
- I market the last 'out the blue' one same as right now ..v up in sharp downtrend
-I'd look for this one to be Weaker ...I cd be wrong...but we can use as match to judge
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDc1OTNfMjM5Mjk0NDQ
10-24 Happy 24th day of the month
Well - not much happening but a few things of note
- Mostly TLT/TNX/TYX ALL hit the KEY PIVOTS I went over ..all roughly have 5 minor waves complete
so 'should' be a significant retracement here ( drop in yields) ... BUT ..
- But ...I've said my view ...I believe IF we get a retracement is will be shallow ...and IF we don't ..and cross the pivots without one ..well...all sorts of fun will be had....
- I believe ALOT depends right here on 'the bigger plan' - for now..I'll give the slight edge to some sort of retracement currently today.
- Dollar for sure is getting a bit of change to retrace...but sterling is less convincing..TBD
- stocks ..meh ...too early to say ...but I am still seeing RISK is HIGH of another failure here...but the infinite support ALGO has other plans ..so one step at time.
TLT near term count -
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyNDQxMzNfMjM5MjU4MDc
10-23. Gltches Galore
Both stock charts and now Bigcharts and other are ALL GLITCHING right here ...shocked, shocked I say! :-)
* stockhcharts..this appears to be an error ..or 'predictive' of SIM ALGO's next move ..seen that MANY TIMES LOL
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzg1MDJfMjM5MTk4MjM
* multi vendors show comp still dropping ..
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzg1MDZfMjM5MTk4Mjc
Well dollar and bonds yields...go above the 'threshold' of 1=5 ...(I=v infact but substack won't let me type that.lower case (i) is changed to upper case unless I bracket it ..yeah..oookkk ..just like it 'auto-screws' up most of what I type LOL ...given up trying to correct that)
EOD comment
Talk about 'outing yourself' - the matrix has shown its colors hasn't it :-)
-When they default to Trump=Hitler ..u know they are losing! ...LMFAO
- White House spokeswoman amplifies Trump-is-a-fascist attack https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/4949514-white-house-biden-trump-fascist/
What's that law about all argument eventually end up at Hitler ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Godwin%27s_law
Well - Judge on people ACTIONS ..becaue WORDS are WORTHLESS ...polticians lie lie lie ...can say whatever ..
- What ACTIONS did Trump make in 2016-2020 that indicate he is a 'like Hitler'?
- Did he BAN BOOKS and BURN BOOKS ? OH wait that's right that was DEMOCRATS..when the DIGITALLY BURNED millions of our work ..wirth coordinated de-platforming/censorship ...
- Did he indicate he wanted to BAN people/informaiton? - Nope, again that is Democrats who want to appoint themselves as 'Ministry of Truth' and DICTATE 'mis/dis information' ..and abandon 1st amendment because 'they know best' ... truly Totalitarian ...yet most are F'in BLIND to it ..because they are dumb/ignorant/programmed to Not question ...sound familiar?
- Did he use LAwfare against enemies? nope..Democrats again
- Did he Say GOVT should have authority over your body ? Nope ..that's Democrats ..who said those not taking the untested long term, UAE experimental shots should be FORCED to take it ..using COERCION of Job loss etc are BANNED by the NUREMBERG CODE ..including lack of informed consent ....Oh my! in direct opposite to belief women must have medical authority over abortion LMFAO
- Did he threatened to round up those who refuse to Obey b being experimented on and forcibly experiment on them? Nope ...that was Democrats...who now have audacity to claim they didn't say this ..so that's the next point
- Did he Tell lies that led to deaths/maiming/ill health on massive scale ..lies that would have made Goebels blush? ...nope...Dems again ....the masses don't realize yet the true scale, only those of us who have studied massive amount of immune science know ..but, some will come out ... and this is similar to Nazi's Dr at Nuremberg ...I see no difference whatsoever ..including financial reward for 'following orders' ..all the same crimes against humanity.
..I could go on ..but its. very clear as I've said for 4 year and predicted before these clowns took office they were danger ideologues ...TICK ...
People are the hero of their own story - Hitler, Stalin etc believed they were great men helping people ....nearly ALL people are Totalitarian by nature as Milligram showed and many others ...I could go into all the brain science ...its biological ..so Trump likely is same ...but ..so far...his ACTIONS don't support this claim...whereas the current regime has
- SHOWN itself to be 100% FASCIST ...just look at lies upon lies on Economic 'data' with massive revisions 6-12 month after ...this shows their total distain for 'truth' ...they are the ones using ORWELLIAN DOUBLESPEAK 'freedom is slavery ' ...'any information we don't like is DisINFORMATION and a thought crime etc' ...
Fun times! :-) ...what is even funnier as those of u who follow me know, I HATE TRUMP ..to me he is a not very bright, typical silver spoon elitist ..I can't say anything good and never have ..EXCEPT ...in ACTIONS ..so far ...he is NOT a FASCIST ..unlike those who's words are about 'loving each other' then proceed to ACTIONS of HATE and DIVISION and
Totalitarian control. Eh. Whatever... most cannot see past their programming etc. so cannot be objective in looking at this.
Talking of laws - as in Godwin ... I have a few of my own ...I added this one:
Mark's 5th? law - However ignorant you believe people to be, a trip to social media comments will make you realize you grossly underestimated the Dunning-Kruger Effect. Sheesh or is it Eeek.
Things I learned for Social Media Democratic echo chambers today ( I know ...X and Zero hedge are just as bad...actually, honestly they used to be..but right now they seem relatively indepedent thinking .)
- CNN is a Trump supporting Nazi organization and to blame if Miss Special K doesn't win
- All Trump supports are dumb, and all Democratic supporters are superior In every way
- Harris will win - unless she doesn't - in which case it because she's a women, or black or both and because of CNN and how easily led 50% of voters are ..but only Trump supporters
- The Economy is booming, but people don't realize it because they are too stupid to believe the data put out by Govt ..and insanely believe their own personal economic experience of being broke instead.
All I can say is Wow, just Wow ...we are Sooooo Screwed :-)
I would love for these Self proclaims superior beings to sit in my office for a week and hear the stories of enonomic hardship I have to hear ...and explain to 60+% of working populations why they are 'wrong' about not being able to afford to live. I had fire fighter Kevin come in today for example - needs a 2 bedroom apartment and current cost is $2400 in town ...that's UP about 80% since 4 years ago industry data that is easily verifiable ( even using Zillow) ...just like all industry data shows in Arizona and about all cities nationally about 60% ...the f'in liars as I've said lie lie lie about this ..everyone I speak to is exhausted and pissed out/angry as hell .... you cannot Gaslight people real world experience
- so are all democratic's super wealthy/non renting populations ? I really don't get it?
I gave up 'debating' people on economy decades ago - the average voter knows literally ZIP ...I don't debate but I give information ...probably < 1 in 1000 people know for example the importance of DEBT/GDP and its 120% and what that means - or what unfunded liabilities are ....but they are damn sure they know the economy is f'in great LMFAO ..yep, great like Enron I tell them ...they don't get that joke ...since as said they literally know nothing except Govt fake Data.
Imbalance - still alot of buying here...we haven't reached a 'give up' or 'selling' stage...
- my guess is IF 5750 is crossed ..we'll get then a big fast drop ...but its not exact science
- the ALGO will keep trying to hold it here...still within the 'save' range ..but if shorts don't pick up ..have NOT so far..then ..we'll eventually drop through as I went over.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzg2MzZfMjM5MjAwMDM
5765 just hit ..that's top of 'Key pivot range' - 5750-5765
So, now we'll start to get bounce attempts ...and then 'we will see' ...
- if normal ..( doesn't look normal does it!) ..we bounce here
..if not
- we go through
AHA - and There is the exact spike on the stock charts from the AM glitch ..vertical 'out of nowhere' :-)
* ALSO - LQ did NOT move up !!!!!!!! something NEW and FUN going on here...as said...it has to be DIRECT BUYING by FRIENDS ...Wall Street ALGO aligned with the 'agenda' LOL ... so f'in stupid LMFAO
Compare to this mornings 'error' that I 'joked' would be a later SIM ALGO move ..seen it many times
- note. trend down day...not reason or signals or anything to explain a V- up of this size ...oh except LOL
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzkwMTRfMjM5MjAzOTc
LQ is dropping and I see high odds that continues due to sterling/dollar etc
So Very high odds we test that key 5750 ...at 5770 now which is minor support.
My read is this is wave FOUR of one of more Degree's ..but its difficult to be sure which due to all the bs ...TBD ....there is a slim chance the final 5 is complete but for now that's lower odds.
Either way - I look for 5750 to be tested..It looks to me from here it won't hold...THEN we have
- the setup I've gone over at length for 'flash down' ...I'd say to 5600 minimum.
HEADS UP - SUBSTACK is RANDOMLY removing my posts and other glitched ..so I'm not sure you will see THIS post ...but ..yeah..so I things might not makes sense
- start of the 'great Cyber Glitch out' just in time for Nov 5? :-)
FYI - the Stockcharts ticker is CORRECT ..EXCEPT for the Last bar always showing big spike up ..which is 'fake' or 'error' or whatever u want to call it ...planned? LMFAO ...how long can it possibly take to fix ...the same 'error' must have occurred 20 times I've seen it over the year...whatever.... it's all 'stuff' that most don't see patterns ..but those of us been around a long time have seen ....power outages next? hmmmmmm.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzg1OTVfMjM5MTk5MzI
* I liked my own post to draw this to your attention ..substack is poor for that..so only real way I have.
It makes 'sense' that vendors starting making up/faking the stock ticker - I mean, everything else is made up or faked :-)
Anyhoo - something real ..getting very real ..will Matrix mention it before nov 5? doubtful...
TNX - and looks to me it will poke through that massively key 42.5 level it just tested..We are getting to the 'meat and potato' portion of this into end this week
- if YIELDS do NOT DROP back RIGHT HERE....this could EXTEND into an 'iii' wave instead of 5th(v) I had ....and CROSS ALL the RUBICONS I laid out ...will DOLLAr also part of that ride ...then the 1st COST will be paid.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzg1MTZfMjM5MTk4Mzc
COMP looks especially 'troubled' - but for the 'hand of Market Gods' it would have collapsed already in my view...but this pattern has been consistent even with that ..
- NASI turning down here looks like and putting it in again
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzQzODBfMjM5MTU1MTg
Substack bug deleted my posts ..I will try again quickly here but don't have time to retype it all.
here was the key chart https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzQzNzZfMjM5MTU1MTQ
I can't edit so there comment are for chart above
- There is a historic overriding of markets above and beyond even since Nov 23 ..which itself it by far the biggest artificial friggin' of markets in history
- the effect now is down side 'has to be banned' because it will lead to rapid reprice ..which is not allowed to close to Nov 5 ...becuae the Idiots think somehow we are all fulled by the stock market LMFAO ... but that's the game ...
- the last 'sell' results in sideways..but the last 'buy' resulted in almost no upside as result ...because 'everyone's in' , no shorts to burn ..and maxed on via LQ and INVENtory it can hold ...
- so we'll on current sell signal...the SIM will obviously try to go sideways in rinse repeat of last but 'everything' is weakening ....
- as said if no NEWS or no Sell Algos' ...it will hold and repeat, but If not ..I expect a very sharp down move ..but as soon as shorts build, it will turn uP like last time ...until AFTER NOV 5 ...
- After Nov 5 - we don't necessary just collapse...but the PAYBACK is coming ..unless everything that's been done since Nov 23 continuous ...which I highly doubt ..and if not ...Oh boy!
Oct 22 - Rinse Repeat
No changes ...
The SIMALGO is defending what I call the 'angle of ascent' ...I've seen it Many times ...right now its holding ...but its weakening a bit ....
- we will likely need 'news' or something to end this ...or ...it will go to max extent and keeping an eye...then a big gap down ...or run at open
Bond yields ...still on a run ...approaching all those key levels I posted ..also see EOD ton of charts last night
https://open.substack.com/pub/markdavidson/p/real-time-commentary?r=1ignzj&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=73557064
EOD - another 'exciting' day on stocks :-) ...this is purely because stocks need to drop but the infinite prop up ALGo won't let them .... causes this kind of stalemate ...if they can keep it up to Nov 5 ... cool ..if not...we drop hard..then they ramp it up again most likely like couple months ago.
Nothing 'real' until Post Fake Reality - even then ..the REAL COSt won't be until 2025....buckle up ..and plan ahead.
While many people in the West believe that Russia/Putin are "isolated" - because their media tells them that -- two dozen world leaders are in Russia now for a 3-day BRICS conference. BRICS itself includes the two most-populous countries and 4 of the top 10 most populous.
Beyond the founding 5 (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa), it expanded to 5 more (including key US "partners" Egypt, UAE and maybe Saudi). They "account for 45% of the global population" and 28% of global economy. Key goal: a financial system independent of US dollar.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/xi-putin-hail-ties-advancing-fair-world-order-amid-chaos-sown-western-hegemony
I quite like this concise post I made - I've posted something like this many times in last 30 years..no one ever responds...I assume because, they can't deny it or its too 'depressingly' true ( I don't buy into idea more accurate information (truth) is 'depressing' because the alternative is 'ignorance is bliss' ...but 'knowledge is power' ( to do what, of course? ...well, at least be able to make informed decisions))
-
The concept of government is disinformation :-) at least at national level. -
- You can vote only for actor/puppets in a fake reality show - You cannot vote to 'change the system'
- You cannot hold anyone to account
- they lie everytime, everyone knows they lie, everyone deludes themselves their 'choice' isn't lying ....when as always they see they lied, they get mad and vote for the next liar ..rinse repeat...in some kind of self deluded ground hog day hell loop.
Here's how LOGIC tells you its all Kabuki Theatre:
- Executive Officers of a Company have to sign off on claims, and its a felony to lie, yet 'Govt' official do not...they are no accountability except the electorate ..who cannot vote for anyone who doesn't lie.
- If 'vote to change the system' such as accountability, or removal of unlimited lobbyist/dark money i.e. bribes for lying were on the ballot, it would win in a landslide...so of course, its not on the ballot and never will be.
Whoever pretends to be 'the Govt' are actors, reading scripts taking orders from bribers & blackmailers otherwise known at the Powers That Be/ Corporate Overlords/MIC etc ..and its been this way a long time.
The REAL issue of our time - well, at top of list ..
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GagvdXHXgAANfoC?format=jpg&name=small
FYI - NEW THREAD sOOn - this one is starting SLOW down as too many posts! ..
Here is the ANGLE of ASCENT ALGO pattern ..ive seen it hundreds of times since 2003 when ADAPTIVE ALGO's were first deployed to Prop up market ....though, they have evolved CONSIDERABLY LOL as I've gone over for last 10-15 years...
NOte. the pattern on very short term imbalance ...
- the 'buying' is getting weaker ( the falling angle of ascent ( pink lines on price) ) and tends to peak with massive spikes ( imbalance limit)
- the selling is more 'drift down' so far...so..that is why its holding ..and rinse repeating .if actually selling came in...its clear we would break lower ...thats IF
- otherwise this process continuous ..news could spike it up also ..but likely to meet selling..
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzM4NDZfMjM5MTQ5Mzg
another huge buying spike ..met with selling here.....ground hog repeaters until 'news' or 'exhaustion' - outrageous politicization of stock market of course since Nov 24 ..but what is new ..this has gradually become 'a thing' last 3 terms.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzQwMTZfMjM5MTUxMDk
This one I posted the way - and we see a High TAG Target just above 42.5 on TNX ...that is one things along with TLT I've shown all the key levels, testing one right now.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzM3OTFfMjM5MTQ4ODM
then TYX is also right at that APEX and green key pivot been on charts for months awaiting this run ...here we are! ...and its not going to 'lie' ...what happen here is absolutely key...
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMzM3OTRfMjM5MTQ4ODY
so when bonds on 10,20.30 year ALL show same setups ABC completed, buy signals, then move u p impulsively and now all testing simultaneously key pivots on MY system/models
- thats VERY RARE ..and to my read spells 'trouble' ...likely a LACK of LQ in bonds building ...
MAYBE it temporary until Nov 5/6 ...but I don't believe that...as the bond technicals patterns are NOT set by 'emotional speculators' in bonds +. the entire MATRIX and sentiment has been 'rates will fall/dollar toast' ....this is far more likely SMART money/foreign CB's etc who are able to do 1+1=2 and ignore the Matrix.
EOD - Bond signals also continue to confirm REVIEW
Here is a few select signals and setups...updates to ones I've been posting ...I have about 90 charts LOL but that's across many timeframes...but these show a good snapshot of varies swing to Cycle
- it interesting the COST portion of the FAKE EVERYTHING 2024 ..has taken a while to play out ..but it definitely is now...there simply isn't enough System LQ to keep both Stocks and Bonds in FAKE UTOPIA LAND. ..as as in 2021 ..they let bonds got first ..or because its a bigger market and harder to fake out...
- cross mid-band is a confirmation of the prior IT/Cycle buy
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzMjBfMjM5MTAyNTM
* This is CYCLE degree..this looks VERY BAD ...turning up to buy here....
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzNDNfMjM5MTAyNzY
Reminder of large degree setup I posted while ago ..now getting confirmations
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzMjlfMjM5MTAyNjI
- mind band weekly cross...same as dollar ..no surprise
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzMzJfMjM5MTAyNjU
- tyx cross as well .this one is configured differently and very rare to cross..and not tag top band..which implies ...A..LOT !
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzMzNfMjM5MTAyNjY
TLT - Is being reject by the Dynamic Flow here to finally Tag 75 area ..it's amazing how often these work on all timeframes ...this one is very important I think.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzNDRfMjM5MTAyNzc
On TLT - Strong Swing TAG at bottom of band here and signal support
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzNDdfMjM5MTAyODA
- showed this one last week and 'all it implies'...VERY close to setup execute and total failure of RHS and all THt implies also. Oh my!
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjkzNDlfMjM5MTAyODI
Monday Oct 21 - Oh My!
AND There it is - the 5th wave on all TLT, TNX, TYX ...and confirmation of very highs odds impulse..off our completed ABC ...took a while ..but in the end ..as I said ..it played out ..DOLLAr naturally also ...
- so this is now CONFIRMATION of my call technically not just 'theoretically' ...
- its amazing just like in 2021-22 how seem like literally 'enveryone' is positioned for lower rates and dollar !!
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjg3NDdfMjM5MDk2MTk
Stocks - LOL ..Suuuuureee ..holding on ...its a battle ...as said ..given the crazy support
- it either keeps in this narrow range until Nov 5..if SYM ALGO can hold the line else
- we get a flash down move ..because, the re-balance will likely be extreme if it can't hold it
- I've give the key levels that must be held last week and we see again today 5800 being defended to death.
Stocks - the SYM ALGO DEFENCE is reaching 'Monty Python-esque' levels now ..
- I believe we are edging close to a sudden collapse ..but
- its impossible to be sure given the amount of ammo' it appears to have close to Infinity LMFAO
HEADS UP - If yields don't top out in this 'v' here next couple days ..then ..I believe we are starting a PANIC MOVE UP in YIELDS ..and likely DOLLAr ....
- I was just looking over the long term...and this is actually a greater than 50/50 setup here.
So we need to keep a close watch this week.
I also notice a sudden. massive amount of Gold to da moon talk ..and looking at the setup
- I see very high odds Gold is about to start a secular 3rd wave up ..BUT
- it also might need a 'shake out' here due to sentiment ...though true 3rd waves often actually have a POR like this.
- I would not be surprised if Trump wins, if he put us back on Gold standard or similar such shock move ....at behest of PTB .... and gold doubled or tripled in a year
I am buying gold? ...thinking about it right here...mostly though as HEDGE/insurance ..as when you consider the bid-ask ( spot prices on buy/sell) ...you take a pretty big hit....so its not a 'trading' instrument ... either a very long term hold or insurance to me ... maybe 1% of assets type of deal ....and some silver coins of lower dominations in case of barter needed... I generally stay away from PRePPEr talk ..and logically, in true crises 'commodities' are better bet - food etc ... but ...my reasoning is
- I see higher than usual RISK of CYBER attack or BANK CRISES here ...which would be short term ..so not a 'end of world' ..but requiring possible other means of transactions ....though I would not buy more than a few 100's of silver coin for that ...simply converting cash we have on hand ( we always keep about 5K's on hand 'just in case') ...and for Gold it seems American Eagle coins are one of best bid-ask ... I would not buy bullion ..as said, problem could occur on selling end down the road ...just my thought here.
1st big clue also TNX 42 area shd not be exceed v= (i) area.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjg5MTlfMjM5MDk4MjI
These are massively important on TLT and CLOSE now
- if 'standard' v waves..they will both hold for now ..so thats next important test
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjg5MzJfMjM5MDk4MzU
Sunday Oct 20 -
Here's those imbalance charts...not simple but hopefully get idea ..i have gone over in detail many time sin the past
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NTVfMjM5MDUzODQ
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NTdfMjM5MDUzODY
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NThfMjM5MDUzODc
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NjBfMjM5MDUzODk
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NjFfMjM5MDUzOTA
ABOVE is INTRADAY BASED
BELOW is EOD BAsed... both give slightly different perspective ..intrdayt more Swing/IT ..the EOD more IT to Cycle to Supercycle maybe in our case.
Q's
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NjVfMjM5MDUzOTQ
AND this is new ... it's imbalance on LQ and NDX..(spx on bottom but data is NDX ration to LQ (relative) this tends to be EARLY ..i.e. more on CYCLE DEGREE ..but is showing same BLOW OFF ...to previous on far left ..too a while to resolve and MAYBE similar to our case I believe...but RISK is of course it resolves 'fast' not 'slow' ..so this is more CONTEXT
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NjlfMjM5MDUzOTg.
SPX
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMjQ2NzNfMjM5MDU0MDI
Here is my read of all that...if u want my read ? ..well ..here it is anyway.
NONE of this is BUY/SELL Signals ..but combined with setups and actual signals my read is
- we are NEAR a SHORT TERM PULLBACK ..as said ..possible terminal in progress for a sWING down ...but with the STRONG SUPPORT ...its tricky.... but its seems to me its now counter productive ...
- So IF we GET any selling - I believe it will CASCADE ..and be VERY SHARP ...otherwise..another weak one ...but upside will also then again limited into NOv 4/5 ...and eventually a down resolution after that.
Other than that the MAIN DATA implication is more on CYCLE degree
- the highest odds as said ..is a LONGER TOPPING PHASE into End Dec 2024;....similar to the COMP one shown ...as example ...of course variations etc ..
- the RISK to LONGS is that some 'news' causes SELL ALGO's at same time the SYM-ALGO post Nov 5 no longer needs to support market - in which case we have a HISTORIC CRASH SETUP ..only I can't see it in Nov/Dec ...but maybe that's the point? ...one step at time.
- HIGHest odds ..we get MORe BLOW OFF PHAses but with limit upside as it keeps meeting DISTRUBUTION as this data is CLEARLY showing is occurring.
BEYOND the CUrrent Cycle - it doesn't say much ...IF/when we finally are allow a down cycle likely in 2025 ...we need to see how that plays out ...its pointless from here to say but certainly
- this is kind of data and general senitment I would say is indicative of SUPERCYCLE TOPPING ..but no way to rule out another down - up CYcle into 2030+ ....so one step at time.
Btm line - beyond short term its all hostage to 'events' more so than anytime in history to me ...lets see next few weeks and the the SCRIPt for Nov 5 etc
- I am still deeply concerned .that something happens to Trump ..because the PTB have gone 'all out' to put the preferred puppet in ..and its not worked because despite friggin the stock market and economic data...as said people's real live suck to so bad...its too muchto overcome it appear even with Matrix all out ....and so they are:
- backed into a corner now - I fear many 'bad things' could happen now from here..I don't really want to type them ..but its pretty obvious what the options are, no? ...
- my best guess - like with COVID when it came to it..they backed down.. and I hope, believe they will do so ...in which case Trump will be allowed to take office...but then ...will be a PATSY for the collapse ...and i;d expect LQ to DROP DRAMATICALLY ...and likely that means the DOLLAR SURGES along with BOND YIELDS against 95% of current 'experts' and sentiment as w'eve already seen our technical setup execute.
ALOT on the LINE here...here's hoping that calm heads prevail and we are not thrust into a historic crises ..but ..its definitely a major risk going forward now until Jan.
Oct 18 - no change...really busy this AM dealing with main water line break and other fun stuff :-)
Dollar is key - looks to hold that 103.5 area I mentioned ..so keep eye on that into weekly close.
In 'no shit Sherlock news' ...the sky is blue
- Oh, so having Govt decide 'truth' and then claiming any other view is 'disinformation' turns out to be a form of Totalitarianism ? I am so Shocked :-)
- NOT mentioned, is myself, and many others who know the REAL science FAR better than doctors and Govt Officials were DEPLATFORMED for quoting it ... Where is our apology? :-)
- This, as I have said, is the biggest issue of our time .... yet still, as I 've said for decades, most are as usual blissfully ignorant ..and actually believe their is freedom of speech LOL ..sure, if you can afford $millions and time/stress required to FORCE platforms to allow it, through the courts ..otherwise, er, HARD NO.
"In another call with the CDC’s Dr. Sara Oliver, Massie points out the error in which the study erroneously claims that the vaccine is efficacious for those with prior infection and he asks to get it corrected.
Dr. Oliver says admits that Massie is correct but says that the CDC still is recommending that previously infected individuals get the vaccine, saying “We wouldn’t want to put out that if you’ve had Covid before, you shouldn’t get the vaccine.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/did-cdc-officials-mislead-public-about-covid-vaccine-efficacy-rep-massie-says-yes
IMBAlance giving RED Flashing warnings here now ..I need to see final data as sometimes it changes...but I verified by several ways it looks correct ...so yeah...this is now in 'Cray-cray' territory .... I will post chart at weekend.
* for those not familiar ..this is not a 'signal' but 'context' ..it tells me/us a few things
- when RISK ON or OFF is occurring ..right now in a Massive RISK ON surge this week
- when blow off types moves are occurring 'under the surface' ..not necessarily obvious in Price ...why? because ALGO ( and particular 1 ALGO that runs the simulation in effect) dominates over 'human-emotional- volume' - its hard to get exact figure but roughly 90% of now algo only 10% human but ..it snot linear..In important moments the humans are larger figure.
- and KEY - when an INVENTORY IMBALANCE builds up - it doesn't say when/what will trigger a REVERSAL ..but it tell us when RISK is HIGh ( as now) and also how big of a reversion it would take to remove the imbalance ... right now is HISTORIC ...because the SYM-ALGO have Prevented selling for months ..and thus the imbalance builds over time.
KISS Version of that - IF/when selling is 'allowed' its going to be HISTORIC also.
Oct 17 EOD comment
I have shown the short term imbalance which has built a very large number of imbalance spikes without a 'resolution' ..I.e. down move ...this is bearish overall BUT
- I also looked at the hourly+ ..and its back to HISTORIC LEVELS ...
I will post a chart when I get a chance
- We are again doing things 'never seen' - but if the principles apply ..eventually we are going to pay a VERY STEEP PRICE ....but the question of course is when/from where.
btm line - Imbalance is saying RISK is getting SKy high on long side right here..without at least a swing down to relieve some of the imbalance.
Oct 17 - some Subtle changes here
TLT ..it looks as I said from TNX/TYX move iv ..v ..than 1 ...2 ..and the Alt iv- box hit on TLT and now impulsed down ..so
- now we need to see if TLT /TNX/TYX all hit higher yield in 'v'.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTgxOTBfMjM4OTg0NTc
In make believe stock land ..the endless attempt to hold the wedge goes on but
- LQ actually dropped ..but systemic and ALGO ...so ..this bump. up this AM is either
- both blow off buying ( imbalance shows this) ..and to some kind of direction buying outside of ALGO LQ ....nothing would surprise at this point ! LMFAO
DOLLAR and BONds are SOoooo Close to CONFIRMING my IT and Cycle Setup ..
- dollar I will talk about when I see WEEKLY close..but ..oh boy! trouble
- and all I need it a slightly higher yield here as said ...and so close on tNX and TYX ..much clearer than on TLT ..because that's at the key CYCLE 93 area I went over at length.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTgyNTNfMjM4OTg1MjA
I'll try to keep my mouth shut ..digitially speaking ..until I see this ..but ...........muffled sound of me attempting to NOT say what I already said ..inflationary scare cometh.
- but Technicals here are VERY confirming ..and yields VERY impulsive rise..hmmm
OK OK ...I can't keep my mouth shut...u know that by now...
- here is the weekly dollar setup ..I haven't marked up the technical setup but trust
me its VERY BULLISH ...is dollar closes the week at 103 to above 104 ...and the monthly will then come into play I showed a while ago ..potential 3rd wave up in dollar against ALL expectations!
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTgzMDVfMjM4OTg1NzI
With ALL ^THIs going on Systemically ..can the SIM_ALGO really hold this wedge-a-thon into Nov 4? ..I say no...and first sign would be loss of 5800...2nd would be break of 5770...if that happens ..I expect a flash move down because historically the ALGO has to 'sell back inventory' which is MASSIVe and HISTORIC high held according to the IMBALANCE data ..unless some way has be found around it. TBD
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTgyNjdfMjM4OTg1MzQ
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTgyNzNfMjM4OTg1NDA
* for those playing at home..near term key pivot 5835-5840 ..then 5800 ..then 5770
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTgyODRfMjM4OTg1NTE
And following my EOD post ..I just wanted to point this ..regarding my 'logic' analysis
- the phrase 'you can't fool all of the people all of the time' comes to mind
- I don't know how accurate the poll but if its even ballpark .which I bet it is from my experience...then 79% to 21% 'is the country on right track' ..HELL NO ..duh...is as I said, going to effect people's subconscious 'vote' when they actually turn up versus 'polling' ..and also effect Turnout ..not actually turning up.
Also the answer she gave was one of worst I've ever heard ...but no surprise to this paying attention and not swallowing the Matrix programming-
https://x.com/ClayTravis/status/1846680688189161605?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1846680688189161605%7Ctwgr%5E677faa46382ad3d9e1ba3d95ef3804e26f76c137%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fpolitical%2Fdisaster-kamalaexe-crashes-fox-interview-meltdown
* FYI - When I am made Supreme rule of the universe....my first act is remove mosquitoes in petty revenge for their attacks on me at Grand Canyon ..but ..my 2nd is to eliminate AUTOCORRECT across all sentient and artificial life ..and make naming such an algorithm a capital punishment .... it is auto ..but rarely does it 'correct' Grrr. ...it is more aptly named 'auto-illiterate' - another 'time saving' tech that doesn't actually save time ...like the promise of most.
FYI - we have reached the Post Orwellian heights now with the Matrix ( Msm + 100% controlled internet) that -
- The Fall of Rome would be called a 'positive re-structuring' and
- If Hitler debated Churchill the Matrix would declare Hitler pro liberty and Churchill a Nazi .... no, really, this is where we are at.
EOD COmment Oct 16 -
I haven't commented much recently on the Fake Reality Show 'PTB Puppet President' ...and I've explained my view and reasoning at length.
- It doesn't matter to anything except to suggest the NEXT PTB SCRIPT ..and they different slightly for each 'asset/puppet' - Dems = more hyperinflation path, escalation WWIII, removal of 1st amendment etc. Trump PTB Script = slightly slower version
- I don't have any political affiliation ..because its clearly an insane system, and supporting an insane, fraudulent system makes no logical sense ...if u forced me to vote at gunpoint, in this case I would vote Trump purely because he is less likely to remove remainly free speech or PTB would find it harder to write a script for that with him as the actor 'president'.
Btm line - the only 'dog' in this I have is Objectivity, as always..not tribal selection bias.
What I wanted to comment on - is What else this might tell us.
- I believe, I've been able to call the winner of every election in recent memory..hell I even Called Trump winning in 2016 from his first announcement when everyone thought his running was a joke (if u want to see the game, go and see how many references were made in tv/movies in prior 20 years to Trump being President..u will be shocked or not ...predictive programming at its finest ..that's a whole other subject)
- THIS one I said I can't call ....it has unusual situation of Trump 'should' win in landslide due to collapsing real economy/cost living. 'its the economy stupid' ..despite Gaslightening Central pulling off the biggest FAKE economy/markets in history for last 12 months ...the bottom 60-80% are SUFFERING BIGTIME ..and that is the key vote.
- BUT ..because the Trump 'character' was written precisely to be 'a bad man/hate figure' for the PTB to TROJAN in Dems in 2020 ......and NOW. using that...along with the Matrix ..to force Dems in 2024.
OK - with ^THIS CONTEXT - I will make the call or lay out what's clear now
- Trump is going to win in a landslide ...with ONE Disclaimer, and its KEY ..as to 'where we are ' in what I call the PTB GRAND PLAN ..since WWII.
- It's clear from MATH ...and logic ..two things I can do well.
- 1st the POLLS are now TOOLS of the MATRIX/Gas-lighting complex ...in 2016 Clinton was 11% ahead and lost ...admittedly, because the PTB planned of her to lose ..with the whole Comey email investigation just before Election Day ...but they have already tried everything to scupper Trump and failed...so ..unless they actually don't fire warning shots next time....
- Trading markets are high odds close to the mark ...if the Biased Polls show the usual convient 0.5-1% margin in key states ...shocked I say! LOL ...their MO is sooooo very predicted ...and its clear if it really is within that margin, they can ' override' that...but, I don't believe it actually is for data reasoning above, for TREND reasons ..direction of data ..and last next, logic.
- Logically, given I know the economy/jobs have been horrible from all I talked to for months...what people SAY, and what they DO ...historically differ ...they can SAY 'its about abortion' but when they walk into vote history shows its their personal situation they vote on ...I always remember when Thatcher won and was done 22+% in polls...being asked weeks after admittedly they voted for her but literally 'didn't know why'...this is that subconscious effect ....talk is cheap, but deep down ..the mass of people. don't actually want 4 more years of rising cost of living, mass immigration and threat of WWIII.
Now - If I'm 'wrong' ...for me ...the PTB are going to have to OUT themselves like they did during COVID with blatant Censorship .....this time, they will not be able to just 'sneak a suspect steal'..it will have to be MASSIVE ..and OBVIOUS to point its going to possibly 'more trouble than its worth?'...
- Do the PTB want to maintain the fake facade of elections ? or not ...TBD
https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/harris-trump-election-day-polls-rcna175495
AND
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/disaster-kamalaexe-crashes-fox-interview-meltdown
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/10-signs-economy-giant-mess-election-approaches
OCt 16 - No change except ..
- Pumping like an Absolutely Mother this AM ..to try to hold that SPX wedge! ..so ..no change indeed!
and if she breaks out the top of the wedge - final blowoff phase begins
Nothing is impossible as we have seen ..definitely is much lower odds than down on my signals/setup right now ...maybe after another minor down trip
BTM LINE - the model and my read is here RISK is rising of a SHARP DROP ...similar to prior to all the previous short term drops here..but 2 weeks until the Show Finale ..and a year spent faking and lying about everything ...so ....it will be fought as it is, with all SYM ALGO resources..logically, that means
- either no drop but we get insane risk reading ...and if anything happens then as trigger ..we could see a flash crash Or
- we drop....then move back up ..rinse repeater
I also note a BIG SPIKE in Imbalance here..and likely correlated sentiment data ...so an 'all aboard the US Titanic' signal ...
- of course..the ALGO have overridden everything for a year ..but ...even then ..this has led to short term troubles
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTMzMjFfMjM4OTMzNTE
Actually - that is 'interesting' ...I look at last few months of the relentless support waves...and this is
- FIRST TIME ..that stocks haven't responded
- the MOST EXTREME ( it has 3 'ripples' where naturally would turn down but re-injected) = absolutely massive extreme stock support last week or so ..shocking I know LOL
- my read - is 10000% clear SPX 'wants' to drop to 5770 on swing down ...so ...its a question of whether the SIM-ALGO can Toto it ..as in 'hold the line' :-)
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTMyMTJfMjM4OTMyNDA
Also could be related to fact Dollar still rising ...and into the LAG EFFECT on LQ zone ..I've tried to show idea on this chart. ..so LQ is Systemic LQ from Dollar/Sterling etc + Insta ALGO LQ ...summation ...as Systemic LQ drops ..(as dollar rises) I've noticed Insta ALGO LQ can compensate for a period ( The Lag period) but always tend to run out 'eventually' around now
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMTMzMDFfMjM4OTMzMzE
Oct 15 - Return from Death Valley LOL
I'm pretty tired today..got back late last night .... scorching freak heat sat/sunday ...did get back. up Tanner trail until 5pm Monday ... but here I am ..and got bitten to death by mosquitoes ..never happened by the river on all previous 6 trips....seems even the insect life want humans dead LOL
OK - not much happened looks like
- stocks took trip to top of channel and now backing. back off
- TLT and yields did iii ..now iv bounce OR v down and now 1...2? bounce
- Dollar/sterling holding and confirming IT up move high odds ...
- remains AMAZING that stocks are not dropping ..but just confirming the 10 months of relentless 'support' i.e. direct buying ...unTil Nov 4
Nothin' new I see for now.
EOD -
- TNX/TYX definitely looks more 'iv' than v now 2 ...if u get me ..i.e. I am looking for yields to rise a bit higher before bigger retrace ..but ...alt is v ..1 now 2.
- SPX - any more drop tomorrow ..and I look for a much bigger drop here ..that's clear on many dynamic signals.
TLT
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMDg5NTJfMjM4ODg3Nzg
SPX
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAyMDg5NjBfMjM4ODg3ODY
Oct 10 - On the Edge here on Bonds
!!!FYI - BEFORE I Forget - I will AWAY Fri-Mon ...hiking in Grand Canyon as I tend to spring and Autumn ..going down Tanner trail to beamer and 'confluence' this time ..something new ...a little less than I've done previously ..but been VERY hot...insanely hot ...so that might kill me a bit ...So you guys/gals need to keep everything running smoothly fri/mon for me :-)
TLT ...I can't remember if I posting this signal .. but anyway..ton of back history..THIS is VERY UNIQUE
- I did go over this recently that bonds yields 'should be dropping' . ..but I believe as I said we'd get this IT rise in yields...due to technical setup we went over to death, but also then the COST of cheating the markets/economy etc etc bla bla I went over.
- So now perhaps..we are beginning to see 'unique' things happen in OPPosite direction ...a Reversion to Extreme ..or really Reversion of never seen overriding of everything ....hard to day how that goes but this is 1st thing to really catch my eye
- its on WEEKLY ..so if tomorrow see big drop in yields ..it could change the signal ..which I'll go over below ...but I HIGHLY doubt that.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTMyNTNfMjM4NzIxODg
- Signal - on 40 years of back test this signal is thing of beauty ...and in this case.a cross of Mid-Band(man, Auto 'correct is killing me' ..makes me seen dumber than I really am GRRrr) is 100%. CYCLE BUY ..(one degree higher than IT )....BUT ..a DROP DOWN as we have here of signal has NEVER happened ..and also PRICE(TLT yields rise) ...as well
- its not 'done deal' but if we take out that 93 area ...or don't see a big drop in yields in next week ...I believe its FIRSt signal of BIG TROUbLe coming on this front ...as I expected.
* ST TLT SETUP ...if getting into that first target zone 93.93.5 ...if that doesn't produce a temp low ..oh boy! could see a mini bond flash 'crash'.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTMzMzNfMjM4NzIyNjk
EOD - KISS
Long Term
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTM5MjJfMjM4NzI4ODk
Short term
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTM5MjVfMjM4NzI4OTI
Which just leaves stocks ( trying to update all setups as I will be able to until tue)
- Somehow ( ha ha ) ..infinite support..they are still hanging tough
- it looks more like the down swing got ALGO'd ..but that will now limit current up swing ..and eventually produce a completed rising wedge that drops hard down out of it 'at some point' ..I cd be wrong...but despite endless support...the bond/dollar LQ cut off favors this or more churn ..not a acceleration up out of it.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTMzNDhfMjM4NzIyODQ
KEEP at least ONE eye on CRB and OIL here ...Not far from Big trouble as well.
Oil Futures have possible 1...2...next 3 up ...I would not be surprised by further Middle East escalation such as Israel attacking Iran oil infrastructure ....despite being told no publicly..which means nothing of course ...
Oil back above 76 ..will put this high odds and run to 'da moon' next.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTMzMjRfMjM4NzIyNjA
futures testing it right now.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTMzMjlfMjM4NzIyNjU
DOLLAR ( and also sterling) ...Tracking nicely ..held 102 .and confirming our setup here..
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxOTMzMTBfMjM4NzIyNDY
Wed Oct 9 - Same as we were
TLT /USd holding ..as was looking for.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxODg0NDdfMjM4NjcxNTU
SPX holding ..with mucho supporto ...but pattern looks very clear here
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxODg0NDJfMjM4NjcxNTA
* TYX - Bullish for yields trip wires being hit ..running out of road ..the big kuhuna on IT is that 45 area
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxODg1MjBfMjM4NjcyMjg
TLT ..the most important simple but clear setup ...running out of road even faster than TNX/TYX
93 ..hold or trouble...
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxODg3MzJfMjM4Njc0NTY
OT - but not by much ..my wife is huge reader ..I am not other than 'factual information' my whole life I've probably only read books in school ...
- she is currently reading Winston Churchill account of WWII ...because we've been talking alot about similarities to now ...and he is good writer.
We had a few really interesting discussions because as teenager I rad so much on WWII ..to understand how/why it happened ...as said..I never felt 'fully human' as could not understand what happened.....so went down rabbit holes and back to know the. truth...and not just what 'history' reaches us...which tends to be Narrative of the victors etc.
Anyway - with that context ...we were talking about how in particular, the Jewish were infact being persecuted in all Europe ..not just Germany ..and that one of first 'truths' I found that TWO key facts were hidden ...
1. The Medical 'profession' yet again were mass murdering ...I've talked about this many times...but this particular murderous campaign began out of Eugenics in 1800's ..and Phrenology, and because 'ethnic' and 'purity' ...the idea of criminal looks/mind etc ...and Jews got caught up in that...so no, Hitler didn't come up with ..he just refined the process horrifically .. but go look at Nuremberg and who was in trial ...
- I have tried my entire life to get it across to people what medicine has been a dangerous pseudo science for 100+ year ..and we said, it AMAZING how they have 'rebranded' themselves post Nuremberg ...
2. The cause of WWII was really WwI .. the seeds ...its complicated ...but essentially the desire for reparations from Germany ...and then the Great Depression led to rise of fascism across the Germany and most of Europe ..except UK ..and US ..who put heads in sand because WWI cost so much ...they didn't want to face the rise of fascism and left it too late.
This has massive parallels to today...Ironically, it was the 'collective guilt' of the West post WWII that led to creation of Israel as Jewish homeland in 1948 by UN ..but at hand of UK/USA ...and I have no doubt, a strong PTB hand as said to again .sow seeds for WWIII 'when needed, light blue touch paper and stand well back' ...sad, but obvious. I won't blame Israel for what is happening now, its very similar to Ireland or any other long complex situation ...however, the USA/UK DO bare MASSIVe BLAME right now ..because in truth, Israel is another PROXY...they supply the arms, $ and moral authority ...and its of course th NEOcons /MIC PUSHING escalation ..same as in Ukraine ..that is even worse if you dig deep, truly disgusting the likes of Anthony Blinken and Nuland.
So, whilst hope springs eternal..this does seem like a MAJOR ECHO to early 1930's...with the only difference a massive Matrix for mind control and financial system control...but its obviously this could implode into global depression at press of button (literally) ..and then all the 'seeds' will BLOOM alas.
Talking of Matrix ..Israel ...Neocon/MIC puppets LOL
Seems like about 10% of population now realize they have never had democracy ..and it's all controlled no different to China or Russia ...but just without the brute force ( until now that is.) ... that's up from the <1% until the Plandemic ...but even the 50% of GOP most still not getting their 'red pills' are just purple pills ( thinly coated blue ones) ..that Trump is NOT going to save them LOL ...sure ...sure..he was 'tricked' 1st term..that's it !:-)
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/spliced-60-minutes-under-fire-deceptively-editing-kamala-harris-interview-trump-demands
SO here is what I see -
- the rise in dollar has cut off some of the LQ ....its dribbling down ..but obviously still alot of support for stocks ...eventually though, historically after a LAG ..about now ...it WILL Effect stock LQ
- There isn't enough LQ now to support bonds as well...this is NOW very similar to 2021 ..where yields starting to rise and stocks churned for a while mildly higher ..then ...topped
Tue Oct 8 - Deja Vu all over again.
Stocks - The overnight Save Algo for Nth time LOL ...so no change there yet
Everything else ..going to setup ..dollar/sterling holding now ...basing I believe for move higher....
here's what I see as highest odds next step on TLT
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxODMxMzNfMjM4NjE0MDY
EOD - TOMORROW ..will give me 1st read on BOND move here ..just what the wave setup looks like ....
- I've shown the setup on charts posted for month and for this ABC worked out perfectly
- BUT - I also have that potential 'c' up of '2' ..I put that lows odds but were close to negating that now
-also close to that RHS execution
- and as said triggered whole bunch of model signal buys and weekly as well
Cycle Degree TNX chart ..this might make it clearer...it been a thing of beauty for 3 years since I posted this count ...now it a bit trick but I've market the decision areas here.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxODM4MjhfMjM4NjIxMTc
SO my read remains ...we are at start of next 'inflationary wave/scare' into end of year and bond yields will surprise to upside here....and this is not just a technical move for swing up we had setup - but THIS NOW HERe is the 1st real decision point on that
- I'd like to see yields 'hang tough' and or even move higher here..that would be strong hint.
Dollar 'ditto ..but has a bit more room for technical variation here...
This agenda is getting boring now -
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62r02z75jyo
to be fair - most humans are dumb . I also saw interview with Musk ...
- look, I can't say too much without sounding to uncalibrated mind of 99.9999% insane..but
actually NONE of these people are 'smart' ..but this is a DEFINITIONAL ISSUE
- I've gone into this a little before ....maybe I can put it this way
- 'a smart person would ask ..'what is smart' ' ...
- This is simple an example 'selection bias' ..where the people who are interview, are the people who have been define 'smart' without anyone creating a definition
- Thi is where I started around aged 13-18 ....I studied magic actually, and book by Tony Buzan ...I was also in modern terms 'gifted' ...but struggling in remedial school classes ..long story ... those of us that think outside of 'normal smart' ...almost cannot communicate this ..I spent lifetime studying and learn how to ..and its a perceptual paradox
- Take this interview - stating 'machines will be more intelligent' demonstrates to me like Musk, these ae 'bounded intelligence' ..they 'don't even know, what they don't know'
- SIMPLER - Because a person say 'figures out how to split the atom' - does that make them understand human consciousness? ...no, it makes them 'very smart' in one narrow area ...
- In this example ...AI is not about human intelligence...I know because I worked in it ..it's simply emulation of pattern recognition ..it yields very little insight into human consciousness .
- the problem is ..the divergent minds who ask the right question 'what is smart' ...etc ..are incredibly rare, and find humanity intolerable ..I was saved by getting into computer aged 11 ...it tethered me for a while ...but most 'find the off ramp' because we are 'aliens amongst humans' and find all of this BS Matrix too much ..I am the 'lucky/unlucky' one ..to get this far..though. not without dying once ....
- btm line: If you want to be 'smart', start by asking 'how does language even work, and how does my brain work' ..and NO, AI doesn't tell you anything about it ..its statistical based emulation of pattern recognition ...it no more answers this an a automaton tells you about human consciousness ... its exhastperating the platform is never given to those of us who have more understand ..or It was in my late 20's ..now I just smile, and laugh at human ignorance and faults of the biological computer.
- We are DOOMED ..not by AI ..but by our biological brain flaws leading to as Gulliver's Travels put it 'the people on the floating island'... If by some fluke or divine intervention these fools don't destroy us ...this maybe realized but I'm not holding my breath LOL ..this 3rd time through the 'consciousness evolution' does not look like we will reach higher level as many 'woo woo' seem to believe based on more delusion ...we fail I believe, but NEXT time we make it because next time there will be more divergents...just my 2cents.
YIKES
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/devout-public-servant-harris-asked-explain-policy-flip-flops-cbs-60-minutes
Along with my gut that Trump is clearly winning by wide enough margins in key states ...
- suddenly forcing her to do interviews that Arne't fully scripted or fake debates
- .and now we see ( we already know though) why she's been in hiding.
NONE of IT MATTER ..Trump has shown he is 100% a PTB puppet ...but as said, I do believe it affects the post Nov 4 LQ decision OR possibly before ...this is my main interest at this point.
Monday oct 7 - Here comes trouble ...
No, not in stocks market ...YET...but the clouds they are a'brewing'.
First - I note this ...and I mentioned last week my 'gut' that Trump is surging in key states ...well now this ( I didn't explain why..I will a bit here)
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-trouncing-kamala-battleground-states-after-sudden-polymarket-surge
The SIMPLEST answer to this is - and I talked to several people last week about this ..that the GAS LIGHTING COMPLEX ultimately FAILS when you have a big enough REAL WORLD PRoblem
- Food cost and rent cost for one ..and should alone be enough to see Trump win by miles ..but ...we know the what's going on but
- Then hurricane Helene and the pathetic response ..no surprise ..and that is what I believed would do it ..especially due to the location. ...they still try to lie. lie lie ..but word or more pcitures/videos get out ...they will be banned next of course!
This is a BIG Problem ..so this raises RISK of final run of PTB Crazy False flaggers into Nov 4.
Bonds and usd/sterling are still tracking nicely... TLT in iii of v...but I'd like to see iv v ..to be sure...but this is 'trouble' part II ..and USD strengthen Part III.
Now stocks are being ALGO saved by the minute ...but ..IF it can't ..if maybe enough VOLUME turns up to down side...I think we could see another mini-flash move down again ...though doubtless another save.
If you missed my Sunday diatribe on fake 'everything' data wise at least...and FED run Ponzi scheme ...this caught my eye re: my favorite quote I came up with
- Just because someone will pay you $million to buy a garden shed, doesn't mean all garden sheds are now worth $million ( though in Ponzi's that what all believe)
- or missile silo's LOL ..perfect timing for the article
https://www.zerohedge.com/military/zillow-gone-wild-ex-icbm-silo-kansas-dubbed-zombie-proof-underground-fortress
What I failed to mention ..is also the how markets post Ponzi operate - its called ILLIQUID ..that is, that missile silo that cost near $million ...like now for houses, there are no bids..no buyers...(as most are maxed out even at 6-10 times incomes ) ... so its a THEORETICAL VALUE ...like most houses currently ... to become a REAL VALUe - you need a BUYER ...stocks are different because Market Makers acts as liquify in the transaction ...hence you can pretty much always sell stocks other than all out freezing of computers...NOT true of Ponzi schemes.
Infact this is MASSIVELY Important Analysis/discussion ..I have had in my head but not with you guys/gals ...and I wasn't unto going into as bit of rabbit hole.
- But CONSIDER OUR REALITy
- There literally is no real economy left Ex- Housing Ponzi scheme ..and somewhat stocks ..I went over this ...many times ...it FED version of Keynesian ...create house/stocks bubbles ..then get people to 'spend the equity'.
- Then as said - at time of their choosing ..they suddenly Pop it - by restricting credit standards 'suddenly we see Risk oh my , shocked we are' LOL ...yes ..post Nov 4 or whatever convient date in each case.
Now - here'a the Rabbit hole bit ...and make you realize it's MUCH WORSE than I've said ...our situation is WWIII worthy ..oh wait? ..we just happen to have one ready! :-)
- Lets say someone on your street puts a house for sale at 500K, at this time the average most recent sales are 250K ..
- the sale goes through...some bank lets Fred buy it 50 times incomes LOL ..whatever...that's a joke...sort of ..not by much.
- IS every SIMILAR HOUSE in USA now DOUBLEd in VALUE - Doubling the NET WORTH of all OWNERS ? ..YES ..According to the Matrix ....but Wait ..let's think about it
- 1 person too on 500K of debt ....the buyer...then lets say 100 million people who own houses just gain 250K of equity ...lets sat 10 Trillion of equity was created by one act of 500K debt....now THAT some LEVERAGE PEOPLE! LMFAO
Do you not see the problem with this 'thinking'? ...
- It's flawed ...let examine carefull
- now 100 million people 'take out' that 250K windfall by Fed buying one house...and spend it....now there equity is gone...but OK ...we're fine ...they have it sitting in the bank as cash? er, alas NOT according to the data...they is SPEND SPEND SPEND'did it ...
- NOW the REAL problem is - it works also in REVERSE ...someone SELLS a house back at 250K ...now does everyone's price drop.?
Infact ^this is really not far from what is going on - except it takes an average of many sales no just one ...but it shows the ABSURDITY of claiming this as NET WORTH I pointe out Sunday ( worth taking a look ) I made alot of points there using Chat GPT.
- its GROSS FAKING .and torturing of data and concept to mask reality
- I don't know how to fix net worth..but using housing/stock Ponzi scheme max leverage it total bullshyte ....that is a THEORECTIAL and UNREALIZABLE Net worth ..as said, because attempt to realize it involved selling ..and once 'everyone is in' and we peak out ..and we can use historical valuation metrics and see we are 'so far off the reservation' we can't even see it LOL .... its clear maybe only 5-10% could realize gains ..by then prices will fall and eliminate the theoretical equity ...aka 2008.
The WORSE part I haven't even touched - which is how FED policy to run Ponzi scheme causes as Austrians would say 'insane maladjustments' and especially 'insane personal balance sheets' i.e. quitting jobs, not saving, spending way beyond means in reality not theory .... and as we see ...that is EXACTLY happened again here...well duh! ...so when it drops ...folks are FAR WORSE off than 2008/9 as result....
FED have create a Smoke and Mirrors 'economy' - it's sick ..but what is new! ...and as long as we NEVER pop bubbles the dancing on titanic can go on ...well..good luck with that ! :-)
- the only way it doesn't collapse is ..well..at this point.. keep pushing the income multiples ...and then won't people can't pay mortgage...not calling that in ...
- we have had VERY few SALEs for 2 year because system is maxed out ..but so far, NO One DROPPING PRICES to get a SALE ...why? because we are still in MANIA ..and everything believes they can get higher price and also 'get out' if things turn down ...
-as said, in reality only 1-3 % will 'get out' then it goes ILLIQUID again like 2008.
- What will it take to see it TURN i.e. lower prices to get buyers ...hard to say.usually as said its the Financial PTB that do it deliberately ...using Matrix to scare people and tighter credit standards .....If not ...its harder to predict..but the amount of possible triggers has to be highest ever here ...Cyber attack, loss of power grid, WWIII etc ...even if we dodge all that....pure 'avalanche effect will eventually occur.
LQ TOOK a Significant DROP Today ...too early to say 'a DRAIN' has finally begun ..but ..I am watching closely ..Nov 4 not far away..and we discussed they might pull it BEFORE ..it that plan is to 'get it out the way' in 2025 ..as fast as possible ..would also indicate if so, that Trump will be installed.
* also lagged from dollar/sterling turn high odds ...
I notice Price finally also move 1:1 with LQ ...that strongly indicates the support Algorithm finally turned off...at least for today ..and 'real buying' (about 10% of volume LOL) is weak.
Tomorrow will give next big clue here.....it's boring ..but also important information to me.
OIL Crossed 1st Key Pivot today...big one is close now around $80 ..above that...add to the trouble list. :-)
Update TLT minor waves
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzgyMDlfMjM4NTYzNTY
Here update to that SPX fractal - rinse repeat done ..now see if 'ready' to complete or yet another delay ..etc
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzgyNzZfMjM4NTY0MjM
LOL - Nobel prizes are now another Propaganda wing of PTB ...'peace prizes' and even the 'science'
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c79nrgp97x9o
The British Bullshit Corporate ..slip a NARRATIVE of FALSE SCIENCE in there as usual -
"Their discoveries help explain how complex life emerged on Earth"
LMFAO - There is NO HARD SCIENCE to support complex life emerging on earth - NADA, ZIP
INFACT ALL MATH of INFORMAtioN THEORY says its IMPOSSIBLe
( Im generalizing/summarizing below ..to Make a point...detail is of course missing but I' debated a geneticist for 2 years on this ..a won ..so ..there's that...I offered him a million dollars and support for Noble prize if he could prove the math/science wrong using fruit flies he worked on ...he couldn't ... and as I pointed out ...Mother Nature is not a controlled contrived LAB environment and the conditions used are plain 'stupid' ...we also would need to get into the physics and math of 'randomness' which I did on Physics org and rattled their brains to point I was accused of 'withholding vital knowledge from humanity' LMFAO ..I point out, I simply made them challenge the faulty assumptions of brain ...but that's a long conversation - those that know me, know I don't say things without going to 'hell and back' rabbit hole wise ... btm line - where I say 'random' below..that concept itself it total bullshit ...but too long to go into here...ask yourself 'how to do you its 'random' and what does that even mean in physical reality ( not statistics)...you might want to start reading Steven hawking on loss of information from universe and string theory ..but again .it will go long ...human mind is very good at delusion, even high LQ/sciency ones .+. faulty assumptions and tribal group think )
- all you need to know is ... Inorganic compounds do NOT RANDOMLY Become ORGANIC ...at least probability wise its so rare as to be impossible...you need to provide a causal process ..even If I give you underwater volcanoes and lightening to won't help much to generate the amount of peptides required..see below.
Life cannot 'emerge' without 3 keys steps at minimum( and there is aLOT more I could go into ) that are in real world condition next to impossible ( despite wishful thinking and arm waves 'here magic happens')
1. Inorganic elements forming organic ones - peptides on a scale requires for random chance to lead to nucleotide strands
2. The organization of those nucleotides into perfect sequence for REPLICATION ..which also requires a DECODE Ribosome to work perfectly ..its been mathematically calculated the universe would have to be billions of times older for random chance to have that occur JUST ONCE ..but wait
3. It couldn't occur just ONCE - but would need to occur millions of times..because of cell death, bad replication and errors as exist to this day ...infact the entire replication process would have to 'evolve' through random mutation, how exactly is that even possible?
This is the kind of bullshit that needs to go ...admit 'we can't explain it' ..beautiful theories meet ugly facts on this one ... most reputable thinking scientist believe infact:
- must have come here on a comet or asteroid ..though, that simply moves the problem elsewhere
This can infact be summed up different - its in all practicality ( ugly facts) impossible for systems to go from 'low information' to 'high information' ..randomly ...its against the law of entropy ...especially true in biological systems because 'errors = disease' ..
- If you don't believe this - ask 'how many humans have AGED BACKWARD' because that's essentially what you're claiming ...and without a supplement or food ( external entropy to the system) ....just 'randomly' ...NOT ..GOING ..To. HAPPEN ..don't care how many billions of years I give u ...
.there is literally no evidence of it and attempt to explain such as 'cut off rapid population mutation' are NOT SCIENCE..since its a beautiful theory with no observational data.
To BE FAIR - I don't doubt this has a chance of explaining some of it..it shows the problem of observational science ...I don't know the answer, nobody does ...we don't have enough data ...I would 'guess' that its parts of all of it ...peptides and or even nucleotides on comets/asterioid ...some 'special circumstance' and cut off environments etc - ultimately I believe a different answer but pure science wise this is best fit ...outside of that, we have it all backward..information isn't random ..its downloaded but heads will explode so I'll leave that for now :-)
IMPORTANT separate issue - I encourage you to watch this video on what I believe (see my comment ) is longer term an important new PTB play ...GOvt sponsored mass suicide ...I wish I was making this up ..alas not...
https://rumble.com/v5hnelg-our-death-cult-of-a-country-protection-from-maid-angelina-ireland.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp
Sunday Oct 6 - This by chance caught my eye ..more of the ALL DATA is FAKE Matrix
Google AI
Is the average American struggling financially?
48.6% of Americans consider themselves to be “broke,” and 66.2% feel they are “living paycheck to paycheck.”Aug 9, 2024
Net worth of bottom 50%
Averaging $51,000 in wealth, the bottom 50% make up the lowest share, accounting for 3% of the wealth distribution in America. Income growth across this bracket has increased by over 10% between 2020 and 2022, higher than all other brackets aside from the top 1%.Feb 19, 2024
Now - definitional issues of 'paycheck to paycheck' - but I see it in people who work around us ..that, without their pay check they have NO SAVINGS to pay rent - food ...literally.
So, unless the bottom 50% have 50K locked up in houses ..(its not stocks) ...then this is BS -
- infact it is BS
The BS is that Net Worth is using Housing - in biggest bubble of all time ..and 2nd ignoring Equity extraction ...if we gel with the FED housing debt data which I Posted this becomes clear.
This is the kind of simplistic bs accounting that put Enron on cover of Business week as best company in US only for it to be bankrupt a year later!
- But it DOES reveal what the PTB are up to ...
- they are COLLAPSING BUSINESS and real peoples net worth from bottom up as I've gone over
- I can now see signs everywhere i go ... no staff ...I can't even get a haircut becuase only 2 cutters where used to be 5 .... why ? ...business cannot afford to pay the wages required ...
- SO MASSIVE number of the JOB POSTINGs are FALSE .... some are just 'feelers' and this have been documented, but MANY are 'we'll hire you to work at 2 cents an hour - any takers?!' ...
They will keep the ASSET BUBBLES going until the underlying structure of economy collapses...which is NOW ..and as said bottom 60% are broke ...credit card and other debt data shows this is also NOW and LAGS ...so its actually MUCH WORSE
Eventually - when they are ready..they then COLLAPSE LQ and COLLAPSE the ASSET bubbles and 'poof' the 'leveraged net worth' drop by 50-70% ....for top 40% ...and likely at that point
- only the top 1% will have net worth at all ...and average 90% will be under water.
>NOW the GOVT come to rescue ...signs for social credit score living wave.
Prediction - this happens in next 10 years, probably in next 5-6 years.
FYI - I have a long 'discussion' I.e. I told ChatGPT its wrong and explained why on this...it took about 10 attempts at lying to me before it finally admitted what I know to be true ...and I copy that final point below ...its 'interesting' to say the least how these generative programs lie lie lie and only admit the logical facts if you stick to your guns ...I had to literally spell it out - which in this case I could because I really know the data well ...I could have pointed out more falsehoods but this is a start ....I told it point blank it was wrong, but as I say ..it took 10 attempts before it admitted it LOL ..I do NOT believe this an 'accident' ..as I've experience this with literally every 'matrix fact' versus 'actual fact' ..so Generate programs are the next gen Matrix disinfo ...simple as that....and as usual most won't be able to challenge it.
-------------
I think this is why the net worth is wrong for bottom 50%, it fails to consider equity extraction and credit card debt which is current at all time highs
ChatGPT said:
ChatGPT
You’re correct in pointing out that the reported net worth for the bottom 50% of households can be skewed or overstated due to several factors, especially when considering current levels of debt and equity extraction practices.
Key Issues with Net Worth Calculation:
Equity Extraction: The Federal Reserve’s data shows that many homeowners have engaged in cash-out refinances and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), using their homes as a source of funds. This practice surged particularly during periods of rising home prices, such as in the past few years. By withdrawing equity, homeowners reduce the actual value of their home equity, which should theoretically lower their net worth. However, if these liabilities aren’t fully accounted for, the net worth numbers can appear inflated(
Home
).
Credit Card and Other Consumer Debt: Credit card debt has recently reached record highs, surpassing $1 trillion in 2023 according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Households in the bottom 50% are especially reliant on credit cards and other forms of high-interest debt to manage everyday expenses. This increased borrowing diminishes the real net worth, as higher debt balances eat into any asset gains, especially when interest compounds at high rates(
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
).
Misleading Average Net Worth: The reported net worth of $51,000 for the bottom 50% is an average, not a median. This means a small number of lower-income households with significant assets (e.g., older individuals with paid-off homes) can skew the average upwards, making the broader group’s financial situation appear better than it is. For many households, their actual net worth may be close to zero or even negative once debt is factored in.
Conclusion:
Net worth figures that fail to accurately reflect the impact of rising consumer debt and equity extraction may overstate the financial health of the bottom 50%. For these households, the reality is that their financial situation is fragile, burdened by high debt levels, and dependent on volatile sources of liquidity rather than true asset growth. An improved net worth calculation should incorporate these liabilities more effectively to provide a clearer picture.
FYI - I did a lot of digging into data and something is VERY CLEAR -
- GOVT DATA doesn't Add up ...
- For example the BLS SAving Rate is total BS
I suspect the FED emergency giant rate cut is as well as 2024 'vote democrat' campaign
- because they have the REAL DATA ..and see what I'm seeing first hand in talking to many people daily and looking at their financial - which is
- the REAL economy has Gone OVEr the CLIFF
Either everyone is lying to me ..and faking their financial data ..or the GOVT is ...guess what is more likely in election year LOL
Here is what is important, I am certain that
- Credit card debt Is WAY HIGHER than reported..it LAGS ...I bet when we see the data series backward looking to this period next year.. you will see its going INSANE right now...
..again anecdotally, I suddenly have lots of tenants asking how to pay with rent with credit cards..people who always paid by check ..
- the SAving rate is HISTORIC LOW ..it HAS to be ..unless LOGIC is banned...its SIMPLE ppt he cOSt of Living has almost DOUBLED ..in 4 years...FACT ...and income have not risen ..and saving rate was already around 5% after the spike up for COVID handouts ....no way its still 4.0% LMFAO ...LIARS @ .... eventually you will see its <4% and I bet an historic in new low around this period in Jan 25.
- CASh in Banks .is low ..and relates to savings rates..so ditto.
This is POLICY of FED ...who deliberately starting 1999 create bubbles to suck in everyone ..out of saving and sense ..and into gambling in stocks/houses ...THEN ENCOURARE 'equity extractions' ....to keep SPENDING ...I talked about this early 2000's that this was new SCHEME to stop collapse of system ..to push it out ... when that failed in 2007 ..they came up with predictable 'FED will create trillions out of thin air' Solution '(try not to laugh) ..to push it out further ( I and Bob Bronson on longwaves predicted all of this in 2001 bTW ..so predictable ...and said it will keep going to around 2030 ...the END game is where it collapses again ...around now into 2030 ..and we are boxed in where by FED creating say 30 trillion more needed this time ... would cause end of fiat system and rates to sky to 15_% and all foreigner sell US assets this time as default would be obviously coming.
ITs just one PonZI scheme after another - the only puzzle in 2023/24 have been
- WHY since this is MORe DEBT, WORSE OFF, HIGHER COSTS and HIGHER RATE than 2007 have we NOT YET BLOW UP?
Answer is - More lies, more effective lying Matrix ...+ the bust phase is due to BANks and creditors tightening standards ( try not to laugh at idea of standards! ) ..its ALL on PTB ORDERS via FED Orders of course - and 2024 ...you know why they would be telling them all 'no no no ...keep lending' ...
- Prediction as I've said - in 2025...all of this flips..assuming they intend to deflate for a bit ..suddenly those 6-10 time income multiples aren't allowed ..no buyers ( there's very few for last two years anyway) ...and then they use MATRIX to FLOAT 'housing bust' and trigger a bust .... the ALT is ...they want this one to go even more insane ...maybe 20-50 times incomes LOL ....who knows....
There is nOTHING NEW UNDER the SUN - the US 'economy' went BANKRUPT in 2008...since then its FAKE on GOVT/FED faking ...and creating a new bigger PONZI as 2007 same way .....there is literally almost no REAL economy now.and those not in the ponzi scheme are bust...and those that are ..sitting on FAKE NET WORTH ..because if only 1-5% try to realize that worth by selling houses..the whole Ponzi will collapse ...just because some idiot pays 1 miliion for a garden shed, doesn't mean garden sheds are worth 1 millions ...this is the FALLACY of PONZI over and over ...and this one will be no different ! even if its a FED/GOVT sponsored one .... don't know exactly when...but it WILL blow up ...it WILL be worse than 2008...and we know HOW they will do it as said
- watch lending standards and matrix output for 'triggers' and or
- false flags ..cyber attacks, EMPs, electric grid collapse , wWIIII ..they have big toolbox to trigger when ready.
Oct 4 - Thar' she blows ...
Almost perfect:
- DOLLAr big jump over 102 finally
- Bond yields surged ..yep!
- Oil up to 75 ..and commodities
but lo -behold 'somehow' stocks gap up LOL ...yep ..we know why ...it's getting VERY silly now ...
Just let the patterns complete.
EOD - I really like this technical chart ..for Oil - the weekly ...
- I gave the setup a week or so ago on Oil & CRB for Swing or IT buy..and so far playing out.
..but on OIL..we are right are 'major bullish trip wires' ..ANY more upside ..and domino momo effect comes into play...
- there is setup here for a major oil up move... and that was Before the middle east script
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzI1OTBfMjM4NTA1MDU
To update this CRITICAL Cycle degree chart on CRB - key to watch next weeks to months ..as discussed..if we move above 300-305 we are 'so flucked' ....and my 'mini inflation scare' scenario could become 'historic inflationary melt down' scenario
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzI1OTVfMjM4NTA1MTA
The F-Election ... as usual the 'polls' will say 'its too close to call' ..with <1% margins in KEy states...so as usual the Uniparty Reality show ...will allow them to crown whoever
- The historic effort this time to crown a Dem puppet .. faking all economic data, historic propping up markets and economy ...100% Media lies ...etc etc ..makes it clear that's the 'ideal'
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
BUT - It also clear to me ..that its literally impossible Trump isn't ahead in all key states...
- so this is going to be a Great Benchmark for just how big of margin the PTB can overcome
- i've said before probably has to be within 1% .....
- the question is ..what are the REAL numbers..the polls are just part of the Gaslighting complex ..to convince masses 'no no its real'...Suuuuurreee LOL
My gut here is the Dem puppet is losing momo for many reasons not worth my time to analyse...but it strong sense this is true ....and the Trump puppet ...would win by 2-3% in key enough key states ....so this should be fun to see what can be overriden.
To reiterate my view:
If PTB put uniparty Dem puppet in - as said = inflationary collapse take more time
If PTB put unparty Trump puppet in - as said = likely LQ drain down cycle .and faster.
The PTB have clearly accelerated their WWIII script ...just in case of Trump goes 'off script' and make it impossible to derail their plans ... though,clearly they believe the scripted warning shots - both physical and lawfare will be enough to control Trump even if required ...they are no doubt correct.
Stocks - It's hard to see how much longer the SIM ALGO can keep them up here though
- LQ has barely dropped even with USD surging = MASSIVe SUPPORT still
So - this looks like start of what I said yesterday ... unless we see a crazy reversal before weekly close...I can't see that happening ...
Next setup to watch for - RHS on TYX/TNX
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzIxNTdfMjM4NTAwMDk
*Here is TLT updated from that 'iii' setup ..and if this continuous to impulse down ..we need to see and break 95 ...then ...
- whilst not THE END ..it would be huge technically to me ..of beginning of THE end https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzIxODFfMjM4NTAwMzM
TNX and TLT key IT signal bullish on yields here as I mentioned...especially after today.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzIyNzdfMjM4NTAxNDQ
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNzIyNzlfMjM4NTAxNDY
Oct 3 - Happy 3rd day of the month
Well - Dollar is finally testing that 102 ..and sterling took important drop ...so....things looking even better for the setup here... and Bond as expected starting to follow
- if these setups are going to 'fail' or get Wacked back down by simulation ALGO ..then .I has to happen by close tomorrow I believe...so critical period.
Stocks - somehow are hanging on ..unusual ..looks like a long 'b' wave here..and c down to close that gap 'eventually' as I've said ..
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjczMzlfMjM4NDUwMTM
EOD - HEADS UP ...Tomorrow Looks VERy important to me
Here is what 'should' happen aka high odds setups we've been following
- TLT/TNX yields EXPLODe ...more on that in minute ..
- TNX has also same 'outside/insider' setup as dollar I showed ( we know why! lol
- Man, also the SIGNAL MODEL of rBONDS is PERECTLY SETUP for IT BUY ...we just need the confirmation here...though it 'shouldn't be' which I'll explain below in analysis ...and so ..If EVER all of this were going to FAIL ( lower odds patH) ..it would be now ..but I don't believe it will ...I strongly sense we are in trouble I will explain below in a bit..getting a clear view from this now.
SPX - should drop tomorrow ..in 'c' down . likely did that 'e' at close ...TBD
..but its a VERY complex corrective ..so ...if any interference ...could get another 'delay delay' rinse repeat ( in. wave term XYZ type deal)
DOLLAr - I am looking to FINALLY HOLD this 102 zone ..basing for breakout ..and weekly close near highs of week to confirm ..today definitely went a long way to support that.
COMMOdITIES - I went over that setup ..looking for move high to target I showed..OIL has 'outside inside' swing buy ..and today I believe took out Key pivot to upside..so OIL could EXPLODe high if breached here...its VERY close.
* here that chart again for oil - $73 its first key pivot..but above 74.5 is bigger ..I could see really fast big spike up from there and CRB with it.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjc4MjBfMjM4NDU0OTY
ANALYIS of Current CYCLE degree
What is becoming clear to me now - is the HIGHEST ODDS OUTCOME is as follows
- The COST of Propping up economy/markets into Nov 4 is NOW beginning to be paid ...by ..a DOWN CYCLE HERE ...that SHOULD make YIELDS DROP/ LOWEr INFLATION etc but instead WILL NOT ...the yields pattern drop is CUT oFF into this ABC type corrective ...but C 'should' now be hard down in yields ,anticipating recession etc
- So the NET EFFECT of a YEAR of MASSIVE $ to Prop it all up ...its OVERRIDNG the NATURAL DOWN CYCLe that should have begun nov 23 ..or anytime to now ...and thus
Yields DROP got CUT OFF ...
Here is the most likely NEXT step.
- We basically get an INFLATIONARY SPIKE immediately from here ....and Yields move up again ...etc
- BUT ..because the Natural Cycle is DOWN ..and has been DELAYED ...it won't move too high ...but enough too FORCE the CB to CUT OFF LQ ...esepcially since Nov 4 out the way ....I would guess sometime in Nov-Jan 25 ...
- THEN ...this UP BLIP and FORCED/DELAy Cycle will ABRUPTY 'RE - SYNCH' .
possible RIGHt TRANSLATION ..and 'crash' situation' ....though I don't believe that evert happen in Jan -March ..so TIMING would be tricky ...
BTM line - my best guess putting it all together
- we get inflationary scare NOW into Beg 25 ...as the COST of Forcing maket/economy up since natural down cycle last 9 month comes due ..it might not be obvious for a while but we will see it first in technical patterns we're rolling the 'ABC etc'
- THE LQ is Finally drained to Cut this off ...of course, maybe this is the plan and they don't cut it off...but I actually believe they will be forced to ...because if yields rise too much 'kaboom'
- THEN we CATCUP to last 12month( by that point ) sometime Jan -April 25 ...
- and we get a RIGHT TRANSLATED Time COMPRESSED Down Cycle ...
- ^THIs assuming ...WWIII doesn't occur ..and all manner of other planned or worse unplanned major events ..anything 'bad' and we are in Double trouble because of the amount of RISK put into system by overriding natural cycle with infinite Debt.
What I would be UNcLEAR on ..is If this plays out ..what that CYCLE will look like for stocks ..TBD I've talked about alts...but one step at time ....for Yields I think it a steeper drop but as part of corrective due to the inflationary insanity of system controllers.
For real economy - also unclear...the CREDIT CARD debt for one is massive explosive ...
- MAYBE they can allow minor fast 'air out' and then another MASSIVE OVERRIDE to upside? Or
- if not - well ..something way worse than 2008 is coming...and I don't really believe this time it could be 'saved' like 2009 ...so...unless THEY are ready to RESET ..then its more likely the former .... but this is what I hate ..this is down to PTB SCRIPT ..we don't have..so can't predict this ..and just have to see what events unfold.
But I DO think this is clearer than it was.
- inflationary scare/blip up now into end of year
- then synch to down and catchup ..
- after than 'it depends' as per discussed factors..
TLT - looks like I ..ii ...now 'iii' ? down to 96 gap close ..or lower....
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjc2MDdfMjM4NDUyODI
* Also THIs chart is my favorite Yield chart ... it tells me A- LOT
- that Yields first Hit these levels nearly. a YEAR ago on that fast impulse ...but
- have been UnabLE to HIT ESCAPE VELOCITY and RANGED since ....
- this is as I've gone over at length ..BAD NEWS for everything into 2025+ ...but
- for now ...yields to me are wanting to RISE here
- FRIDAY could be IMPORTANT Day ..as that possible minor 'iii' would confirm with drop under key 95-96 area on TLT
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjc3NDdfMjM4NDU0MjI
Minor Near Term on SPx
- many variation of complex b wave possible (pink box) ..but basic idea show
- if this is the setup ..we are hard down tomorrow...
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjc1NTlfMjM4NDUyMzQ
I mentioned the record 2 month Sun spot activity ..and now this ...looks like its could be peaking solar cycling here over next 12 months
https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/sun-burps-second-biggest-solar-flare-cycle-25-impact-analysis-says-earthbound-weekend
We are seeing crazy temps for October in the mountains here... 85 ..for weeks ..record highs...likely directly from increased thermal radiation ...
- I note I hear nothing about this in MSM/Matrix ...I wonder why? ...I will tell you
- because mentioning that would lead to questions ..such as 'if sun spots activity can have such big effect, how to you predict that in climate change models' ...and the answer is - they don't have DATA to do so ...why? ...because they isn't any way in earths geological record to separate out different 'heating/cooling' components such as solar/gas/water etc etc ...
- For all we know..there could be like markets, many different timeframe/Degree of SOLAR Cycles ...this is what Russian Scientists who've done most research believe
- I DO believe there is MAN MAN HEATIng from Carbon emissions BUT .. the question in science as I studied all the math and physics of this ..is ORDERS of MAGNITUDe ...if man made effect is 'X' ...but SOLAR Max effect is 100X ..then ...its irrelevant for long periods or ever.
There are ONE ways to FALSIFY MODELS
--> Through prediction - guess what, the models prediction from 80s, 90 for now are all WRONG by MASSIVer ORDERS of MAGNITUDE ....so that's a FAIL.
The DISINFORMATION (their favorite word ) that PAST HISTORICAL RECORD can be used to FALSIFY is part of the Gas-Lighting Complex ....CORRELATION is NOT CONFIRMATION ...basic science ... we can't use INFERENCE of CAUSALITY from past correlations ...its only a starting point, and causal models can ONLY be falsified by FORWARD PREDICTION
Btm line much SIMPLER - familiar to those in markets is , backward looking 'signals/models' will ALWAYS work ..but Not so much GOING Forward !
SOLAr cycle are a giant example of the obvious failures - but doubtless there are other effects not accounted for ..its Very complex.
As I've always said - the FOCUS should be Pollution of planet not 'carbon emissions' ...but our Corporate Overlords as usual are 'distracting' away from their mass polluting of air/water/food and responsibility for mass murder and sickness ...with 'oh see here, CO2' ..its again, like Plandemic ..False. 'science' and obviously so ...only suckering in those who can't see 'wood for trees'.
Oct 2 - Hmmm.
Charts in a bit - but
- dollar impulse up ...back to that key 102 area...the Wac-a-mole ALGO will appear no doubt
for Nth time ..but we'll see as
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI0NDFfMjM4Mzk5MjM
UUP a little stronger/ahead and close to + MACD cross...which has seen strong IT uptrends
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI0NDVfMjM4Mzk5Mjc
- Sterling also put In strong reversal as per setup I posted
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI0NDhfMjM4Mzk5MzA
- bond also selling off as I mentioned yesterday look ready to ..despite a flight to safety (weak one ) yesterday
- stocks ..ranging ...but as said ...I 'm looking for eventually lower tag ..painfully slow due to LQ LQ LQ and more LQ
Here's one 'fUN' chart - HISTORIC SAVE ..since that big drop ...Shocked, shock I say :-)
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI0NTVfMjM4Mzk5Mzc
>This MARKEt is as ONE SIDED as MSM Debate 'Moderators' :-)
EOD KEY WEEKLY Chart ...DOLLAR WEEKLY - KISS
- my favorite 'outside - inside' setup ...if dollar holds the weekly close near highs or clear
102 ...Lookout above ...complete ABC and new cyclical up trend
- note the HYPER CORRELATION since Mid 23 to Bond Yields ...can u say simulation? :-)
btm line - seems to me ..we are on CUSP of another round of INFLATIONARY Demolision the FED & Matrix doing another round of Gas lighting the masses 'what higher prices ..no no...your imagining it' etc ...won't fly this time of course.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI5MThfMjM4NDA0MDI
SUMMARY of LQ charts/Data = GASLIGHTING CENTRAL
- MOST BLATANT ABUSE of POWER EVER and proof of insane market simulation ability.
- MSM and Technocracy ( internet) the same for controlled 'information'
- And MIC for Controlled 'wars' - lets hope ..TWO choices right now either
-- world leader are following scripts ..which is to escalate WWIII Pre-texts
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israel-bans-un-chief-country-after-statement-failing-condemn-iran
OR -- world leaders are psychopaths with emotional maturity of 3 y/os ...
the former is better than the later ...better hope they are all actors following scripts like here in the 'land of the free' :-)
TWO more LQ charts for luck
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI5NjBfMjM4NDA0NDQ
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI5NjRfMjM4NDA0NjI
Also this Setup on UUP I posted...also right here at critical pivot ...I think we break up and same on USD over 102 this time ..but might be some Wac-it down as said 1st...we shall see.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI4NjdfMjM4NDAzNTE
Swing LQ Cycle is starting DOWN here
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI4NzlfMjM4NDAzNjM
DIFFRENT VIEw on LQ using CYCLEs not absolute LQ I posted this AM
- guess what ..it shows same ...current UP LQ cycle is LONGEST AND BIGGEST same as 2009-2010
- note. down cycle don't always = down market...but usually at BEST = sideways over a cycle...1-2 years ..... we are OVERDUE and OVER RED LINe on this one .....what happens if/when the SIM Forcing stop s...I favor down over sideways given the setup.
-..unless of course..they don't ever let LQ ever again ..but has to be reasons for cycles...that's whole other conversation ...for now..the ODDS are EXTREMELy HIGH ..this is purely 2024 'special order' election market/economy gaslighting by PTB.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNjI4ODJfMjM4NDAzNjY
EOD Comment for Oct 1st
the INTERNALs signals show - we are at 'max time period' for DROP here ...which agree's with the setup.
I notice - that LQ ...is just STUNNING ..we have seen an ENTIRE UP CYCLE's worth of LQ INJECTION in 9 months ....same as 2009 low and most of the other main cycles since ...
- not only that - in last 3 months its been VERTICAL
- We are HIGHEST MOMO of LQ in HISTORY
IF ever I doubted
- LQ is main tool they use to manipulate market ..it went from 99% sure to 10000% sure now LOL
- that they are the most CORRUPT CRIMINAL Regime EVER to run the market - 100000% sure now
- and that they won't relent until Nov 4....1000000% sure now.
CHART to PROVE it as usual ..when I get time ...you might need to lie down after seeing them ..here is the thing
- THIS have NEVER been DONE in all HISTORY.....we've ontyl ever seen these MASSIVE LQ INJECTIONS to FORM UP CYCLES at Major lows 2009, 2018, 2020 etc ...never at END of an up cycle like MAY 2024 for example !!!
- It's hard to project the COSTS down the road here ...but, it can't be good can it? ..especially now that price isn't even responding to a historic tidal wave of relentless LQ and ALGO support by the minute.
- I can't WAIT to sEE if this DROPs off a cliff POST NOV 4 ..that is the best guess ...and God only knows what happens then ..probably a crash as i've said.
Oct 1st - Happy 1st day of Month
Yep - so ..as I went over ..SIM change ...and still following the fractal..even down to silly spike up and fast reverse.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNTk0MDlfMjM4MzY2NTc
Was SLIGHT FLIGHt to Safety ...due to the latest Middle East escalations ...
- bonds and dollar both catching bid BUT
- nothing proven to change there yet....need to see strling/dollar follow through now finally..and bonds to me looks like want to sell off once this flight to safety is done.
There is still TON of BTFD here ...so...the slow slow slow looks like will continue..
...but eventually I expect we close that gap just below.
Best guess - an eventually move down to 5620 on SP X..then another up swing to marina new highs ...THEN a IT down move .....
9/30 Happy EOM :-)
As said ..doubtful we change the patterns until after today ..and so it is.
Nothing much to add to what I've gone over here.
On big picture - I've shown a few people the data on debt I posted...and people are shocked, but then anecdotal confirmations
- a family friends who does accounts for law firm for example told me they have seen a FIVE FOLD increase in PERSONAL BANKRUPTCIES the last 3-4 months...shocking increase she said ...
Look - the Lever Pullers and Matrix gas lighting tools have gone TO THE MAX to FAKE evERYTHING into Nov 4 - ... Logically, there is no need/point to doing so after that...and I don't really think the need to past about now ..because of LAG effects anyway ...
- so, again, I repeat ...THIS IS NOT A PERIOD to EXTRAPoLATE from PAST PATTERNS
- this is UNIQUE in ALL HISTORY
- We don't really know what the COST will be ..but if you look at CRB, Yields they are saying 'one way or another we are all totally flucked' down he road here...either immediately ..or after a cycle down
I honestly believe, that since this DEBT is about TWICE 2007 right now ..maybe higher...that it would be impossible to recover from down cycle ...
- but that is WHY we ended up at TWICE the debt..because ...too big to fail etc
- and as said..that's put us into this impossible situation of 'death by rising costs living/yields' or 'death by another debt collapse' except this time...FED would need 2-3X the QE ..and we never even paid back the balance sheet from 2009 ...thus I believe
- We aRE On EDGE of MASSIVE EVENT to DISTRACT ...WWIII acceleration, or political domestic terrorism event unlike any other etc etc..or another PLANDEMIC ( bigger..badder..worser) ..something to say to masses 'hey, look here ..not there' ..has to big enough that fact increasing millions are homeless/living in cars, can't afford to live ...except for 10-20% of population with houses/stocks ....
** - I believe one MAIN GOAL is to END the CONStITUTION over the next 4 years ** ..whatever it takes.
For me. .^this is where we are....
And we ALSo should see if I'm right VERY SOON - as into into OCT is possible, but definitely in Nov-Jan 25 period.
EOD - I went over this setup on CRB ..and weekly is also crossing positive here...so
things shd get 'interesting' as per setup I went over
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNTUzMDFfMjM4MzI0Njc
* SPX - I think if tomorrow (1st day of month) and possible 'simulation change' - continuous to follow the fractal ..(crazy I know ..but its all ALGO controlled down to tiny moves as we can see easily) ..
- if after a close like that ..the entire 1-2 week range shot up in an hour ..etc ..if then doesn't follow through to upside break ..as fractal says it will NOT ..( imbalance also)
- then ..very high odds with fractal will play out to full repeat ..i.e. see boxes ..and a down leg coming in next week or so ..but it looks like it will be a FIB repeat also ..and then ONE more up swing ...repeating again ..and terminal ..and should be time shortened ..I will go over one step at Time...but this look very high odds as well ....
- its VERY IMPORTANt to see this plays out ..and as I've gone over..it 'boring' right now but has BIG informational input into my IT and CYCLE degree setups..in TERMINAL 5th confirmations.
- keeping eye on Sterling etc etc and TLT especially here.
There's our Tag down to 5700 area...see posted fri.
and this one ..the fractal.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNTQ4NzZfMjM4MzIwMjc
* looks like still trapped in it - orange marks highest odds subwave fractal
- back up to highs..then down again type of deal
- as EOM >90% time ENDs at HIGHS ...of day, week , swing , etc etc ..'pure chance' LMFAO
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNTUwNDNfMjM4MzIxOTQ
9/27 - rinse repeat EOM :)
EOD -
- I need to see exact number of CBOE put/call posted..but I believe..its going to give
me a sell signal ...
- I did some analysis on the VERy UNUSUAL IMBALANCE data ...just for SPX ..I need to also for dow/comp at some point
- I usually just use daily but I did it back test 7 years on INTRADAY
- I notice all the patterns hold up ...but something VERY STRIKING is occurring I can show
...since nov 23 ...something is happening that has NEVER happened even remotely ..and it can only mean 1 of 2 things eirhte
...Market has fundamentally changed ..in which case...why? how? Or
- As my LQ and other data days - SOMETHING has BaNNED the NORMAL Market ...
- u will see on the chart...I might need to do a video ...though it's obvious.
NOW - If the market isn't fundamental changed ..other than the proven fact since Nov a massive ALGO with almost infinite QELIteLQ is preventing selling/turning at pivots...
- then IF the ALGO ever stops ..the ACCUMULATED IMBALANCE would also be HISTORIC ..if u understand how this work ...
btm line - this strongly says ..IF SELLING is EVER allowed to get past a KEY IT Pivot ...then...we will see something historic to downside...so market itself is in a 'box' here....this is why post Nov 4 is so. important.
- We are in a 2ndry Blow off peak here ...
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNDkyMDVfMjM4MjU3OTA
FYI- I eye balled that chart on work computer ...on my BIG SCREEEN Hi-Res its MUCH CLEARER ....and you need that really ...its very clear ...
- on that the Data from MAY is INSANE ! and HUGE WARNING
BUT - NOTE... You have to consider the CYCLE TREND DIRECITON as well ..I need video to really go over it . but this big an imbalance is 'something else' ..we know what :-)
..but it NOt a TIMING SIGNAL but CONTEXt for them.
Also NOTE - this is UNIQUE to my work ..no one else has this data .or if they do ..very few ..so its not likely being manipulated or effected .. which is key unlike well known data.
This really wants to break down out of the patten here ..but .we shall see.
Dollar also trapped.
We will either soon get expanded ranges OR just break down hard.
This really 'wants' to break toward 5700 right here. then 'well see' on just more range or just 'bang'.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNDg5NTBfMjM4MjU1MzU
* stalemate due to LQ induced BLOW OFF BUYING .. LQ now waned ..but not down
AND EXHAUSTION of ALGO BUYING ...but NO SELL PROGRAMS YET
= ^THIS
The most likely outcome as said ..is 'eventually' selling comes in either a program or just break of the local uptrend ...then we'll see if that induced sell programs or not ..if not.anotehr trip back up and longer range just like last on e( rinse repeat I showed onimblance) to suck in every last $ and CALL buying which is gone extreme here.
Related - LQ through Sterling
- sterling rEALLY WANTs to break down here....and its been 'very trendy' on this trendicator
- I showed other signal/chart -we are in my view AT an IMPORTANT IT TOP on Sterling where ...its 'do or die' ...and so
- more gaps up ..and overnight ALGO support is only way to keep this going ...check on Monday and see if ...otherwise ...I believe we trend down .and this one 'could' be VERY important IT top ..I'll dig out other charts if I get time
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNDkwNjZfMjM4MjU2NTE
THIS one below - Sterling 'shd' have dropped on 1st outside/insider and had gap up save already... the SUPPORT by THE ALGO has been ReLENTLESS and HISTORIC ...but eventually NATURAL CYCLEs have to at least play out up with modified amplitudes
- this is KEY one to watch as I've analyses to Death LOL
- Either that - or CB will need another insane button press and sterling will 'jump over' this and run to 150+ ...VIX holding 15 is also a big sign of this being a MASSIVe BIFUCATION on IT cycle or higher degree.
- It 'boring' but ultimately VERY IMPORTANT IF/how this plays out here ..
..since its EOM on Monday ...obviously we are UP near 95% of time 'when possible' ..so I don't expect any big change until mid week and ideally a DROP in Sterling/LQ/SPX etc.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNDkwNzBfMjM4MjU2NTU
9/26 Finally ..a Gap n crap? ...TBD
- but looks like it ....I can't even remember the last time that happened.
The tape continuous to show MASSIVe BLOW OFF . and DISTRIBUTION ..f* I'd put massive support..but actually LQ APPEARS ( and need more confirmation) to NOT want to go up now, even with Sterling forced up ....so...now it must go up under own steam.
Bonds are really at critical area where potential for yields to surge up again here next week TBD
Sterling acting 'impossibly' ...yeah ..we know why :-)
OIL - setup for a IT LOW here
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNDYzODVfMjM4MjI3ODQ
EOD - Internals ..especially pattern NYMO/NAMA puts high odds we 'should' head down from around her ( see also tentative count) ...but ...seems were in crazyville ..
The BS is Strong with AI - PEAK MANIA Often Near MAJOR TOPS ...
This is just one example
- One the other day about how AI would produce Utopia soon ..and now this idiot
- Look, I worked in this, and with these people - they are NO SMARTER tHAN ANYONE ELSE and IGNORANT Of EVERYTHING OUTSIDE of THEIR FIELD
- They are as EASILY DELUDED ad most Humans
- INOrganic( non biological) objects obviously are NOT and NEVER will be SELF AWARE ...physics has proven it ..most of these guys are just software people without knowledge of required area's ..
>> - do you REALIZE NO ONE CAN EXPLAIN LIFE SCIENTIFICALLY! ..there are lots of theories but no falsifiable noble prize winning ...
- as I like to say PEOPLE SAY ALOT Of THING ...so what? LMFAO ..
- the REAL PROOF ...would be the program being able to act as the OBSERVER in the OBSERVER effect experiment ...these Tech guys I doubt even studied quantum physics.
- IF AI's are SELF AWARE ..so are ROCKS ....
- of course...PTB WANT u to believe that, as they are VERY LIMITED MINDS of NIHILISTS ...and also, it helps to excuse exterminating people are they do relentlessly
- Geez - Most humans are barely self aware ..certainly most tech people I worked with LOL
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/advanced-ai-system-already-self-aware-asi-alliance-founder-warns
Tentative count on the current swing up
- but its high odds some kind of '3' wave ...so extension is possible ...if doesn't top by say Tuesday .
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxNDQ4MjBfMjM4MjExNzI
ONE of the BIG problems we have in this world is
- We have gone from where 'rare event' were questionable - shooting of JFK for example, did we know THE truth of that yet?
- To a world where Questionable events are every week - just recent examples - Trump shootings, Hamas attack on Israel, Ukraine/russia - media 'election' bias etc etc etc
It Doesn't HELP that EVERYTHING MEDIA/MSM/ MATRIX has FRAMEd as CONSPIRACIES over the least few years -
- have LITERALLY ALL PROVEN to be TRUE ..as Best one can obtain objective data and reasoning !
So, I take this: https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c0qznj3l5ypo
.. sadly with a pinch of Wag the Dog salt ...tragic for the innocent people involved..but I wonder how long it takes to get THE truth of this ..
- could Israel ..the most secure nation on the planet REALLy have one of the biggest lapses in security ever ? and would possible goal would this achieve for Hamas? .
- Conspiracy theory, much like 9/11 is it was PRETEXT ...in that case for Patriot Act and Iraq war... Weapons of mass destruction for 50 ....etc
- Of course the MATRIX has spent last 20-40 years PROGRAMMING the MASSEs into TRIBES ..and Making them 100% REACTIVE to any QUESTIONING of their TRIBAL CULT DOGMA ..so
- merely questioning anything is always VIOLENTLY ATTACKED by One tribe or other ...its one of most EFFECTIVE FORMS of PTB MASS MINd CNTORL ...to have the masses acts as MOBS on EACH OTHER to confuse/silence and make it seems 'they are crazy' etc
I pay attension to 'whats going on' but at this point its very clear
- we are in a Wag the Dog/Orwellian/Post Truth - take ur pick world ...where we really don't know what is going on ....
So WHAt are WE supposed to do? ...who I am give to give advice ..I can tell you what I do
- I note it, and examine it, see if there is any information of use.. THEN I TRY tO LET IT ALL GO .because there is literally NOTHING you, or I can do about any of it.
My honest view is, we are/have cross the Rubicon ...where it's going to be impossible to pull back from some sort of. Societal Collapse ...not necessarily immediately ..but in the next decade ...
- the world is CORRUPT/GREEDY/SELFISH & somewhat Psychotic at the TOP ..and filtered down to many layers of the system ..and even now Ordinary people
- Most people are 'good' by nature, but they are also EASILY MISLED and TURNED into mirrors of this system ...those that are good are now mostly suffering mental health issues and varying forms of psychosis as coping mechanisms ..especially young people.
Frankly, it probably better at this point to just 'pull the band aid off' and have it all collapse so we can move forward in a new way ..whoever ..if any ..are left.
sorry if that sound negtative/depressing ..I am not personally...because of my knowing of who/what we are ...but being deluded doesn't change this situation ...and I am here to give me honest analysis ..whats the point otherwise.
Wac-a-mole on USD for gazillionth time LOL ..along with Sterling now... LQ NOT responding again ..FINALLY.
I believe we are moving toward EXHAUSITON move here into next week ... call buying is off the planet again as well.
9/25 - Ground hogging
Cut & Paste etc
However - Note this move on USD ..as I was looking for ...now we will see
- what I note. and this is probably something I've never discuss
- the up moves are increasingly impulse and down moves corrective
- this is Big TELL that NATURAL WAVES are trying to reverse up...but we know, they are getting
Wac-a- moled ...see let's see what happens this time.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzk0MzZfMjM4MTU2NDI
CRB we haven't forgotten you :-)
Oh what a tangled web we weave.... 2.5 years CORRECTIVE ..couldn't be more corrective
and THAT is ALARMING ... of the two scenario's post nov 4..this shows it clearly
- if inflationary ...this has bottomed in ALT C ..then wave THREE Up of Secular move ..oh boy!
- Or if Overlords finally pull some LQ - if still B ..and then we get strong C down to complete.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzk3MThfMjM4MTU5Mzk
This pattern I pointed out on SPX is holding as well ...lets see if we can now drop down to bottom box area. ..then one more up? or fail? ....likely depends on USD/Sterling.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzk1MTRfMjM4MTU3MjA
Here - I updated it ..
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzk1MjJfMjM4MTU3Mjg
FYI I notice 'they' are messing with some key sentiment data many look at ..this has become a consistent pattern ..and is a sell signal in my view ...over next week or so.
9/24 - Meh on repeat
But ..imbalance is showing same BLOW OFF ..incredible buying here ..and looks like distribution continuing
So this becomes an equation:
- if buying exceeds distribution ..we go higher for longer ...but ultimately I then look for that to get retraced as Swing top minimum (see examples I posted last night)
- if equal ..we churn as now ..
- IF buying runs out ...we get a slow roll over initially ..then likely accelerates
^THIS sounds like saying nothing lol ...but I this is 'within bounds of imbalance' setups I showed...
- btm line is ..this high odds is a topping move and not a running corrective/breakout move ..and that is key to determine here.
DOLLAr short term setup ..I see high odds for another upside reversal attempt here as shown..if we break below the red line ..then that's off and risk of a acceleration down as per larger C I showed...even then, I think its going to setup a reversal to upside ..but TIME is there into say Nov-Dec still for that larger C ...so its Key to see each STEP ..per these short term setups for read the tape.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzQ3MTlfMjM4MTA2NDU
* here that mini h&s on UUP I showed while back ..also in play ..need the ST model signal to drop a bt into buy zone ideally...by either price drop or more time combo
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzQ3NDJfMjM4MTA2Njg
EOD - Yikes this imbalance on Dow is something else!
It's not one I find to be as predictive ..but I did a few backtests ..this is the 50day moving average 3 Sigma events
- ALL led to eventual IT or greater declines
- a couple were pretty early ...and during blowoffs can take longer to roll over
- OURS has TWO spikes at about 5-7 sigma LMFAO! ..hard to say what this means until history is written ..but just put it in CONTEXT of what's going on category. :-)
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzUwMThfMjM4MTA5OTA
SPX
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzUwMzZfMjM4MTEwMDg
comp - this one is REALLY interesting as possible sETUP - given we appears to be wave 3 completing of final 5...of FRACTAL REPEAT setup
- remember this is NOT a SIGNAL ...its CONTEXTS
- they are saying a couple of key things
1. We have seen the biggest BLOW OFF in HISTORY last 2-3 years ...Supercycle top confirmation? especially in TECH
2. We are STILL in BLOW OFF PROCESS
3. It likely has a WAYs to GO ..unless there is a Planned event ..as needs nEGATIVE DIVERGENCES as enthusiasm wanes.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzUwNDNfMjM4MTEwMTU
Need NEW THREAD soon - this one is getting slow for me now.
ANYway - things I'm watching for now
- We have the imbalance data..that's strike 1
- Strike 2 here would be LQ NOT RISING ..on DOLLAR DROPS/Sterling rise ...seeing that last couple days...but if dollar/sterling do as per setups ..then I can be sure on this if LQ doesn't respond ...its a stealth drain beginning.
- Strike 3 ..stocks fail to break out here...as per fractals
ANAYLSIS -
- the BOX setup says me ..that MARKET MIND ( excluding the FED manipulations) is expecting the following
- Democrats in control
- More INFLATIONARY POLICY ...( hence the ABC's on Bonds..dollar etc and failure of commodities to break down)
So if TRUMP is put in - I don't know what happens honestly ..that high odds produces some serious volatility as new judgement is made ...as I said, we need to see how the PTB SCRIPT CHANGES ...
- under Trump ...do they still inflate until death OR
-do they 'pull the rug' immediately to collapse everything using that as excuse?
- I don't know, only they know but say 70/30 they let the air out.
If DEMS -
- Will still need to see the same ...inflate or let air out ...but its more 50/50...if inflate we get a repeat of 2021/2022 type markets I believe ...huge trend up in yields, dollar C complete by Dec and takes off ..cutting of market LQ ...and a 'rinse repeat' drop in markets but more of that '4' than the super cycle top ...that would be DELAYED by maybe 1-2 years until inflations/yields BLOW it all up and real economy goes totally over the cliff in PLANNED DEMOLISION ...and black swan risk is there...and all manner of other issues.
How in the world would the FED explain ^THAT!!
Simple - as usual ..using the Matrix to gas lite ...let me write if for them
'The economy has proven more resilient that expected, so we see no need for further rate cuts at this time'
- Remember - they WANT to BLOW IT UP ...they DELIBERATELY created the inflation and debt ..now 2X 2007 on consumers/corporate/Govt etc
historic Credit Card debt chart - I referenced. https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-FED/DEBT/jnpwwyzmqpw/chart.png Federal - GROSS underestimate due to Unfunded liabilities https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/0010_federal-debt-proj-full.gif If you want to see more ..this from the FED ( ironically but they know most won't look at this) ..shows ALL FORMS of Debt are 'insane' ..because that's how you fake reality and push too big to fail down the road. - click on charts to right of this for more details https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc
So we rinse repeat 2021-2022 ? with prices rising again ..everyone buy top 10% drowning more ...and Govt hiding it with with more debt - handouts etc
Why NOT BLOW IT UP NOW? ...
- They could ...there is no way to know I can see in foresight only once they pull the pin by LQ dropping hard....we will know...but
- AND if that change is going to happen its Nov-Jan 25
- But they NEED AN EXCUSE ..to shift blame/distract ...for this scale..its got to be MAJOR WAR ...another Plandemic or giant Cyber attack ..something on those lines..so its all about TIMING and having everything lined up...which as said seems to me, they do here. so its definitely 'an option'.
Nov/Dec 24 into Jan 25 is most important PTB SCRIPT READING window of 'all time' it my analysis.
Sterling...hmmm... this is amazingly similar with the unusual model signal ..
- couple of gaps up here ..then reverse down hard..coincide with dollar tags of 98-100 area?https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzQ3NjJfMjM4MTA2ODk
TLT - chained to dollar like everything
This pattern is REALLY MESSY ..but ...it looks very 'ending diagonal/Terminal' C to me...
- If we DROP back below the red lines ..especially 96 ...hmmmm
- we also have mini 5 wave impulse off the FED day ..hmmm.
So 'some answers' could be incoming here next week or two
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzQ3NTFfMjM4MTA2Nzc
9/23 - Meh ...Music continuous to play...
..on the US Titanic ...
..whilst reality continous to erode the hull under the water.
I notice the Matrix is ..obviously...in 100% Utopia mode
Not much is going to happen now...until it happens if u get my drift ...lots of meh ranging etc
But I am keep ing close eye if I see anything.
EOD - YIKES ..Massive IMBLANACE WARNINGS here ...DISTRIBUTION most likely as expected..doesn't mean we can't go a bit higher but this is big warning...I will post some charts when I get time.
You need many views of this - but this is a start... the 'sudden' massive peaks and especially spikes are signs of BLOW OFF
- when prices doesn't move higher as in last few months = high odds massive distribution
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzAyNzRfMjM4MDU5MTk
This isn't one I normally look at - I use spx, comp, and indu ...this is indu's...and shows same
- so its pretty certain that we are seeing a 2ndary bLOW off here ...
- I showed u often need a period of 'waning enthusiam' ..and its 'depends' here..I don't really have a way to predict how long or how much higher price might go ... but u see the idea
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzAyNzhfMjM4MDU5MjM
BUt THIS is most important right now to me - would say we get small reaction drop tomorrow..one step at time ..but it makes sense to me give what's going on with SIM ALGO.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzAyODhfMjM4MDU5MzM
Reports of Death of the DOLLAr - maybe greatly exaggerated
The highest odds setup here is
- we are in a cycle degree correction ..a-b-currently c down ..of move up off secular low.
- time analysis is something I used to bring falsification to wave theory ..its useless without it really...and this shows, this is high odds the case
- the only way to negative this ..would be..a huge drop in dollar NEXT FEW MONTHS ...most signals say that is very low odds ..which means ...the abc is very high odds
- we could see another 2-3 months of meandering down to complete larger c ...but c could be completing as other work I've shown.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzAwNDdfMjM4MDU2OTI.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMzAwNjNfMjM4MDU3MDg
I do believe this is fundamentally important and I've gone over why at length.
Question - how can this be? this would say dollar in next few years will move ALOT higher in either a '3' up ..or 'C' up ...
- best guess..as bad as things are in USA ...as usual...they will be ALOT worse in Europe/ASia etc and
- the loss of US$ hegemony for now is a slow process..being fought now as much with WARS against BRICS nations as financially ...if the Western War machine can weaken BRICS nations it BUYS TIME
Weekend comment - WE ARE IN BIG TROUBLE FRIENDS
This isn't technical or analysis but just I guess Geopolitical ..and i've talked in occasional comment about it.
- it is now clear, as best one can tell that the PTB are 'making a big move here' on ALL FRONTS
- I've covered alot of domestic politics ...the scale of the MATRIX LIES is FULL ORWELLIAN ...I don't really need to say more? ...I've gone on and one about this for 25 years online for anyone that followed me..warning every step of the way ..we would end up here ....THEY ..the MATRIX ( MSM_ controlled internet + other) ...have mass mind control to degree now ..they can put a literal 'village idiot' in office...and have a large segment believe they are 'leader of the free world' ....nuf said? ...you know my view by now ..it 'doesn't matter' they are all puppets back to post WWII ..MIC controlled ..now the broads PTB controlled puppets ....but this is NEXT LEVEL CONTROL.
NO THIS COMMEBNT is about ISRAEL/ARAB ARENA and RUSSIA ...I've talked a fair bit ...and warned again that eventually the PTB would stage a SCRIPTED WWIII ....in these two area, eventually I also believe China will invade Taiwan for full SCRIPTED WWIII
- It is NOW VERY CLEAR the PTB are MOVING CHESS PIECES for this
- NATO is NOW esculating its attacks on RUSSIA ...the Matrix will lie and say 'ukraine' but its impossible...the targets being hit inside Russia require precision ordinance ...only possible with NATO intelligence and weapons ....
- So NOW, we see if Putin is another PTB ACTOR on script ...or not .....I lean he his but I don't know, its one of the big unknowns .... PREY to wHATEVER HIGHER POWER u believe in HE IS ..otherwise, this is the most dangerous moment in human history since Cuban missile crises and probably more risky ..If Putin is 'off script' ..we could all be dead at any moment ...becuase ONE WRONG CHESS MOVE could trigger automated all out WWIII and we're all dead in an hour.
- It's Obviously no coincidence that simultaneous ISRAEL is opening a 2nd front with Iran Proxies in Lebanon .... the aim is CLEAR ..to DRAW IRAN into a conflict ...as IRAN is of course, in BRICS AXIS ..PIVOT off Russia and CHINA ... ..those 3 are arming and supplying all the Arab counter agents to Israel.
The history of that region is nightmare ..and my position has always been ..as I went over mid week .that UK/US/UN i.e. PTB ...set up in 1948 the ultimate FUSE for WWIII ....and
---- THEY ARe NOW LIGHTING IT ...but its not a done deal ...but like Russia ...we are at a TIPPING POINT
To me ..its very clear...that BOTH will CROSS the TIPPING POINTS
- Russia will respond ..and add to the esculation ..i'm just not sure how...maybe against Poland
- Isreal OR IRan through its proxies ...will also Cross the tipping point with some action that makes it almost impossible to prevent all out war in that region ...which as said sucks in Iran ..the real intent !
>>LOGIC ..which I often regret excelling in ...ignorance seems like bliss right now! ...dictates
- the PTB don't make this many chess moves ...unless they intent to make more moves
BTM LINE - I believe from what I am seeing, that we are NOW ..entering the 2nd stage of WWIII ..the pretexts are laid down and now in those two theatre's we about crossing the Rubicon ...Even if Trump 'wins' and wanted to stop it ...he won't be allowed and likely it seem would be too late..they appear to do this NOW ..to ENSURE that..
This SURELY has to EFFECT MARKETS sOON? ...I know they can FAKE REALITY and all markets ..but the situation is so dangerous that smart money must go RISK OFF soon here? ...so that is why i see even with massive endless support ..DISTRIBUTION is NOW going on here. ..I should be able to tell on signal models in next few weeks.
As none market comment - all 'we' ..those of us aware of reality, not the fake one ..can do its try to 'be the light' as some say... I am not religious but I believe in higher power and life philosophy of Jesus ...and that's about all we can hold onto here ..as the PTB forces are overwhelming it feels against us ...I try to help those i can in any small way ...and not give into the 'darkness' the PTB are unleashing upon us in every way ....driving most to unhingement, anger, hate , depression, hopelessness ... etc ..I see it everyday...with a small % of wealthy running around in make believe bubble's to hide from all this ..but as I always said EVENTUALLY .and its GETTING CLOSE ...NO ONE will be able to 'hide' in self made illusions ....I think that day is very close now .... and as u know, I would love to be wrong.
- Be the light you want others to be.
Quick comment for Monday -
- pattern put higher odds DOWN ..but so much support it can be up ...if so ..I am looking for DISTRIBUTION into all further upside attempt to confirm my setup ...of now either a short or long period of termating waves of 5 .....
- we also know its KEY to watch DOLLAR
- I also see sign of life in commodities ..and bonds ..and we can't forget to watch EVERYTHING at they are all connected..I don't talk on it all the time but you know i'm closely watching everything ....
- I alas don't have TIME currently to cover more than a tiny fraction of technical setups and model data ....I am thinking maybe to drop my day job in 2025 to 30 hours limit ..so I have the extra time and energy for making video's as I was and covering more technically ....and also other projects ...but ...I have to see if the owner I work directly for ..is able to have me train someone to cover for me ...as right now I'm literally unable to take time off and have no cover....the job requires a lot of diverse skills ....I would like to train a young person to give them a leg up ....but...its really hard to find anyone with wht's required as anyone will tell you! ...and older people most seem to lack the brain horse power/focus ....so i'm kinda stuck .. but I never intended to do this more than part time ..so I need to find a solution.
The 'other' project ..is a couple of books I 'shouldf' have written years ago ..but talked myself out of ...as waste of time e...but now I feel very motivated...as part of longer term goals ..I am really excited/driven and have a very clear plan for next 10-20 years of trying to create a sanctuary for both animals and younger people needing a safe environement to regroup ..my wife and I are sure this is what we should do ...but we need to save a bit more money and wait for land or property to drop a bit hopefully ..else move to cheaper state down the road as Arizona has become California infected lol ..
Sept 20 - Meh
A pullback ..chop ..nothing showing its hand yet, as said, its going to take some time here.
Meanwhile - the FED are out campaigned as they have under order all of 2024
FED see's Goldlilocks economy ...SUUUURRREEEE they do LOL ...until whatever excuse
comes up in 2025... these people are well paid criminals..mostly paid to lie lie lie.
...https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/fed-waller-interest-rates-cuts-inflation-economy-a49adda6?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
sorta like this guy
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/ny-covid-czar-attended-drug-fueled-lockdown-sex-parties-while-crafting-policy-force
EOD comment
My new NYMO/NAMO pattern signal is saying we are high odds swing topping again over next few session. I don't want to show that as keep it under my hat but..
this one is good confirming and similar idea
- when the signal drops from 'outside - inside the configured BB' it has been a very high odds 'heads up' that swings are beginning a topping or drop phase ...its 2024 etc etc but through all this its still be useful
- note. the angle of descent or ascent is key ..and must be> 60 degree's a not a 'flat inside' which tend to be continuations.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMjQ1MDJfMjM3OTk3NjI
on SHORT TERM
- what happens here as i've said for me is MASSIVE INDICATION
- I am looking for 'failure' ..which means ...a failed break out attempt..to confirm a ton of past Sim-algo cycles since 1999.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMjQ1MzVfMjM3OTk3OTY
This chart needs more explaining than I can giv ein words...but ..this and about 20 other signals ..show ME ..ONe thing clearly
- SIM-ALGO LQ has acted DIFFERENTLY to ANY TIME in HISTORY
- its actually INSANE ..truly .how much LQ has been used to keep this thing up
- so this gives me huge pause to 'predict' because there is so much 'forced upward pricing' in current market ..that would need to be removed to see REAL PATTERNS ..we have to be very careful IF/WHEN this LQ INSANITY STOPS ..so that is other key thing around Nov 4+
- normally the LQ Cycle degree here...goes from high (lows) to lower (just below bands) at Cycle tops ....... the exception is when going from extreme high to low ..I think happened around 2016.....OUR s has gone further BELOW ( EXTREME LQ injections) from an already LOW position that historically is a top ...that is CLEAR FORCING ...of EPIC PROPORTIONS
- as i've said I honestly believe if they remove LQ we would get a historic crash/waterfall
- so I guess...they won't now ever be able to remove it....this is absolutely key to find out
- if so...now were going to see 'something new' ..and likely an eventual REAL black swan down the road as opposed to FAKED one as usual.
- this needs to a video to explain ...but I posted this anyway
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMjQ1MjBfMjM3OTk3ODA
KISS - this shows 'pure LQ fuel' for the SIMULATING ALGO ..
- its simple I don't need to explain
- but not only the current peak ..but note PRICE has NOT RESPONDED which is the most important aspect .telling us ..this is FORCE AGAINST BIG DOWNSIDE NATURAL CYCLE.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMjQ1MjlfMjM3OTk3ODk
Here a different credit signal that finally crossed - key here is the number of diverges and length of cycle ..suggests ..this won't be an exception to the rule
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMjQ1MzNfMjM3OTk3OTQ
ALSO -the VIX ..is FINALLY ..giving the KEy signal i've been waiting for ...seen before every cycle top since the Sim-Market began ..... its not definitive unless Price confirm in next few months ..but this is FIrst time we finally have that.... dotting i's, crossing t's so to speak.
I really don't know what is going to happen for pretty much first time in my experience since around 1997 ... as traders and not predictors ..its a case of seeing what market tells us, rather than telling it but certain elements I see very high odds
- at least one major IT 20% + decline between now and end of end of 2025
- from around current prices and high odds within 5% of current ATH on spx/comp.
- it either going to be similar to 2022/3 then ONE more up cycle into a supercycle top OR
- this one will be it ...its as i've gone over for a year .impossible to say in foresight but
- RISK as i've gone over its historic and increasing
i've said my best guess here..but we don't need to guess - one step at time
- the sim-algo keeps saving every drop here ...as long as can toward nov 4 ..we've gone over this since literally Jan 24! and here we are ..its been so obvious what 'they' are doing
- eventually odds are high of a 'right translation' drop where what should have occurred over months is time compressed into days or maybe a few weeks TBD
- from here ..it looks like its slightly more likely we then get one more grind up ..into Dec endof year...but likely lower lows on some indexes ...
- THEN I'd see really high odds for that cycle down ..into 2025.
But ...one step at time ..this step just happens to have gone on since Nov 23' LMFAO thanks to CB decision to support the current regime ...as I've covered every step at length..even predicting Biden would be removed, and Trump likely ..but none of that matters ...
- the KEY is to see IF/WHEN the PTB SCRIPT CHANGES ..just before or After Nov4. into Jan 2025 is my expectation from 'its all perfect' to 'oops, we have some problems'.
Today is OPEX ...so FED and OPEX = two most b.s. events periods for X-games
Monday into Wednesday next week shd give first real read
- IF we pullback versus another breakout - is key here...but especially when looking at LQ via DOLLAR
Sept 19 - Fairy Dust Time
The magic of the overnight ramp ALGO via dollar ..sterling ...
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMTk2MDZfMjM3OTQ2NjU
At this point ..its just BLATANT ...which has a good side ..IF they ever run out of LQ ..it will OBVIOUS ..NO SIGN of it yet here.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/rabobank-goes-apeshit-powells-orwellian-rate-cut
EOD busy today..but just to reiterate
- I would not read much into yesterday or today..its going to be the reaction of the next week and possibly longer
- all I see so far is 'more of the same' ...though LQ did NOT surge today. ...what you saw was
-- overnight ramp bot we've seen a gazillion times
- - a little real buying after cash open ..not much ..almost closed neutral ( at opening gap)
so ..now we will see
- does the overnight bot run again? ..I think it will be difficult now ..dollar to me is finding support and sterling resistance .I cd be wrong
- does any actual buying finally come in ..none today really.
Amusing ..replace 'democrats' with PTB puppet and you are closer to it https://www.zerohedge.com/political/blame-shift-hitting-fan
All aboard the US Titanic yet ? ...as said ..next 1-5 session will be the tell.
Sept 18 - FFD - Fed Fun Day ...enjoy the scam!
But the reaction the next 1-5 days is going to be informative ...hopefully.
LATE COMMENT - the RAMP BOT is running relentlessly as usual overnight when at key pivot at close ...up 50 pts on ES already LMFAO! ...so ...4th or 5th rabbit out of hat looks to be coming in the AM right as always at clear breakdown/pivot.
If/when one of these forced up move fails badly...we know the top is in for now...when that is ..nobody knows ..but its getting closer fro what I see ..I cd be wrong.
EOD - NYMO and especially NAMO ...technically say this current up swing is NOT an INITIATION UP move of larger IT trending move ...
- infact, it just did something I didnt' see on any back test....to upside ..its 2024..we know why
- drop in internals here confirms
I mean, everything has been overridden more times than anytime in entire market history in 2024 .....but ...it still shows us that the market wants a breather ..but so far the recently LQ injection isn't letting it .. Especially TECH ...and epsecially SOX on next down swing is likely to catchup first to downside.
- I think TOMORROw is the KEY day...especially watching the dollar ...I think it has a FLOOR here...and Lq has been INSANE for 2 months ...nothing ever seen like it ..but market has not responded YET
- so ..I am looking to tomorrow to see if finally the SIM-ALGO can't 'get something going' and everything is pretty much again it naturally ...if not..and LQ starts to wane ...if DOLLAr can't be forced under that 98-100 floor ...then ...I think we exhaust and swing down again here..which has CYCLE degee implications ...
Btm line - Tomorrow - end next week as I said 'should' tell alot ...failure to initiate another big uptrend is what I've been looking for....not necessarily much down side because we know it's banned ...for as long as the ALGO can prevent it.
There's a sort of 'reverse shooting star' candle on the USD futures here as well
- I really think this is bit of 'moment of truth' for dollar ....my read is the 'bad news is in' and we are about to see a 'buy the rumor sell the news' moves on everything ...but it likely as to start in dollar ...sterling ...then will ripple to stocks and cause a feedback loop to force USD above 102 ..(which also had defended wack a mile style ) for a month ...that's my best guess..
- If Im correct..this time ..we don't spend a week testing 102 from underside ..but blast over it and run like a mother ....but we may need a few days basing here
- I also do see chance for 1 more down test of 98-100 ...but ...its not necessary ..but complex to explain the wave setups for that ..but that's the btm line...we will know as
- 102 above ..and 98-100 below are massive key pivots here.
* the most 'doom and gloom' sentiment stuff I look at is UNIVERSALLY
- dollar will crash
- stocks will go parabolic
- housing will go parabolic
- inflation will soar
I don't believe any of that ..just the opposite ..though...I'm leaning that ..and we've talked about this a fair bit ..but lets just spell it out
- that from NOW into Dec 2024 will be Cycle top of some degree..its questionable what degree alas
- if you look at ALL CYCLE TOPS since year 2000 and start of our ALGO SIMULATION 'markets' ...or 'financial alchemy' as I call it ...
- they ALL have same pattern ...topping in Nov-Dec period ..WHY? oh..simple .they have trained the monkeys to believe stocks only go up in Nov-Dec ..and so DISTRIBUTION is SIMPLE for Strong hands in that period ....the 2000 top, the 2007 top , the 2018 top and 2021 top ..all in that period ....exception COVID but ..that was different and not a 'cycle top' but a financial crises masked with the plandemic ..similar to say 1998.
- there are OTHER patterns as well...which I model and have shown ...
IF we get a significant drop in Sept/Oct somehow despite the infinite ALGO-SIM buying ... I DOUBt its the final top ...I'd favor a long distribution still into Nov-Dec ...but one step at time...
LOL The binary brained fantasy lives on
- 95+% cannot cope with reality ..and have to live in this kind of delusion due to fault in binary brain
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/deep-state-knows-it-cannot-cheat-kamala-martin-armstrong-fears-washingtons-plan-trap
The problem is the PTB are SMARTER than 99.9% of people - and thus, they cannot get their brains around reality
- all PTB had to do, was create a 'bad man' ...Trump ..and turns Dems into lunatics ...to make people FEAR ( greed-fear-division- hate) ...the bad man and vote for lunatics ..Or fear the lunatics and vote for the bad. man.
How many times do people need to see that:
- Politicians can LIE LIE LIE ..and NEVEr Be Held to ACCOUnt ...its the most obvious REALITY there is yet
- Voters every 4 yeas get amnesia as FORGET they all LIE LIE LIE ..this time 'they will do what they say '....SUuuuuuuurrrreeee they will LMFAO
How Delusional are these 'bad man' supporter they fails to look at 2016-2020 and see NONE of the anti establishment actions were taken ..just the opposite ...how faulty are those brains????!!!
AND YES ..I know it SEEMS ( that's the 'clever' not clever but obvious plan) 'anything is better than the lunatics' ..but is it? since the whole thing is clear as day setup ...can we be sure ...we got COVID PLANDEMIC and Totalitarian take over of Internet on Trump watch ....etc ....was that any better?
Duh Doh - If they wanted him dead, he would be dead. If they wanted him in prison he would be by now ...and we know what can happen there ..being EPSTEIN'd ...
It's the most obvious DOG and PONY /Barnum and Bailey ever seen ...I can only but laugh, or cry? at the inability of most humans do deal with reality and delude themselves...which is, of course, EXACTLY the REAL PTB objective - division, hate ..and do NOTHING to change their total control. Jeez :-)
But Daddy ..we have to vote for someone ..bla bla bla ..
Daddy say 'if voting make you feel like your doing something when clearly these people have no control and are puppets of PTB ...then go ahead ..but don't try to make others complicit in your self delusion ...infact, if no one voted ..and we could get it down to small %....it would de- ligitimize their FAKe system ...and we'd have a chance to force changes'.
I also have said - that literally 'anything' can happen between NOW and Jan 2025...because this is the FAKEIST of the FAKE Periods the PTB have ever SCRIPTED ...and they have ALOT of OBVIOUS SCRIPTS to go to NEXT ...all setup and ready to roll:
- assassinations
- wars
- financial system issues
- civil unrest
- Cyber attacks/issue
etc
Oh yeah - and PTB numero 1 'fuse' for WWIII ...being lit as we 'speak' ..not taking sides on this one ...just saying' ...the UN knew EXACTLY the result of creating state of Israel in 1948 in middle of religious zealotville ..Now if you wanted a 'fuse' to start WWIII sometime down the road... could you come up with a better one than this ..be honest? ...
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/new-wave-blasts-rock-beirut-2nd-day-hand-held-radios-personal-devices-explode
https://history.state.gov/milestones/1945-1952/creation-israel
* I'm not taking sides because I've seen this movie ..I was Brought up in London Uk where IRA bombings especially as XMAS were 'normal' ..I worked in City of London and took tube trains where often it was closed due to 'bomb threats' ...
- it sadly become 'normalized'
- and if you bother to study unbiased history..you quickly realize there is a huge amount of back history responsible ..and I could certainly see the IRA point of view ...which is different to 'agreeing' ..to get resolution you need to be able to see different view point and find common ground .. EVENTUALLY that happened, it could have happened MUCH sOONER ...I'm a CELT also ..my father still alive a sprightly 92 from Inverness Scotland ..... so I've heard let's say the 'anti English' viewpoint all my childhood ....so ...I got it.
- ISRAEL/Arab I think is HARDER to resolve ...because there is so much recent troubles ..and anger/hate/divison ...and BLAME on BOTH sides one can see ..only a zealot would see only one side 100% responsible ...I hold the UK/USA and UN responsible ...they put those two sides into inevitable conflict ..and used them as usual as proxies .... I fear...for Israel down the road here...as in game of PTB chess will be sacrificed to get there ultimate goal ..of eliminating Islamic religions ...I stated this wold happen online in 2001 on long waves...because..PTB are constructing their 'matrix' (now achieved' and Islamic religions cannot be assimilated and thus will be eliminated ..I hope I am wrong ...but it doesn't look good....much as they used Ukraine as proxy( it's another UK/USA/NATO war ..obviously).
Now - the part about Putin ..is correct....Putin is we'd all better hope ..a PTB puppet like all the rest clearly are and have been since WWII ...duh!
- Putin, like Trudeau/Macron etc etc most of them ..was a member of the young Global leaders WEF ...so, its at least 50/50 he's also just 'reading the scripts'
- If NOT..then I agree...if Putin is replaced...we likely get a hard liner and risk real WWIII rather than a PTB scripted version of it.
EOD - if it wasn't 2024 the year of 'the entire system fake everything and Vote Dem in Nov' ..- - today would be a CLEAr DOWN REVERSAL ....BUT
- it is ..so now we see tomorrow .....it 'shd' be a strong down day..but ...you know, and we know why.
Drop on USD 'should' be the last iii of 5 ..of possible C complete OR ...another 4 bounce..then another 5 higher degree to complete C but I wouldn't expect much lower than this drop to 98-100 area.....UNLESS I'm wrong...we shd know within a week ...I am looking for TAG of 98-100 then STRONGER UPSIDE REVERSAL on dollar finally back above 102 ...as iv'e gone over at length last month or so.
That's a start..but THIS is the KEY ...DOLLAr as we know ..the whole 'scam' Simulation of a market is run through the Dollar ..where it goes...so does everything else 90% of time.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMTQ4MTFfMjM3ODk2MjM
Sept 17
Dollar as said looks close to completing C of large ABC corrective ...some sort of '4' just done, now '5' ...
- it likely needs one more down wave..but if the green lines above are taken out ..then reversal high odds.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMDk1MDVfMjM3ODM5NzE
Land of the Free no more? THIS is an IMPORTANt POST I make here.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-09-17/hillary-maddow-we-need-criminal-penalties-misinformation
It's seem the lesson of the 2nd world war, and many others and all of history ARE LOST ..or the PTB are trying to make masses forget them! Reading around ..this is what is the case.
Let me give you the Short summary - 'people lying is bad, it should not be allowed'.
The current example being floated is 'Trump lied about dogs being eat' etc
I could quote law about protected speech ...bla bla ..and yes, you CAN shout fire in a theater ..that often quote 'limit on free speech' where it could 'harm others' is IN MATERIAL FACT ..FALSE ..and MISINFORMATION .
- but it shows the total LACK of RESEARCH and Low level of thinking coming from proponents
The REASON you CAN shout 'fire' applies to Trump as well and just about everything
- You CANNOT ASSUME the Person KNOWS the 'perfect information'
- If I shout fire, it could be: 1. because there is a fire, 2. because I believed there was a fire but I was wrong. 3. because I knowingly lied about a fire.
It's literally impossible to prove a person did (3) ..knowingly lied ..and even in that case, it's protected speech ! ..except in rare exceptions ...you can easily research and don't apply in most cases.
This is why anyone, including politicians and media can Lie lie lie - NOW, we can say 'that's terrible' ..but now gets to why world wars and many people DIED to MAKE IT THIS WAY - if any of these people chose to THINK ..I know that's alot to ask (sarcasm)
- because WHO IS the HOLDER of PERFECT TRUTH/INFORMATION?
In our system is COURTS who act in that capacity ...but , there is NO CLAIM of PERFECT TRUTH ... its just 'the best we can do' and thus ..we recognize that and allow for this as is.
- Lets CHANGe it ...Now WHO is this holder of perfect truth/information ?
- if its the GOVT ..or corporations ? look at what happened in all history ...
Btm line - if you give any person or authority the claim of 'perfect truth/information' we call end up eventually ..SCREWED ..because, REALITY is they DO NOT HAVE THAT ..and thus it becomes ...the WHIM of PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE TRUTH/DISINFORMATION of whoever that authority/person is ..
- this is same idea as FALSIFICATION in science ...which they are also trying to shut down ..if you cannot 'challenge a truth/information' then you have TOTALITARIAN DICTATOR SHIP
THERE IS NO IN BETWEEN - you either have free speech as is ...and you can tweak the protected elements a little ...but the moment you appoint a MINISTRY of TRUTH we're FUCKED ..you would think OBVIOUSLY ..but apparently ..well, we know sadly...:-)
Take Trump and dogs etc ...people ASSUME the KNOW 100% that he is wrong or lying - but infact, they do NOT KNOW THAT ..it's OPINION ....you could try to make it a 'material fact' ..good luck with that ...and no court even under current law would agree ...and if they did
- LITERALLY Everyone MEDIA and Politicians say WOULD FAIL THAT TEST .they are ALL to varying degree's LIARS i.e. not at 100% perfect information ....excluding maybe, what day or week and time it is!
What the HELL goes on in school ..that ^THIS most important LESSON of all history..the 100's millions died for ..is not being taught well that literally no one understand this..and I have to type this crap?!!!
This is why we CANNOT allow the PTB to bring in these so called 'misinformation' laws..at least in USA we are protected by 1st amendment ......but not in many countries and you already see them using it as Totalitarians ...look in Canada/Australia and UK.
If you need a laugh ..take a look at some of these 'blame the victim' meems/posts
.scroll half way down for the laughs.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/cnn-worries-trump-assassination-attempts-are-helping-him-politically
This one sums up the doublethink of Matrix currently
https://x.com/SteveSkojec/status/1835784838160253083/photo/1
SPX - ST Model sell triggered ... now we find out if this up move is
- a trending move ..in which case a shallow pullback or sideways then up to new ATH OR
- a reversal back down
This is one key trigger signal I show ..we could go over all 10 or so ..but this one is good 'summary' signal.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMDk2MTZfMjM3ODQwODI
The purple boxes are very similar ST MODEL setups ... I think if we drop under red line 5600..that odds favor a bigger drop here. TBD
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMDk2NTdfMjM3ODQxMjM
As I've gone over at length .... I believe what happens AFTER this 'corrective' or down swing here ..is KEY on the CYCLE POSITION ....repeating myself is such fun but
- It looks to me ..more and more 'compression' in TIME ...toward a RIGHT TRANSLATION move into October ...I cd be wrong :-) ...high odds this is all going to be a script around the First rate cut.
Best guess -
- post rate cut = shimmy then big spike up to ATH on SPX /DOW ( comp looks to have topped to me )
- then a strong reversal finally down ...that ...is at least an IT down move
Sept 16 - Happy Mid month :-)
Well - I had comp pattern 'terminating ?' Friday ..and it did ...as said why...because finally one of those tiny minor wave didn't V reverse on a dime ...that how ridiculous our 'market' i.e. 95% simulation has become here .... ( well its 95% simulation when shorts build and at key pivot where that fuels can be ignited to create flame thrower up moves ...but ...then question is where does it burn out ..its happening faster and faster ...which is what I'm looking for).
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAxMDQ1OTRfMjM3Nzg4NDE
I think things will as said get increasingly 'confusing' from here....and this up wave is the most important to confirm/deny what I'm saying.
DOLLAr looks IMPORTANT and Sterling - Dollar has a CLEAR WAVE 4 ...of some sort of C down ...so, THIS time ..I look for MUCH STRONG SUPPort/REVERSAL UP .....I don't know why, but if correct, some 'news' will support it ..I cd be as simple as 'sell the rumor buy the news' when the CB wing of PTB cut rates because 'everything is so great'....and we always cut rates 2 month from election when everything is great ..and no problems anywhere whatsoever. ..definitely not the biggest assets bubble in history, or cost of living bankruptcy 60% of working people ..NO SIR! ....great time to inject credit by lowering rates ...as inflation is so obviously totally not a problem for average person ...
- If my Sarcasm gets any stronger I may need to return to England ..the land of Sarcasm.
Well I figured some stuff out over weekend finally about the 'election' ..I'll explain that when I get chance...the ABC show and the 'shooting' over weekend ...remember how I said neither Biden or Trump would likely make it Nov 4....well...pretty close and still time ! ...but what I have to say is more important and relates to more important issue of - what the hell happens AFTER Nov 4....it was actually my daughter that helped me ..or confirmed what I was thinking..Ill repost what I said Friday as that is also important ...but
- its VERY CLEAR now ...what is going on ...and sadly...its not good my friends ..we shall talk about it ..but ..yeah ..not good.
OK here is my BTM LINE - RE: Election and the B.s. going on.
- It just doesn't matter ...it's very clear now...its was always clear as I've gone over at length...but now even the slim chance Trump would 'slow things down a little' is gone and delusion.
- Trump 100% is a 'deep state operative' if you want to use that term ..he plays his part of 'crazy MAGA man' to make 50% of American angry/terrified of him/MAGA to vote for the 2020-2024 Insanity .and now the even more insane prospect of 4 more years of it .....I said this in 2015 ..in my blog..this would be the purpose...he would talk so extreme ( not actions) and exactly what they did. and doing it again now...so he is on clear orders here.
On a long hike this weekend, and explaining what's been going on to wife & daughter who have ZERO interest, because they are smart enough to know it's all b.s. ...
- I explained the reality of people lives currently, with 60-80% population unable to earn enough in full time employment do anymore than 'survive' with no end in sight and getting total burnout and depression about future.
- the reality of the DEBT ...that has been CRIMINALLY USED to FAKE REALITY ...to put off recession purely for politics ..REDISTRIBUTE WEALTh to top 10% as expensive of FUTURE GENERATIONS ....for NO ECONOMIC GAIN WHATSOEVER ...it's a GOVt/CB PONZI SCHEME ...and THEY Are CRIMINALS working against the majority of hard working Americans who's lives are now a nightmare thanks to this total unnecessary criminality.
- the reality of the NATO War on Russia ..and attempts to expand NATO against all agreed Accords including Minsk accord and others...etc.
- the reality of Govt all over world ENDING FREE SPEECH and use of LAWFARE - and putting new laws down to ARREST people for 'thought crimes' ..if they disagree with GOVT LIES ... this is NOW in EFFECT..not future ..any of us, at anytime can now be arrested at whim of Govt. This case shows even if you win - and u probably wont' ....your will be ruined ...which is the desired effect of the Fascist/Totalitarians ALREADY in
( her crime as supporting a protest agains Israel etc) CONTORL.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2x202v2ejo
- The Reality of politicians being able to LIE LIE LIE ..with no holding to account ...why as executive office of company is it FELONY to Lie, but as Govt Officials is the norm and no account.
^THESE are the actual key issues of our Time
- My daughter pointed out ..NONE were mentioned in the 'debate' ...so I said 'well, what does that tell you?' ...she says 'It doesnt' matter who wins...they aren't in control and ABC, the 'candidates' are all in it and know the banned subjects' ... Yep, nailed it I said.
^THIS is why It just doesn't matter - we are WAY. WAY Way past it mattering. The fact that so few can see this obvious truth, confirm everything I've told you over 2 decades about how we would end up here with 'mass mind control/mind slavery' for want of better terms.
Nov 4 only matters in that is very high odds the trigger for a SCRIPT CHANGE - as they need to keep the current stories/script going until then.
So, really, I see no need to discuss what happens further - it doesn't matter if Trump turns out to be an Alien, or Democrats are Russian collaborators ...or whatever baloney.
Anyone who think Trump isn't on PTB payroll is seriously delusional at this point, as it obvious and the usual b.s. excuses 'the CB are dumb' ..so 'Trump had poor debate' is part of delusion ...no...he is on the payroll, clearly of PTB...again ..warp speed, Fauci, shots are great etc ...now deliberately not raising a single key issue and to agreeing to any more ..how about a Townhall where public ask questions and can bring all this up? nope...not going to happen :-) or would be 'shut down' if they tried.
My daughter said 'all I've seen about the debate is memes about people eating cats and dogs' ...yep, classic DISTRACTION Tactics ...Trump did his part setting up this distraction ..anything to AVOID talk about the massive issues I listed...not because he's old, or dumb, or crazy ..but obviously on orders to avoid any chance reality would be discussed.
As the US- TITANIC slips below the waves ...the Matrix distracts those about to drown passengers with dog & cat on the menu ..literally.
In 'No shit! Sherlock .. news ...
The comment section is pretty funny :-)
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-09-16/mystery-buyer-propping-markets
And this from Steve Kirsch
https://kirschsubstack.com/p/google-ai-admits-the-truth-about
here's my additional comments on that:That's a nice summary of situation on Steve's link, but missed a couple of things which are actually the most important to be aware of - as they prevent any ability to inform most people of reality:
1. Mass cognitive decline - due to lack of use of brains (dumbing down of population )
- .through education design to NOT make people think independently
- rely on technology that 'thinks for them'
- shut down of community and societal discourse by dividing people into Tribal echo chambers and loss of ability to resolve differences ..not just block others who disagree
- Brain damage from the shots
- Effect of cumulative stress on cognitive function ( relates to point 2)
- we could add alot more... obvious the health of people ..polluted food, air, water ...processed toxic 'food' and on and on ..I'm just trying to give idea.
2. Mass Head up Ass syndrome ..there is no term I'm aware of ..but this is best description. In many many conversation over my lifetime in trying to warn/make people use logic to see what was happening ..we didn't get HERe just now.its evolved over many decades
- MOst people, cannot COPE with TRUTH or REALITY ...AND - The prefer the DELUSIONS/LIES/FAKE REALITY provided to them by the Powers that Be...infact, the PTB DESIGN it around humans 'base nature' or 'lowest common denominators' ....greed, fear, division, hate etc ....we could call it a kind of Matrix as per the movie ..only - people 'plug themselves in' .. ( actually, this is the metaphor from the movie just most don't get it )...and choose the Cypher 'I prefer the Matrix' etc
- In my entire life of trying to make hundreds of people 'think', and not to blow my own horn but I'm really good at talking to people and communicating to help people 'see things for themselves' ..maybe 1% are able to ...because, of these issue which have got worse over time, by design
- the PTB consistent goal and plans have NOT been about a cull ( yet) ..but about CONTROL .and they won a decade ago.
PRIMER from FRIDAY on our Political - PTB setup .. in case you missed it .amongst alot of 'stuff' I said.
If you check my history ..it's clear I am no fan of D. Trump - I think he's a PTB actor, doesn't care about others, and its not that smart etc
- That the entire political sphere is just a Theatre wing of the PTB ..and has no relevance in the real world ..other than giving Masses a 'believable story' for events ..so they don't look for the real answers ...men behind curtain etc ....I mean, it works ..because it so easy to know that these people are owned by Vested Groups - Corporations, dark money, lobbyists etc ....the programming is so strong, most cannot see it no matter what.
BUT - it does tell us something ..with objective eye.
- its clear PTB would, as said, not want Trump ..even though it won't change anything ...and as said, this is just because the masses won't believe the SCRIPT from him as much ....they just read scripts...just like Trump read the 'COVID SCript' and hired Fauci ..operaton warp speed ....shots are great etc etc .....the so proclaimed 'red pilled/awake' aparently can't see this LOL ....sure...
This logically tells me the PTB plan for next 4 years ( and its obvious from other events) is
- more war
- more massive debt
- more inflation
- repeat until controlled demolition
If by some fluke Trump wins ...and not sure he is even trying based on the 2 minutes I saw other day.... threats against his family maybe? ...then ...it might slow this down a tiny bit ...that's about it.
I don't know how real the election actually is ..but ...its rigged to come down to a few 1000 votes in 5-6 states every time ..which puts it within margins of error or 'influence' by DESIGN ...but the concern is obvious from the INSANE MATRIX attacks on Trump ...insane market rigging and 'economic data' rigging and debt spending and CB support, Lawfare, bullet warnings, ambush 'debates' LOL etc ...that we might still be above those margins. TBD
It's not that interesting except to demonstrate the PTB power and lengths they will go to control literally everything.
Sept 13 - Upside Crash number X continous
As we know, downside crashes are banned ..but upside crashes are state sponsored via $ ..Sterling ...like this one ....240 pts without even a 5 minute degree retracement LOL
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwOTgzNDZfMjM3NzIxMjg
It 'seems' bullish ...and it is...in sense that proves the length they will go to prevent even a slight drop in the SIMULATION.....but longer term ...as I've shown..these kind of extreme's occur near tops of cycles ...but can take months as I also showed...its a PROCESS..and this time a process where the entire future of uSA is being leveraged to ensure it. what fun! :-)
LOL - Harris in collusion with ABC isn't a surprise ...they have form ..Hillary ..Donna Brazille etc ..not really an issue letting her reherse her non-answers.
NOR is ABC 'fact checking' Trump and not what's her name...
The REAL issue is -
- people believe ABC are 'fact checking' LMFAO ...
- there are NO FACTS in most of these issues ..just VIEWPOINTS ..that is POLITICS
How dumbed down is the average person they buy this BS? ..please don't answer ..its rhetorical.
Do they believe FOX 'fact check' would be same as ABC 'fact checks' ...where's my crying with laughter emoticon :-)
- a fact..only exists if ALL KNOWNS are KNOWN ...and the problem space is definable ...that is literally never the case ...Are immigrants eating cats and dogs? I don't know, and nor do you and doubt anybody does without an extensive amount of research ....same on most issues ,,,that what investigative journalist used to do ...who don't exist anymore because they produced inconvient truths ....now media is free to just shyte up and claim is 'facts' due to authority of MSM etc
..it IS possible to do it ..but only by OBJECTIVE non PARTISAN group, which, are banned for obvious reasons ...MATRIX can't have independent objective body holding media to account or 90% of their 'content' would be FACT checked as 'not facts' etc Duh!
Trump is a moron for bringing it up though - or instructed to be a moron - because the big issues are the fact most people are having 'at breaking point/burnout' trying to survive due to cost of living - yet neither candidate seems to know what['s actually happening. Every day people come in my office and tell me this, from young to retired ...I had police officer tell me today many are living in cars to survive ....COSt OF living for most WORKING PEOPLE has gone up about 100% ..in rent,food, etc ...but hey, who cares about working people except for top 10% of earner who are fine due to CB sponsored stocks/houses at expensive of young people's futures ...what are we upto now, 3generations worth of debt so top 10% can feel good ? ...I don't believe in evil...but !
- then we have potential for WWIII due to insane Ukraine policies
- then we have worst debt crises in history
. - and yes immigration crises ..better ways to talk about this obviously
But they are not really ALLOWED to TALK about REALITY ..as u see...NO ONe in MATRIX is allowed ...these are BANNED SUBJECTS ....the debt especially ...they are so afraid for anyone to realize we are fucked and bankrupt etc
In terms of pure b.s. debate though. he's actually normally a skillful operator...he was so off his game that I have to believe he was sick or 'leant on' here...because normally he would have eaten this blatant b.s. for breakfast ...with one liners and sarcasm about the so called 'fact checks' etc
- so that remains for me the big issue...why wasn't Trump...Trump ..seems like a setup to me to keep what's her name in the show...it all seems scripted for this reason.
Interestingly, it seems moderates who matter most aren't fooled..and this has backfired ..and are breaking for Trump LOL ... if he's been told to fall on his sword, this will take some more crazy turns ...will he withdraw maybe? :-)
EOD - Moving to Yet Another EXTREME EXTREME price move
I showed a similar version of this chart recently how extreme price moves either at KICK off of new trends ..OR tend to cluster at Terminal phase of trends ...in all of history ..this is 2024 of course the year of the biggest faking of aLL time ..but ...here we go again, and this one is on short term but shows well the extreme spikes
- I think the 'best thing' is to make ATH high again here ...that would rule out various B wave type confusion ...tHEN lets see what happens ..what we need to really give better topping setup is
- new ATH
- then an impulsive down move finally
- until that ..and as we as said toward Nov 4 ...better change s..though clearly the ALGO is programmed to V up any drop ...but that will setup the condition for a right translated collapse
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwOTg3NzlfMjM3NzI1ODA
OBSERVATIOn on market action here
- Every single drop on minor degree is V REVERSING UP ..so that is why we can't even get a tiny pullback
- IVE NEVER SEEN THIS ..not to this extent ...I've seen it in blow off move or massive LQ
I suggest ..it indicates some sort of final blow off tbd
Could be first sign of end of panic buying ( panic isn't really right word ..its mostly ALGO via LQ ...but u know what I mean.. more accurate is 'forced' )
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwOTg3MDdfMjM3NzI1MDg
This really is a brilliant proxy for the entire Matrix Anti Truth machine.
I've talked to alot of despairing people I know who still same functional minds ...and I'll lucky because I don't have any allegiance to politics or anything only the journey toward truth (its like 'in the limit to infinity' in math ..) ...based on the biological computers housing the 'soul to be schooled by experience' or whatever ...cannot be put into words.
- I try to bring despaired unto speed that no, it's not about NOW - we are in the RESULT PHASE of actions taken over decades ....the dumbing down, drugging out ...pharma and other, the Mass social engineering/mind control Matrix etc etc etc bla bla ..
But HERE is my SIMPLE SUMMARY thought on it today - of the essence of human mind problem :
- People want 'truth' ...but they wrongly believe the truth is something 'simple' - a 'fact'
- This logical flaw...leads them to seek a SOURCE of said 'fact/truth' that is 'simple' - MSM, Internet ..'google' or other ....its 'simple' and 'fast' ....to satisfy the FLAW in the BRAIN ...but its of course NOT truth Nor 'facts' ..for anyone who has even studied a tiny amount of this topic, which alas is very few.
- There are no facts ...logically analysis of the biological computer proves this ..very few who this and thus as victims of a MASS DELUSION ..one I've tried to explain to people for 30+ years but from that I know
-- 99.9% PREFER the DELUSION of 'simple truth/facts' that are False, to the DIFFICULT-Long effort of 'questioning and introspection' it actually takes to move toward facts/truth ( its only every a probability increase ...from say 50/50 to 80/20 or 90/10 ...almost never 100% due to issues of 'problem space boundaries' and 'biological computer calibration' too much to go over here)
How are those of us AWARE of THIS TRUTH ...supposed do DE-PROGRAM the LITERAL ENTIRE HUMAN RACE ..from the COLLECTIVE DELUSION that 99.9_% of minds CRAVE? like a DRUG .... then add, the MATRIX of 'life' - school, society, media/internet etc all REFLECTS this MASS DELUSION back at them produce CONFIRMATION BIAS etc ....like a person is in a CULT of the entire human race ...
- part of that cult is idea of TRUth by AUTHORITY, or STATUS or HOW MANY PEOPLE AGREE ..all of which are PROVABLE LOGIC FALLACY and hence MORE DELUSION.
I've been aware of this problem my who life, and more I studied on the Bio-computer I knew there is NO SOLUTION ....because its 'hard wired' and cannot be 'taught out' ..except in moments, and default back to its normal modus operandi the minute that moment passes.
^THIS is what you are seeing play out ...if you can abstract a little...so really, the endless 'lies' about everything ..as FAR WORSE than most believe
- I predict 37 years age at college this moment would arrive ...and essentially, it would be our downfall ...as it is proving, because, logic dictates it ..logic with full understanding of the boundary space that is ...how bio-computer works and its flaws with 'thinking/reasoning'.
And NO - SADLY..I can't just 'give people this understanding' ..because it comes form a lifetime of study of many subjects ..deeply..and thinking on them ...most can't or wont' do that..I know I've tried.
( sorry for all the autocorrect typos..it is very annoying!)
btm line - We is flucked :-)
The slighty longer version of that - We is flucked..but its a 'good' thing, because its part of our collective journey to understand what we are ...and if you want ...to understand a 'calibrated mind' = idea of God ..that we..collectively are 'evolving' toward ...and we evolve by contrast ..and seeing what doesn't work ...thus ..it necessary to destroy ourselves in this way to have that experience ..to move forward .
- We are essentially still in the 'baby stage' of developement ..where we are yet to understand how limited our 'thinking/comprehension' is ...only THEN ..can we move toward a more evolved form ...which will require the end of simple minded 'intellect' and recognition of the boundary space etc
btm line - it doesn't matter..all experiences have value ..even if they seem 'good or bad'..they are all taking us individually, and as whole steps toward our final destination ...you could call 'perfect calibration' or 'God' ...we don't understand what are saying, because you only understand once you get there ...its another delusion/illusion mind creates ..the sense of understanding something we don't understand..long conversion :)
We all have to hope - that these people are just playing to their brain washed ignorant masses ..and that they aren't at insane and ignorant of reality as their statements suggest...or the world is going to end pretty shortly.
- but, we have to begin to wonder ...I say ignore the words and just look at actions...if any missiles are fired into Russia ... I'm not convinced this wont' escalate quickly into an all out nuclear war ... because, Why would Russia be bluffing? ...the claim they 'can't take on all of NATO' sums it up ..as admission..that NATO using attacking Russia ..which is obviously correct ..using the Ukraine ..who's idiot leader ( a literal actor They installed for this purpose, who was elected to sign Minsk agreement and avoid all this) ...allowed his country to be destroyed to further their agenda.
- realize these PTB puppets know a. how dumb and lazy masses are that they won't do any research beyond MSM to realize what's actually going on here ... and b. that the media will lie lie lie for them .
- It's not like if they are Wrong ..and planet is destroy ..that anyone can come back and hold them to account LOL ....they have got away with starting so many wars on lies and got away with it due to a . & b. ....they may have become 'believers of their own b.s.' ..Let really HOPE NOT.
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c7858qqzyv8t
Lets follow the LOGIC here
- NATO fires missiles at Russia ( no rational person is buying the Ukraine narrative..we all know its NATO and is now stated)
- Russia is suppose to wait for them to hit targets to find out if they are nukes?
- If it does wait ...the best case...it could retailiate ..not taking on 'all of NATO' but against whoever is behind this ..THEY are hoping ..it would attack Ukraine ..because they created this war and want to go on and on ..and escalate but
- Putin isn't stupid ..nor his advisors ..they have avoided all the attempts are provocation ... Putin is more likely to make a SMART response ...such as firing a missile into the City of LONDOn
- now, NATO response is what?
- It's hard to see how this doesn't then escalate to nuclear all out conflict ...which would be why that moves make sense ..it called WEST/NATO's bluff.
- If Putin is just reading the PTB script ...we will know...because he will do something dumb ..like response only to Ukraine ...so that would answer this question finally.
These PTB agents probably believe own b.s. ..and think this would be 'good' and allow UK to get excuse for why its going down the shyter .etc etc...a 'contained reset excuse' ...but ONLY if PUTIN is on the team ....50/50 whether he is ...we may find out in next 12 months or so.
Now - and I'lm talking about this because
a. Market is in flame thrower mode and nothing to really say until that stops and
b. It's in my mind from 'what is going on' and alot of conversations recently.
With THAT said as context ...
- If you check my history ..it's clear I am no fan of D. Trump - I think he's a PTB actor, doesn't care about others, and its not that smart etc
- That the entire political sphere is just a Theatre wing of the PTB ..and has no relevance in the real world ..other than giving Masses a 'believable story' for events ..so they don't look for the real answers ...men behind curtain etc ....I mean, it works ..because it so easy to know that these people are owned by Vested Groups - Corporations, dark money, lobbyists etc ....the programming is so strong, most cannot see it no matter what.
BUT - it does tell us something ..with objective eye.
- its clear PTB would, as said, not want Trump ..even though it won't change anything ...and as said, this is just because the masses won't believe the SCRIPT from him as much ....they just read scripts...just like Trump read the 'COVID SCript' and hired Fauci ..operaton warp speed ....shots are great etc etc .....the so proclaimed 'red pilled/awake' aparently can't see this LOL ....sure...
This logically tells me the PTB plan for next 4 years ( and its obvious from other events) is
- more war
- more massive debt
- more inflation
- repeat until controlled demolition
If by some fluke Trump wins ...and not sure he is even trying based on the 2 minutes I saw other day.... threats against his family maybe? ...then ...it might slow this down a tiny bit ...that's about it.
I don't know how real the election actually is ..but ...its rigged to come down to a few 1000 votes in 5-6 states every time ..which puts it within margins of error or 'influence' by DESIGN ...but the concern is obvious from the INSANE MATRIX attacks on Trump ...insane market rigging and 'economic data' rigging and debt spending and CB support, Lawfare, bullet warnings, ambush 'debates' LOL etc ...that we might still be above those margins. TBD
It's not that interesting except to demonstrate the PTB power and lengths they will go to control literally everything.
Sept 12 - hmmmm
We 'shd' turn back down here...we didn't get a follow through gap up etc ..and all signals are triggered ST model sell..and price fractal matches as I've shown ...BUT -
- we keep tending to break high odds setups ..for down ..to up ..rabbits ..hats .etc because ..we know why don't we ....
- we'll see here...IF selling comes in ..then ..this still looks high odds...but if not...beware the rabbits :-)
- In that scenario .I would look for us just to fail back at the ATHs ...
Obviously....as we have know since Nov 23' ..the system operators if they can keep this going into Nov 4 .... as we've gone over endlessly ..it just a question of IF that is possible ...TBD
EOD -
This has some simple data charts ..and sums up what is going on in 2024 ..the year MAX FAKE/LIE about reality
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/endgame-interest-us-debt-surpasses-1-trillion-first-time-ever-exploding-august-budget
https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/august%20budget%20deficit.jpg?itok=gJ42fv_e
...someone in the BIden admin had the brilliant idea to spend a metric asston of money to reboot the economy so we don't get a recession just in time for the elections, and sure enough, government spending went into absolutely epic overdrive, as outlays hit a mindblowing $686 billion, the highest since March 2023, and only a handful of crisis months during the covid crash saw greater government spending in any given month.
And is obvious ..but no Media of candidate is allow to bring any truth up ..Trump is a puppet who won't mention reality either
- IF this is the BOOM ..i'd hate to see the BUST ..(banned in 2024 by Govt spending at insantiy and CB support of asset bubbles)
- OR also real unemploment is higher than fake data ...yep..that is obvious also.
https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/budget%20vs%20unemp.jpg?itok=-P5tMdOG
Yep - several sells came in ..and V reversing them ..
- so the ALGO is VERY ACTIVE here...to FORCE HIGHER
- this is high odds the LAST STAND I feel ...last major RIGHT TRANSLATION move as
- its going to get harder and harder to override as we go ...I cd be wrong..but thats' what I see...everything is terrible here..even compared to past moves....so this is pure hubris if AI ALGO's had such things :-)
BEAr will need AMAZING patience here...because...as we know..the kitchen sink will be used to keep this up .....and this down move as said was corrective ...though 99/100 it goes lower as said before another move up like this ..but whatever... house of cards move = this kind of action
So yeah - I think what happens with this move is actually very important to gauge ^this
- we could say its '3' of '5' etc but I am looking for waves to start to be incomplete/truncate etc to CONFIRM what I see
- the costs should keep mounting here ..and lead to that.
As I mentioned the other day ...and keeps getting worse... the PTB in guise of NEO CONS and MIC are DETERMINED to Start WWIII
- Or more to point, and this is very clear ....they are on a TIMETABLE ...and don't want to lose this opportunity with Ukraine- Russia to create another massive war...obviously they aren't 'happy' with result of their games since 2016 in Ukraine to engineer this one ...RFK Jnr spoke truthfully on this I just saw ..no wonder the media won't let him speak!
- watch this is you don't know the factual history of these events..u won't hear any on MSM
* Its also the threat posed by BRICS and banker wing of PTB need to take it down
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uNC3N93YYNE
- this partly also as said explains why they need another 'empty vessel' in the White House to spew there war rhetoric to the idiot masses to lap up as usual.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russian-counteroffensive-kursk-belatedly-full-swing
- This is happening NOW ..because as said..Russia has won ..and is about to wrap up the conflict ...despite the Matrix propaganda as I mentioned weeks ago ..another distraction fake ..from reality. ...the Irony of their 'mis information' against anyone who dares talk of reality ..is why I say POST ORWELLIAN ...its beyond even the Ministry of Truth and doublethink.
I talked to quite a few people I know who understand reality ...we all agree ..this is a FRIGHTENING MOMENT ...as it appears
- the NEOCON/MIC and PTB ...want to start a NUCLEAR CONFLICt
- all along I've asked myself ..last 20 years..would they do this? ...and I felt, there would a scripted limited nuclear exchange toward the end of the reset or whatever u call it
- but this is shaping up to be sooner ...than later...given the length they are going to to cause it ...and make sure their women puppet is their to read the script.
Someone asked me 'would they risk all out nuclear war' ..I never thought so ...but, maybe they too have simply lost their minds ? as most seem to have... I guess we'll find out shortly or certain next few years.
Nope - there we go ...broke the setup ..AND these moves keep getting more and more bizarre don't they...this one is plain silly now ....no reason and no rhyme other than they are to prevent further selling at key pivots each time.
- there must have been some shorts as fuel here as well...but likely burnt them as usual now.
Look for this is flame out and reverse hard 'somewhere' ...from here to ATH'ish
* Note still CRASHING UP all the time ...thats 200pt counting or 4% in a few hours from yesterday's low LMFAO ....LQ still ATH's ...so ....yeah :-)
Sept 11 - The fractal continues
This one is too ridiculously identical = completely algo controlled ..obviously.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODg2MDJfMjM3NjE4Nzk
It's' essentially on the bounce ..a up. b down to tests lows again ( as per AM) ..then NOW up In 'c' ...to complete B ..of larger ABC down ....all can do is assume it matches ..until it doesn't.
It shows whatever b.s. in Matrix and 'data' and other baloney has ZERO to do with these movements!
Jeez - It's getting really OBVIOUS that WWIII is the plan.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/biden-says-working-out-possibly-letting-ukraine-hit-russia-us-long-range-missiles
I don't know for sure ...we aren't in the club ..but this is big reason I believe the PTB prefer 'anyone but Trump' -
- because he doesn't want war ...and MIC find it easier when the President plays along ...in reality they can do what they want, but its plays better when the puppet reads their scripts.
- The other main reason I think ..is Trump doesn't work with their other main agenda's ..mass constant immigration obviously ...to setup that pesky internal civil conflict they need for Marshall law or equivalent ..in reality to use against the rest of us who oppose the totalitarian regime we're in
But - logically ..it's hard to see this isn't all pretext for WWIII .... which is just ..terrible ..but nothing we can really do against the Matrix that owns most minds already.
YIKES - 10th consecutive up candle on 30min ...that is about 5-6 sigma..its something I keep eye on ...that's amazingly unusual and rare ...
- its either signal of another crazy rabbit out of hat ( 3rd ..4th rabbit ..losing count of 1 in 1000 overrides ). retest of highs coming here Or
- crazy ALGO backsweep as per the setup we're following ..tomorrow AM will tell.
..but historically this up or down ..occurs close to reversal in opposite direction .its extreme panic buying or selling.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODkwODNfMjM3NjIzOTI
I closed my leverage shorts this morning as we approached the retest of the lows from Friday - was just too obvious - I am a scared short anyway! hehehehe Like Elmer Fudd ""scared very scared"
I saw about 2 minutes of last nights Barnum and Bailey...it was even worse than last 2minutes I watched - some obvious questions that no one will address
- why did Trump agree to this? or continue when it was clear that the rules agreed were broken? i.e. clearly ABC set him up ..well Jeez, ya' think? LOL ...he had to know that ..so why? ... I find that the MOST suspicious aspect ..the rest was just typical b.s.
- How dumb are people that they accept this as 'democracy' - 1 debate, where there is no debating ..or anything beyond superficial zingers ...not even that LOL ...if people can't see the mockery being made of them....what does it take? ...but we already know the answers alas don't we :-) ....
- How dumb are people they believe these idiots are going to run the country LMFAO
We know both are PTB puppets ...so I have to logically conclude -
- Trump is just reading his script here ..to let the preferred puppet win.
AND honestly, I've analyses media bias since I first studied it in Sociology classes aged 15 ...that's a long time ..I went on to studied NLP, mind control ..and eventually mind sciences ...this helps considerably because the media Matrix tactics become obvious and so using that
- I called 2016 as Trump win from seeing how media Matrix 'attacked him' by giving him 200 times the air time of opponents LOL ..
- I called 2020 Biden same ..it's always obvious .
- I've been able to tell winner of every election in UK going back to age 15 same way.
THIS one ...It's hardest to tell I have ever seen ...I've NEVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE it people! .... this isn't just the usual Matrix outlets and usual 'take down' ...in this case against Trump ...this is the ENTIRE MATRIX to degree I've never seen ....
- what does that tell me /us?
- CLEARLY ..to this point ..the preferred PTB puppet is the women actor.
- BUT - also clearly ..the PTB are concerned ..because they Matrix is DESPERATE ..so I can't rule out a Trump puppet win ...that's because in real world .so many are pissed off.
My judgement is that - I've NEVER SEEN the MATRIX fail ...but this MIGHT be the one time it does judging by the hysterical tactics and output ....it's interesting to me ..I also couldn't rule out a genuine grassy knoll moment if Trump deviates from the SCRIPT ....last one was a warning or staged ....
btm line - it doesn't matter ..its all just 'entertainment' ..PTB scripted show ..but it does tell us PTB intensions and is an amusing distraction ..that's about it.
https://x.com/skscartoon/status/1833838004500300208?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1833838004500300208%7Ctwgr%5E6f6ce595a66f28409cdd4e6bf1394ff17acec084%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fpolitical%2Fdebate-post-mortem-trump-was-trump-harris-held-and-moderators-played-partisan-tricks
:-)
I can't really comment as I only watched 2 minutes ..but even during that, this was true LOL ...
- Look, and not be be ..whatever...I don't debate anymore its a waste of time once u study brain science ...but ..at high school and college I was ...the best debater ...no one could handle it...I had a teacher ask me 'how do you do that' ...I wasn't trained or anything ...Mr Curson my math teacher it was ... I thought and said 'well, I guess I just get to the root issue and won't let people distract off it ..and just hold them to logic' ...( this is impossible in media ..the prevent real debate its just a show)
- If I WAS in that situation ...and Trump is 'smart' in some way and experienced..HE and I would have STOPPED that SHIT SHOw and CONTRONTED ABC there and then ...it would have scored more political points than anything. most of us despise the media Matrix ..... and HE knows that t...so WHY? again ..its a suspect performance from him ...
- and yeah some would say 'he's whining' ..those people hate him already ..I would likerally have stopped and said 'ABC you agreed to moderate, not participate ...and no real time fact checking ...if you continue to side with my opponent I won't continue and walked off stage' ...call their bluff .....it was an obvious move and moderates who he is really after would have loved it .... I would have given them 5 minutes ..walked back on 'drama drama' ...and asked 'are you ready to be impartial moderators you agreed to , or continue to break your word? etc ...
- he could then continue ..because you don't want to 'quit'...but it would have REFRAMED and put ABC on backfoot a bit ...its like how soccer players confront referee's early to do same ...its psy 101 ....he knows that ...any good debater know how to use a moment .
My honest assessment from just 2minutes ...Trump looked tired/sick or mental decline setting in ...he is too old as Biden was. ...obviously.
ALSO - since neither actually debated ....and just read talking points ...IF he was genuinely trying to 'win' that nonsense ....as per my tactic ..I would have just picked her weakest area - immigration and economy and being a marxist ....and hammered on those and nothing else the entire time allowed .....the claim he 'got baited' its total b.s. ..again, it smacks of an agreed script for that show ...either that or Trump as said is going senile as well.
My bet - we get another 'debate' magically ...this time FOX or more whatever ..and Trump does what I just said ...but we'll see.
It's all the biggest load of bollocks ive ever seen in my life ...but...whatever :-)
But on a serious point -
- I continue to have a terrible feeling about what comes after this show ends Nov 4 ...this is beyond Orwellian now ....literally anything is possible ...I'm genuinely frightened for everyone ...but nothing I can do so .... let it all go.
The great thing when we get such ALGO controlled patterns ...is we have a measure to see where we are at ....too early to say here ...but easy for me to compare price and ST model against as we go.
There is not much to stop this c up for now ...should run most of day or into tomorrow time wise, and see green box on chart for price area's ....that's our metric.
On track - signals are now lining up but not quite there ..as I've gone over ..but more time..price or both
- IF this continues to REPEAt ...we reverse again in next 1-8 hours down from 50% to 61.8% zone on this chart ...if not ..somethin' new afoot.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODkwMThfMjM3NjIzMjc
If we follow the same script ..and at this point ..these are literally what everything is ..
- we now chop up rather than the pure v up we've had today
- we now expend TIME more than Price up
- we likely get some sort of 'final spike' ..tomorrow AM ..then reversal down
OR
- we now break this fractal setup ..and do something new.
THIS is the signal that is likely most useful here ..I've shown it many times over the year..
but I've add some buy/sell lines that relate to principle of 'extreme extreme's being the opposite at reversal ... picture is better than my description ..so
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODg4MThfMjM3NjIxMjY
Here update to this key ST signal chart ...we still on track but have ways to go to tag the sell band ....it will take either more TIME or up Price to box area ..or both
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODg3ODZfMjM3NjIwOTQ
Sept 10 - Dither then down but in ST bounce zone
I showed the ST dynamic zone yesterday
- we dithered this AM inside both support/resistance
- but now broken down ...so ..its higher odds we do the 'lows retest' ...which could include a lower low on CASH because ES dropped lower Friday after the close ..5380 is the key pivot on the swing right now ..
- but we still have that oversold condition I showed...so ST bounce zone ...BUT ..also ..if we break through ..then it high odds triggers a down trend from here
- AS said - I am looking for SWING LOWER LOWS No Matter what we do here ST
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODM2OTZfMjM3NTY2OTY
2 days of Shimmy - some answer MAYBE into the close/Open tomorrow ...I am hoping ...
Does the relentless buying since AM drop ...mean ...what ? ...buy the Debate? ..logic of this escapes me but we aren't in Kansas are we :-)
I thought the female puppet would have 'Covid' by now and be no show? ...
Fun times ..I will have to watch at least 2 minutes of the show as I did last one.
Oh sure ..that makes total sense ..Savant economics ...inflation is 'going up less'..after 4 years of near hyper inflation ..so we need to boost it again ..oops ..I mean, we need to stop economy which according to all Govt data and Media is 'super strong' from imminent recession..huh? :-)
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cpi-inflation-report-could-push-fed-to-make-an-even-bigger-rate-cut-in-september-76ade345?mod=bnbh
Starting to get some Imbalance spikes here - but we likely need more
SO my 'best guess'
- we need to attempt bounce longer time wise here ...to get a better setup for a 2nd down. leg
- it ( the swing down) looks 'corrective' overall so repeat of last one similar
- This makes sense ..we'll as said keep repeating ..ending in a Right translation eventually....as also
- there are clear sign on this chart of DISTRIBUTION an for LOW Liquidity ...so ...eventual roll overs ..then saves ..rinse repeat ..until failure is best guess over next month or two.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODM5OTdfMjM3NTY5OTg
FYI - This is a fractal repeat of drop end of July - its a little faster ...other than that identical in every minor wave structure .
- which says..after a bounce zone here...we get another very sharp drop.
ALSO - I am down to TWO short term analogs/road maps ..from 'alot' ...so things are simplifying a bit here.
ST MODel -
- it looks to me we need this signal to RTM/RTE here ..I've marked the 2 most similar setups ...in terms of fractals/overall ...and model position ...it doesn't mean we EXACTLY repeat but strong Rhymes ...leaning to the 2nd one here now ..
- also ..it looks a bit 'time compressed' i.e. faster...likely due to the 'debate' tonight...so we could see a fair amount of short term volatility into close today and tomorrow based on this....it's not holy grail, game of odds...but LQ is also seeping down and sterling agrees ...so it increases odds of natural setups executing.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODM5NTlfMjM3NTY5NjA
TECH is a bit more oversold ..I cd see it having REL strength in this bounce area ...and looks to me DOW is READY to CRATER ...on next down move to catchup.
I cd be wrong :-)
Related - the VIX has magnet gap below and mini h&s ...might need to 'tag' during this period ..before we can get a 2ndary swing down leg....if that's going to happen.
Alt - we break back up out of that range.
- into close and tomorrow AM 'should' ..ha ha ..give some clarity on the ST setup.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwODM5ODVfMjM3NTY5ODY
The 'shimmyville' here ...favor 1 of those 2 ..
Sept 9 - EOD comment
Here is a chart that sums it all up nicely ..forget all the b.s. everywhere on 'why's' ..THIS is why...simples ...SIM-ALGO via LQ supply ..this ..without a doubt..was planned..because they waited for exact failure on models ( I've checked against many) to total blind side MAX ..and use the SHORTS as FUEL added to there LQ tsunami ...we know why ...on order to 're-elect'.... this is what we are up against...after nov 4...this won't be necessary ....and ...odds are high this turns down considering its already past historic.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzk0OThfMjM3NTIyNDg
What could possibly go wrong? - blame in no specific order
- FOMO post COVID ..programmed/social engineered into masses
- Matrix FAKING it ALL for NOv 4 ..why worry? why save ? why not spend ...its a UTOPIA
- Cost of rent/food/expenses in cities where most live gone up about 60-80% in REAL terms in 4 years
https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/record%20high%20savings.jpg?itok=hSWW9zIx
https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/savings%20rate_1.jpg?itok=EuCH1eD9
historical context - nothing to see here
https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-FED/DEBT/jnpwwyzmqpw/chart.png
What's good for the goose...consumers just following the 'example' set by Federal Govt ..though ..its a lie ..because the 31T ignores UNFUNDED LIABILITIES to tune of another 50+T over next decade ..
- here's how debt to GDP will look BEST CASE ...assuming perfection and no recession etc ever...good luck with that
- as I said were at around 120% ...no economy has EVER recovered ..we are BANKRUPT ...but hey, party on ...the US TITANIC
https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/0010_federal-debt-proj-full.gif
Oh - and its not just credit cards ..its all consumer debt categories ...but of course..'this time is different'
https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc
Interestingly, deliquency rates are LOW except on credit cards ..that's because the Overlords who are Corporate . are in 'LOOSe CREDIT' mode ...under same 'executive orders' until NOv 4 -
Watch how this explodes in 2025 ...unless as said, they decide to keep inflating
I mean - What's the problem? ...its obviously fine ...MMT etc ..Sure...sure ..as long as nothing ever goes wrong ever again ..its fine ...which is of course..the TOO BIG TO fAIL mentality that got us to 2007 crises and here now ....good luck with that.
- as Said logic dictates, even if you keep credit standard loose to avoid delinquency/bankruptcy etc ....it will just result in more inflation ..which eventually leads to HIGHER YIELDS ...and eventually US FEDERAL DEFAULT ...as that GDP/DEbt CURVE STEEPENS FASTER ....leading to eventually $ HEDGEMENT COLLAPSE and 'end of system event'
- ALt is you don't ..and you get a 2008 type crises.
There is no 'secret' or 'magic' or 'fairies' here ..you blow biggest debt bubble in history over and over ..higher and higher to stop it collapsing ...as I predicted in 2001 on longwave ...u can get us to here...and maybe to 2030 ...or even 2035 ...but its going to take AMAZING LUCK ....and even then....it still BLOWS UP by either route above ...its impossible it doesn't ..unless Aliens are coming to save us'.
MY POINT - there is ZERO DOUBT about this ...none ..nada ...zip
- the CB on 'orders' has overridden all natural markets to try to engineer a FAKE ROSY EVERYTHING for Democrats into Nov 4 ...END of STORY ..well and just to make it obvious, literally every single media outlet has followed same orders..I've shown BBC lying their asses off already..but its everywhere...its a Narrative...we've seen this before, haven't we? :-)
- This isn't an opinion ..its the only possible reality to fit the facts ..or Deductive Reasoning
- Either that - or you have to believe there was some 'unseen crises' that required this, that just be coincidence coincided with the ideal timeframe for the election ...Suuuuurrrreeeeee :-)
Why does this matter? Oh it MATTERs
- technicals, wave setups etc etc ...all have built in assumption of 'some natural order/markets' AND 'historic repeating patterns' - that is NOT the cASE HERE ..not Even CLOSE!
- Therefore, we have to be careful drawing conclusions on LARGER degree of of this 'FAKED period Nov 23' to now' ....
- My Reversion to mean and Extreme theory works on 'everything' including ^THIS ..therefore IF ...the 'they' ever turn off this SIM-ALGO LQ FAKER and Matrix output faking ..even a little ...we will 'reprice' or in this case MEAN REVERT to 'Un FAKE' ....and there is ZERO reason that technicals and waves would see that coming, or acting within 'historical norms' in doing so ..thats the REVERSION part ....we've seen this effect MANY times since the Financial Alchemy CB-ALGO 'new Era' of financial system began post LTCM 1998 ..and increasingly as its gone on ..because ...they have to intervene more and more ..bigger and bigger to override the Natural failure of the system ...too big to fail became fail and we are all dead etc ...do whatever it fakes ...and apparently they dont' trust Trump to play his part and keep this going.
Over the last 25 years I've had to REMIND myself of REALITY many time s....I called it in 1999/2000 and 2007 ..because.. I didn't let myself be gaslit ...because it's hard Not to get GAS-LIT by the FAKE reality ....it really is ...but that a human mind problem ...and doesn't change 'what is' ...and what is ..is VERY CLEAr .....fake data, fake economics, fake 'markets', fake everything ....and when it suits ..it will all flip at literal press of few buttons ...
- the hard part is saying 'when' ...but were' beginning the rISK period for that ...as we gone on it increases ....as I've said when I first realized what they were unto last Nov 23' ...this would be the case.
Monday Sept 9 - First Answer ..now what was the question?!
The question was - which of many setups/road maps are we most looking like here ?
- answer is the last one ...abc down ..now bounce ...BUT
- more important is Yet ANOTHER LQ injection ..and it is BIG ..as sterling actually fell this AM
More and MORe - this is becoming as said a RIGHT TRANSLATION Market ..because of endless support ..but unlike last 9 months ..there isn't enough natural buying and or is distribution into it ...such that 'eventually' it rolls over ....and we get a strong 'catchup right translation' ....as said, it likely..this happens all way toward Nov 4....and THEN its Possible we see this on CYCLE DEGREE if/when they stop the endless Sim-market support.
FYI - We were/are VERY Short term OVERSOLD here...thus ..bounce attempts are 'normal' ....we haven't worked that off yet, so that is why more attempts are likely ...even it we retest lower.....
- HOWEVER ..we've been in VERY unusually strong UPTREND ..and now ...we are either in a range ..or possibly downtrend (tbd) ...SO, odds increase of:
- remaining oversold AND
- moving to a more extreme oversold ( dark green bottom line ) ..note we haven't reach in long time ....that would be strong indicator of trend change to down.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzkyODdfMjM3NTE5OTI
* note also the THREE TAGs of UPPEr PINK 'max historic extreme' over bought on last 3 peaks ...NOw, THAt is BEARISH to me here ....why Mark? you just said such extreme's indicate a trend .....yep, but,..its never THAt simple is it? ....yes ..coming at a TREND cHANGE ...you often see EXTREME moves .. ....but...those 3 came at END of LONG TREND and exhaustion ..... so here, and also I can match again. many model signals on diverse set of information ...senitment, internals, LQ etc etc ...it show MASSIVE CLIMATIC Buying/Blow off. ( I mentioned we saw this on volume patterns as well) ....so ..just saying this to be clear. A further complication ..is
- as market natural now wants to drop...but the SIM-ALGO is supporting like crazy to prevent it ..it tends to drive move to these extreme's as well.
Well - this sums up the times were in perfectly :-)
- there's too many jokes to made here..though, the real joke is on those of us left with functional minds
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/kamala-harris-secluded-hotel-trump-impersonator
You know my view - Uniparty...puppets of Corporate Overlords etc etc ...and its a 'reality show' and they are 'actors reading scripts' ...That said
- It clear that the Kamala puppet is in trouble here...all the shiny glitz in the world runs out and then at least some substance is required ....even if it just lies of course ...you have to tell the lies and tell them well in this show ...
- So I think ..looking at data ..that she needs a good showing in the 'debate' ( try not to laugh at that title ..debate...suuureeee) ....and by all accounts, that is not likely ..but we'll see
- If it goes as expected ...Im wondering ..what next? ...the PTB Cleary prefer Kamala for their Globalist- collectivist ...essentially totalitarian agenda ...'freedom is slavery' etc ....but what will they be willing to do next if Kamala fails as it appears here..? ...
- the 'options' are fairly obvious ...hmm?
- Normally I pick the winner with ease ..this time as I said..no clue ...I think we won't know until a week or so before Nov 4 this time ...unless ...they do a 'script twist/rewrite' here..nudge nudge, wink wink ...
What I need to see now is - how is the fire doing without the SIm-Algo FlameThrower on it?
We're stating to hit some ST extreme's ...so this is our next ST check point into the close..and tomorrow AM.
Credit signal hitting red band in down swing is bearish ..high probability. ( in up swing ..its also bearish ..but can take longer to play out ...both setups on seen on this chart)
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzg5MjFfMjM3NTE1ODA
Yep - selling came in immediately wee hit ST model sell signals ...
- SPX 5440 is a MAGNET here .... then either a secondary bounce ..or failure and retest that 5380 low ( was tested on futures ATH Friday) ...as mentioned is key swing support.
EMERGENCY POST - my post count was on 666 for the thread...we don't want to encourage the PTB .....2009 ..SPX 666 etc ....just sayin' :-)
Short Term support at dotted line today and tomorrow ...resistance at mid-BB dotted line above ... tomorrow should/may/could resolve ...or ..we just stay between those annoying tbd
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzkyNjlfMjM3NTE5NzQ
5450 might have been the test ..but its not a done deal ...all this buying into the close again is a little 'suspect' ...we need to see tomorrow AM to judge.
Sunday Sept 8 -
Here is another chart/perspective ...more perspectives = more information = more confidence in setups.
This is S&P risk premium - I think its actually one of best for KISS - using simple macd ..( also wave setups) ...and we see momo is close to zero line ..and historically again stocks 'struggle' from this point..until a down cycle occurs.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzQ3NTFfMjM3NDczMTQ
KEY this week
- SOX & NVIDIA 90 level ( if broken, I see a move to 35-40 and likely fast)
- lets see where this current swing down ends ...i've got alot of key signals in swing model NOT yet at lows ...can't show them all but I always pick a few in the real time comment s..
-THIS is one i'm watching closely ..as its not going to be effected by anything ..as its my proprietary imbalance ... Virtually EVERY swing low ..we TAG the bottom band ...NOT anywhere near it yet..which correlated as well to more traditional measures like put/call etc .
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzQ3NTJfMjM3NDczMTU
LQ has ways to cycle down yet here
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzQ3NTNfMjM3NDczMTY
DOW swing model signal has quite long way to go ..to tag buy band at bottom ...and closed at key price support I showed friday with gap just below ..hmm ..could see it play catchup
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzQ3NTRfMjM3NDczMTc
Sterling in down cycle ..which correlates to lower LQ
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzQ3NTdfMjM3NDczMjA
I doubt I will have time for video today unfortunately ... there is not 'rush' anyway on most of these charts setups which are larger degree ..I WILL get there some time in next few weeks and try to cover some of the more complex stuff ...but we will also have a few more answers hopefully to the tricky 'question phase' were in here.
SAT Sept 7 - Yep, we need to talk
Alot going on here...too much for a chart to really cover ...but..what I see is BANKING CRISES INCOMING ..If when we cross back down on BKX ...even if we stumble back up ..its just DELAY ...this has way too many bearish dynamics to 'escape' it I believe.
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzQyMjlfMjM3NDY2NDI
ALSO - I believe it makes sense that the next 'crises' is in banking and Semi's at least to start ...semis' being the biggest bubble here so
- some similar dynamics to 2000 top in play here ..where, semis' lead as said ..and broad market hung on for 6 months before rolling over.
TO BE VERY CLEAR - DYNAMICS does NOT MEAN EXACT REPEAT ..its about 'mathematical bounds and patterns' ...what I see going on here is
- some UNIQUE elements of each playing out ...^this from 2000, some from 2007, some from 2021 ....I see less elements of 2018, 2020(some in imbalance data and LQ) ....1998 or previous to modern SIM-Market ......
- I know what i'm looking at on these but its actually quite hard to explain ...but for sure, we are starting to confirm some of those dynamics in my judgements ...but its not about 'prediction' but more 'confirmation' ....next week again will be very important on this...
- it tends to be ..that its kinda of DOMINO effect with dynamics ...we've definitely tipped a few here...but need to see if next ones fall - particularly in Semis' next week ....
I've Got ALOT i haven't said ..if until I see some more domino's fall ...but I'll sum it up as what i've said f2 months ago
- There are ALOT of possible short term outcomes here ...but over time ..I see/feel very strongly something uniquely bad is on the table here IF the SIM-Algo can't ...or is instructed NOT to save it...
- my intuition has been ..whilst we all would love a nice techncally correct/wave setup etc ... we are more likely than any time in history to just see SYSTEM BREAK ...and blindside everyone here.
- YES I am more aware than anyone that 'they' (sim-algo) and they 'CB-Govt proxies) will DO Everything they can in September to prevent ^this ...but bare in mind, they have been doing this for 3months already ....there is a RISK here that is extreme and rare ....
Also - consider this chart.... forget all the b.s. opinion ..this doesn't lie ..
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/american-stock-ownership-by-share-of-financial-assets
Whenever we've made new ATH on this chart, its not been a good time to buy.
I suspect this is gone higher in August due to BTFD on the pullback ...and it does appear to be distribution here.
Basically, as i've gone over...and I've checked with research:
- the top 10% have got rich in houses/stocks via CB Sim-algo by bankrupting the future
while the other 90% have been fleeced ..by regressive policy of inflating costs whilst holding down incomes ...
- as we've also gone over there is only TWO PATHS from here ...continue same policy so bankrupt everyone except top 10% .....and eventually that will blow up as Yields rise to 8-10% very quickly ..at same time 90% default ..... OR try to let same air out ...which due to this policy will very high odds result in systemic collapse of stocks and housing ....Take your pick :-)
- the top 10% have also massively benefited for 9month of straight CB Up simulation ....we'll find out which of the two paths they prefer after Nov 4 ...or possibly before because I doubt they need to keep it going into nov 4 ...just close enough to make bogus claims I see everywhere from the ignorant 99.999% that the 'economy is strong' ..yes, strong as a house of cards.
- I can't predict what they will do ...but ..I can predict these are the two choices....they can DELAY DELAY as they did in 2024 ..but at COSTS that are now coming due .... I hope everyone has 'enjoyed the party' ...because the 'fun' is close to being over here ....as
- logically, why DELAY DELAY after Nov 4? ...usually want to get bad stuff out the way ...UNLESS its path 1 ...and the plan is the inflationary destruction ...this is NOT like 1970' which had cost push inflation as wages soared .... the wage slave economy has no power ...and AI can soon replace alot of jobs ....
- So we 'should' know very soon which is our two fates 'they' have planned ....its not possible to say here until we see into 2025....If I had to guess..
- if they put Trump in ...some air comes out ....and then we get another cycle up so maybe down 1st 2 years then up next 2 years
- if they put 'the other one' in ...the inflationary demolition is more likely...but its very hard to be sure..they probably still try to let air out ...its probably a RIGHT TRANSLATION ..very fast ..over in months ..then we resume the inflationary destruction ...If this the plan ..we won't make it to 2028 ...the system will blow up before that and WWIII will be used to distract from it.
Just my 2cents based on logic.
Sept 6 - EOD 2nd comment ( see first in main daily thread)
When I get time - we need to talk ...REALLY Talk ..about this chart ..It would have to be a video because there's too much complexity I need to discuss 'whats on my mind' about this and actually for couple of years here.
- I only see TWO ..REAL WORLD possible Counts for this entire Primary Wave ...
- AND its now strongly leaning to one of them ..the ending diagonal
- Which is ...honestly...terrifying ....I mean, really scary
.. BUT also allows for a longer period of up cycle attempts from here rather than immediate collapse ..though that is also distinctly possible ..... As per Stubby and I discussion about 'they will try everything and then some to keep this together' ... we shall discuss.
- I think these two indexes show what I'm seeing the best ..the same pattern is on ALL world indexes..but some show it clearer.
- If DAX fall back under recent IT low at 17000 - then realistically, it has to be the ED ....
- then, whether that is complex is debatable ..we will know because literally the all world markets will go into waterfall like you have never seen ...if not...then favors 1 or more further and high odds WEAK up cycles next few years. ..I'm trying not to have an opinion on that..but we will know ALOT MORE POST NOV 4 won't we !
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzM1NjlfMjM3NDU4OTI
oh - and this chart ..BIG trouble ...completed 5 waves including ending diagonal 5th..Watch SOX like a mother bear watching bear cubs here ..with that potential h&s I showed as well.
- If we thought the Dot com bubble was nuts ...the so called AI ..not AI bubble is bigger...when the CB supplied crack wears off ...hell ..to ..pay
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNzM1ODlfMjM3NDU5MTI
The only bullish interpretation I can come up with is -
- we are about to have a SINGULARITY where AI' or something else so changes world system that none of this matters ... hmm ..good luck with that.
Sept 6 - Natural Order
is playing out ...and also a fractal repeat of last move down ...which I went over is a 'right translation' ( i.e. compressed move on the right hand side of setups...in this case, due to SimALGO LQ attempts...sometimes its natural due to lack of synch .
SOX has broken down ..comp at support right now..and spx 5380-5400 key weekly support ..dow holding that key level ...so big divergences appearing....it appears to me Semi's are leading down but we will see.
There are too many wave setups to be useful here on the swing ...I need to see what happens today that will help rules some in/out.
- but as I went over..the setup is bearish for swing ..and even more so now...really, we should see a drop on SPX to min 5300 area.
Dollar retests that low and bouncing, if it can take out its AM high...we'll have yet another upside reversal setup ...until the Sim-Algo no doubt whacks it down again...but ..cork..water ...effect here now.
EOD - when I get a chance this weekend I'll look over all the models/data/setup and see if I see anything new but really
- this is just what I expected here so far AND
- it doesn't really add anything ...it just RULES out a few things like a bigger upside '5' move.
I can't just rely on waves but really I can't get away from fact
- this is the clearest ENDING DIAGONAL I've ever seen here.
- also that I can't really fit that with my count of 'cycle 3' ...but that's likely because either its such a 'forced move' or because there won't be a cycle 5
- It really doesn't matter for now or foreseeable anyway ..and we can't just rely on waves! especially with so much manipulation.
Btm line is - the models have us in Cycle topping phase ...I know its 2024 and 'nothing matter' but I still find it hard to conceive 5+ different models are all 'wrong' ...we will see.
What I am really trying to figure out is pretty simple:
- have we seen the Cycle top OR is it still to come here next few weeks
- either way for now I see more downside ...the nature of that will hopefully answer this question.
- Even IF it is the cycle top ..it may just be a shorter /smaller degree one ....sorta wave 4 ...that is the other key question IF a larger degree drop is implicated ...SOX and comp would strongly suggest it is.
- We also have to keep in mind that
a. Everything is Fake for Nov 4 and
b. this has introduced massive System Risk ..and also even just Reprice potential.
Therefore we cannot assume 'technicals/waves/setups' etc 'work' because they won't if they stop, or can't keep the charade going ...or black swan shows up.
I've got ALOT of analog/road maps here for this swing down ..TOO MANY...I need to see what happens from here into the close to maybe narrow them down
- the highest odds is either
- we churn/bounce off 5400 area into the close OR
- we drop through ..and then its a question of how far...
I would favor we drop through pretty hard...based on some complex analogs..but TBD 5380 is the BIG one for me to determine which road maps were on ...I see high odds that gets tested today ..then 'we'll see' ..if it doesn't bounce hard there..then..I favor a waterfall down to 5220 in short order...next few sessions.
fyi - Test 5380 just after the close.
More of sideways at the lows - so need to see Monday now to help give a more specific road map for the swing low ..as said, looking for lower lows for sure.
This week didn't answer much - but it raised ALOT of questions ...it definitely favors more of my model cycle setups of topping zone....most were looking for new highs here ..and we see on the drop most are extremely bullish ...
- hopefully next week can actually answers a few questions.
Actually 5220/30 is the 'idealized move' ...on sPX ...sometime in this setup of 'open jaws' they can happen in single day ...hence my 'massive down day' potential ...it will depend how much weekly support @ this 5400 down to 5380 we get.
UNFortunately ...even this wont' help me on waves on the Cycle degree ..because it could be 'c' down of abc 4 ...of 5 (final) ...OR even ii of 5 of Ending diagonal I went over ...
- not unless we actually took out the previous IT low from couple weeks ago would it help ...
HOWEVER - my DYNAMIC SETUPS are more useful than waves anyway....the waves just confirm/deny ...so..we shd get some answers .possibly today...on weekly closes.
Sept 5 - Repeat Attempt. .same result so far.
the usual -> dollar -> LQ spike etc ...as I suggested this time dow and spx weaker and catching up
We are NOW at CRITICAL SUPPORTS on SPX ...dow approaching ...
- this is WITH 2 now 'save attempts' .
- the PROBLEM for ALGO is ZERO SHORTS due it last barn burner efforts AND MASSIVe CALL buying ...seeing it again this AM.
If we can't hold here - 5480 ...or down to max 5465/70 ..with ALL of this Support ....then ..Oh my!
* actually, the fact we HAVE dropped down this far ..with this much support ..is pretty shocking ,and a repeat of what we saw couple weeks ago before eventually big plunge when LQ finally dropped.....not saying we do the same ..but if they can't keep forcing dollar/sterling down ...then I believe we will ...
AND it seems to me ..we are starting to pay the price ..in options market ..and no doubt, there is TON of DISTORTIONS ...which is why the main cost is RISK ...especially IF their is a limit of ability to keep the infinite support going into sept/oct TBD
EOD comment
I just noticed something on the NYMO ..,which ..I have no idea why I never saw before...but it incredibly useful for swing ...
- and is Bearish here ....for at least some further downside after any bounce
CLOSE today might give a clue on tomorrows data - so much insider trading now as I said...
- my stuff all looks bearish here as said for big drop down again ...but..I can't rule out back sweeps ....
- but if we drop under 5480 into the close...it would certainly be 'surprising' and suggest tomorrow is down.
- Equally, if we see a barn burner up last 20 minutes ...then...likely that 5 sigma call relative to price call buying is insiders again and tomorrow is a big backsweep.
Overall though .as ive been saying ...the RISK continue to mount to downside ..and will increasingly be so from here on out....on the IT and CYCLE degree ....backsweeps and barn burners not withstanding.
Nope - I don't see anything on the close there.
All things being equal (which in 2024 they rarely are but more so recently):
- tomorrow will be at best a backsweep up ..minor 'ish bounce ...
- at worst ..a massive down day
WWIII watch
Honestly, If I'm Russia ..and it depends if they are also PTB puppet and reading a script OR actually not ...I've never been sure
- then I tell NATO that - for every NATO/US weapon that lands on Russian soil ..they will fire an tit-for-tat into a NATO country of their choosing including UK and USA .
- this would ask the question of NATO/US/UK 'do you want WWIII' ..if yes, keep esculating ...OR if not ...stop using Ukraine to fight YOUR war ..as I predicted at start, sacrificing the people of Ukraine to do it ....so typically PTB ..they LOVE PROXIES or 'using humans as cannon fodder' ..whilst convincing the cannon fodder and allies that is a good thing ...'cheer the cannon fodder to their deaths' ...
- I said this at start to friend of mine ...she replied 'but we have to do something ' ( in response to Russia ) ..I said YEs 'stop creating proxy wars' ...she says 'what's a proxy war' ...at which point I gave up :-)
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/if-us-gives-long-range-weapons-kiev-occupied-buffer-zone-may-reach-poland-medvedev
The 'normal' bounce here ...off 5480 ..mid -Band ...happens >80% of time ..then Real question is ...what next ....if can't reverse to new highs, we'll drop through ...and then I see as said much bigger drop.
put/calls - either another MASSIVe Insider trade...seen so many in 2024 ..or this is incredibly bearish ..just no way to know anymore ...its so corrupt alas...but we'll likely get answer tomorrow on 'news' ( all the massive corrupt insider trades obviously occur before 'data' ..which is fake of course...so it has to be people radiating out from the the source of that data ...apparently that's OK now ...SEC are probably in on the trades as well we've reached that point ..Rome. Nero etc)
09:00 AM 485528 407467 892995 0.84
09:30 AM 1130912 752338 1883250 0.67
10:00 AM 1404009 1049087 2453096 0.75
10:30 AM 1737928 1395916 3133844 0.80
11:00 AM 2882753 1615809 4498562 0.56
11:30 AM 3091651 1887234 4978885 0.61
12:00 PM 3234642 2019037 5253679 0.62
12:30 PM 3384601 2154377 5538978 0.64
01:00 PM 3626753 2352637 5979390 0.65
Dow - I mentioned this ...here's the chart...its messy but btm line
- a break under 40300 spells trouble ..potentially big trouble to me..so keep an eye going forward
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNjg2NjFfMjM3NDA3MDU
Talking of History - DOLLAR ..I cd show ALOT of charts in model I'm looking at ..
- btm line is RECENT low around 100 is VERY strong support for now at least.
- so if 'they' by which I mean the SIM-ALGO is going to keep this LQ tidal wave going ..its going to get 'interesting' on next trip to 100 area soon here ...
- I don't know what happens ..but I have to logically believe .its going to get tougher to keep this going ...and since ANY Drop in LQ leads to Massive problems from here...its doubly 'interesting' ...they can delay...delay..but increasingly as said the COSTS are Coming due ....
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNjg2NTRfMjM3NDA2OTg
I've zoomed in to show typical BB Mid-band bounce area ...I actually prefer a different 240 min setting but this one allows us to assess EARLIER 'how strong is support' -
- this one is Weak ..on relative historical basis ..but...its 2024 etc ...
- I've marked also its fractal similar to previous pink box ..worth watching.
- the MOSt important dynamic on that chart is the FLAT MID BAND ..historical..that is VERY HIGH ODDs leads to BREAK below and run to LOWER BAND ...Dynamic setup ...however, there can be 'delay and backsweeps' ...and so we are at that critical zone ....with 'Matrix hype' on jobs report tomorrow so 'Gaming mode engaged'
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/MTAwNjg2NDZfMjM3NDA2OTA
Dollar has alot of support at recent lows ..and impulse move up there and now usual whack-a mole and lack of LQ response -
- I cd be wrong ..but the ALGO is hitting LAW of DIMINISHING Returns
- this is aLWAYS what happens in the sim-market since 2007 that I've really observed.
I'm not saying 'this is the end' ..but I do believe we're in Final stages of current Up cycle ...similar to end of 2021 ...though many variants are possible ...just looking for information as we go to pin this down ...tomorrow will likely yield some.
But my 'intuition' hasn't changed ...we are building to BIG trouble here.
Matrix HYPE over Jobs report - which is just more made up stuff ..like everything ...so is irrelevant ..but we'll see if it changes the current pattern.
IF we get another 'right translation' move here ..then ...I am going to say, I think we'll eventually see same on Cycle degree ...with all that implies.